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Ведущий кандидат в президенты 2012 года по подсчету голосов выборщиков. Состояния, выделенные серым цветом, не имеют данных опроса. Опросы из слегка затененных штатов старше 1 августа 2012 г. (и более свежие опросы недоступны). | ||||
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Барак Обама 218 Митт Ромни 183 Разница в пределах ошибки 130 Нет данных 13 (для победы необходимо 270 голосов выборщиков) . 2 из голосов выборщиков в Конгресс штата Мэн и 2 из голосов выборщиков в Конгрессе Небраски не опрошены.. Светлая заливка указывает на старые данные опроса. | ||||
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В этой статье представлен сборник общественных опросов общественного мнения, проведенных в отношении президентских выборов в США в 2012 г., на которых победил действующий президент Барак Обама. Опросы показывают статус между республиканцем номинантом Миттом Ромни и президентом Обамой. Также включены трех- и четырехсторонние гоночные опросы с кандидатами от республиканцев и демократов против различных сторонних кандидатов.
Ключ размера выборки:
LV - Вероятные избиратели. RV - Зарегистрированные избиратели.
Ключ источника опроса
(R) - Источник опросы обычно для республиканцев. (D) - Источник опросы обычно для демократов
9 голосов выборщиков . (республиканец в 2004 году ) 62% –38%. (республиканец в 2008 году ) 60% –38%
3 голоса выборщиков . (республиканец в 2004 году ) 61% –35%. (республиканец в 2008 году ) 59% –37%
Опросы не проводились
11 голосов выборщиков . (республиканец в 2004 году ) 55% –44%. (республиканец в 2008 г. ) 53% –45%
Источник опроса | Дата проведения | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Максимальный запас | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ППС | 2–3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 53% | 7 | 1,080 LV | ± 3% |
YouGov | 31 октября - 3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44% | Митт Ромни | 52% | 8 | 702 LV | ± 4,1% |
Rasmussen Reports | 21 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44% | Митт Ромни | 52% | 8 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
YouGov | 4–11 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 43% | Митт Ромни | 52% | 9 | 469 LV | ± 5,4% |
Опрос в Скалистых горах | 4–10 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44 % | Митт Ромни | 42% | 2 | 523 LV | ± 4,4% |
Опрос общественного порядка | 1–3 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44% | Митт Ромни | 53% | 9 | 595 LV | ± 4.0% |
M.Info/HighGround Public Affairs Consulting (R) | 25–26 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 42% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 4 | 500 LV | ± 4,0% |
Расмуссен Отчеты | 25 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 42% | Митт Ромни | 52% | 10 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
Purple Strategies | 15–19 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 45% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
YouGov | 7–14 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 41% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 10 | 62 8 LV | ±% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 7–9 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44% | Митт Ромни | 53 % | 9 | 993 | ± 3,1% |
6 голосов выборщиков . (республиканец в 2004 году ) 54% –45%. (республиканец в 2008 году ) 59% –39%
Источник опроса | Дата проведения | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Ведущая маржа | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Опрос в Арканзасе | 9–14 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 31% | Митт Ромни | 58% | 27 | 642 LV | ± 4,0% |
Опрос Talk Business | 17 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 35% | Митт Ромни | 56% | 21 | 2,228 LV | ± 2,0% |
55 голосов выборщиков . (Демократы в 2004 году ) 54% –45%. (Демократы в 2008 году ) 61% –37%
Источник опроса | Дата проведения | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Ведущая маржа | Размер выборки | Маржа ошибки |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | 31 октября - 3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 55% | Митт Ромни | 40% | 15 | 1575 LV | ± -% |
Полевые исследования | 17–30 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 54% | Митт Ромни | 39% | 15 | 1566 LV | ± 2,6% |
Университет Пеппердайн | 21–28 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 56% | Митт Ромни | 33% | 23 | 2115 LV | ± 3% |
USC | 15–21 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 55% | Митт Ромни | 38% | 17 | 1,504 RV | ± -% |
PPIC | 14–21 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 41% | 12 | 993 LV | ± 4,0% |
Причина- Руп | 11–15 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 38% | 15 | 508 LV | ± 5,1% |
CBRT / Pepperdine / M4 | 7–10 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 54% | Митт Ромни | 33% | 21 | 830 LV | ± 3,4 % |
SurveyUSA | 7–9 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 39% | 14 | 539 LV | ± 4,3% |
Филд / Калифорнийский университет в Беркли | 5-17 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 58% | Митт Ромни | 34% | 24 | 1,171 RV | ± 3,4% |
PPIC | 9 - 16 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 39% | 14 | 995 LV | ± 4,4% |
YouGov | 7 - 14 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 56% | Митт Ромни | 39% | 17 | 1,361 LV | ± -% |
CBRT / Pepperdine / M4 | 9–12 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 55% | Митт Ромни | 33% | 22 | 802LV | ± 3,5% |
SurveyUSA | 9–11 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 57% | Митт Ромни | 35% | 22 | 524LV | ± 4,3% |
9 голосов выборщиков . (республиканец в 2004 г. ) 52% –47%. (Демократический в 2008 г. ) 54% –45%
Источник опроса | Дата проведения | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Ведущая маржа | Размер выборки | Маржа ошибки |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reuters / Ipsos | 3–5 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 774 LV | ± 4% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 3–4 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 52% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 6 | 1,096 LV | ± 3% |
Keating Research | 2–4 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 4 | 603 LV | ± 4% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 2–4 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 48% | Связано | 676 LV | ± 4,3% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 1–3 ноября, 2012 | Барак Обама | 45% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 2 | 973 LV | ± 3,6% |
YouGov | Октябрь 31 - 3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 752 LV | ± 4,1% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 31 октября - 2 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 46% | Связано | 1,052 LV | ± 3,4% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 31 октября - 1 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 4 | 825 LV | ± -% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 30 октября - 1 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 694 LV | ± 4,2% |
Исследование США | 28–31 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 2 | 695 LV | ± 3,8% |
Опрос CNN / ORC | 26–31 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 2 | 764 LV | ± 3,5% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 29–31 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 45% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 1 | 744 LV | ± 4,1% |
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 30 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 3 | 1,246 LV | ± 2,9% |
Rasmussen Reports | 29 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 3 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
Project New America | 28–29 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 3 | 500 LV | ± 4,4% |
American Research Group | Oc 25–28 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
Общественность Опрос политики | 23–25 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 4 | 904 LV | ± 3,3% |
Purple Strategies | 23–25 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 1 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
OnSight Public Affairs | 23–24 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 3 | 502 LV | ± 4,4 % |
NBC / WSJ / Marist Poll | 23–24 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 48% | Связаны | 1 128 LV | ± 2,9% |
Project New America | 23–24 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 43% | 3 | 500 LV | ± 4,4% |
Rasmussen Reports | 16–18 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 4 | 500 LV | ± 4,0% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 16–18 октября 2012 г. | Бар ack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ± 4.0% |
Project New America | 15–16 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ± 4,4% |
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 15 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 1206 LV | ± 2,9% |
Gravis Marketing | 5 октября - 11, 2012 | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 2 | 2089 LV | ± 2.2% |
Denver Post / SurveyUSA | 9–10 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 614 LV | ± 4,0% |
Quinnipiac / NYT / CBS | 4–9 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 1,254 LV | ± 3,0% |
American Research Group | 5–8 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
Rasmussen Reports | 7 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
Университет Денвера | 4–5 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 43% | 4 | 604 LV | ± 4,0% |
McLaughlin Associates (R) | 30 сентября - 2 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 4 | 300 LV | ± 5,7% |
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 25-27 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 3 | 1,273 LV | ± 2,8% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 20–23 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 6 | 940 LV | ± 3,2% |
Purple Strategies | 15–19 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
NBC / WSJ / Marist Poll | 16–18 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 5 | 971 LV | ± 3,1% |
Rasmussen Reports | 17 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 45% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
Quinnipiac / NYT / CBS | 11–17 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 1,497 LV | ± 2,5% |
American Research Group | 10–12 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ± 4.0% |
Project New America | 10–11 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 44% | 5 | 503 LV | ± 4,4% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 31 августа - 2 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 3 | 1001 LV | ± 3,1% |
Трехсторонняя гонка
Источник опроса | Дата | Демократический | % | Республиканец | % | Либертарианец | % | Ведущий запас | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
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Опрос общественного порядка | 20–23 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49 % | Митт Ромни | 43% | Гэри Джонсон | 4% | 6 | 740 | ± 3,2% |
7 голосов выборщиков . (Демократическая партия в 2004 г. ) 54 % –44%. (Демократическая партия в 2008 году ) 61% –38%
Источник опроса | Дата проведения | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Максимальный запас | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | 31 октября - 3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 54% | Митт Ромни | 39% | 15 | 895 LV | ± 3,6% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 1-2 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 55% | Митт Ромни | 42% | 13 | 1,220 LV | ± 2,8% |
Quinnipiac | 19–22 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 55% | Митт Ромни | 41% | 14 | 1,412 LV | ± 2,6% |
Rasmussen Reports | 21 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 52% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 7 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
SurveyUSA | 19–21 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 40% | 13 | 575 LV | ± 4,2% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 15–16 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 44% | 9 | 1015 LV | ± 3.1% |
Университет Коннектикута / Хартфорд Курант | 11–16 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 37% | 14 | 574 LV | ± 4,0% |
Сиена | 4–14 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 38% | 15 | 552 LV | ± 4,2% |
YouGov | 4–11 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 39% | 14 | 434 LV | ± 5,5% |
Rasmussen Reports | 7 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 6 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
Quinnipiac | 28 сентября - 2 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 54% | Митт Ромни | 42% | 12 | 1,696 LV | ± 2,4% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 24-26 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 54% | Митт Ромни | 41% | 13 | 801 LV | ± 3,5% |
UConn / Hartford Courant | 11–16 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 32% | 21 | 508 LV | ± 4,4% |
YouGov | 7 сентября - 14, 2012 | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 40% | 13 | 634 LV | ± -% |
3 электоральных голосов . (Демократы в 2004 году ) 53% –46%. (Демократы в 2008 году ) 62% –37%
Опросы не проводились
3 голоса выборщиков . (Демократы в 2004 г. ) 89% –9%. (Демократические в 2008 году ) 92% –7%
Источник опроса | Дата администрирования | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Ведущий запас | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Опрос общественного порядка | 12 октября –14, 2012 | Барак Обама | 88% | Митт Ромни | 8% | 80 | 1,222 LV | ± 2,8% |
29 выборщиков голосов . (республиканец в 2004 г. ) 52% –47%. (Демократический в 2008 г. ) 51% –48%
Источник опроса | Дата проведения | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Максимальный запас | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | 4–5 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 49% | Связано | 1,060 LV | ± 3,1% |
Zogby / Newsmax | 3–5 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47,8% | Митт Ромни | 47,7% | 0,1 | 876 LV | ± 3,5% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 3 ноября - 5, 2012 | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 769 LV | ± 4% |
Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 43% | 7 | 1,197 RV | ± 3,2% | ||
Insider Advantage | 4 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 52% | 5 | 437 LV | ± 4,5% |
PPP | 3–4 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 49% | 1 | 955 LV | ± 3,2% |
Zogby / Newsmax | 2–4 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50,4% | Митт Ромни | 45,2% | 5,2 | 826 LV | ± 3,5% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 2 ноября - 4, 2012 | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 46% | Связанный | 743 LV | ± 4,1% |
Барак Обама | 47 % | Митт Ромни | 44% | 3 | 1,107 RV | ± 3,4% | ||
Zogby / Newsmax | 1–3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46,9% | Митт Ромни | 49,2% | 2,3 | 823 LV | ± 3,5% |
Общественное мнение Ангуса Рейда | 1–3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 49% | Связано | 525 LV | ± 4,3% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 1–3 ноября, 2012 | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 47% | Связанный | 946 LV | ± 3,6% |
Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 42% | 4 | 1,257 RV | ± 3,2% | ||
YouGov | 31 октября - 3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 1,621 LV | ± 3% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 31 октября - 2 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 2 | 985 LV | ± 3,6% |
Mellman Group | 30 октября - 2 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 2 | 800 LV | ± 3,4% |
NBC / W SJ / Marist Poll | 30 октября - 1 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 2 | 1545 LV | ± 2,5 % |
Reuters / Ipsos | 30 октября - 1 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 2 | 897 LV | ± 3,7% |
Мейсон Диксон | 30 октября - 1 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 45% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 6 | 800 LV | ± 3,5% |
Reuters / Ipsos | 29–31 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 47% | Ничья | 716 LV | ± 4,2% |
Барак Обама | 45% | Митт Ромни | 44% | 1 | 963 RV | ± 4% | ||
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 30 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48,9% | Митт Ромни | 49,8% | 0,9 | 1,146 LV | ± 3% |
Gravis Marketing | 30 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 3 | 549 LV | ± 4,2% |
Zogby / Newsmax | 28–30 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 825 LV | ± 3,5% |
Pulse Opinion Research | 29 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 2 | 1000 LV | ± 3% |
Grove Insight | 28–29 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 600 LV | ± 4% |
Zogby / Newsmax | 27–29 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 828 LV | ± 3,5% |
Zogby / Newsmax | 26–28 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 827 LV | ± 3,5% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 26–28 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 687 LV | ± 3,7% |
CNN / Opinion Research | 25–28 октября, 2012 | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 1 | 770 LV | ± 3.5% |
Барак Обама | 52% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 6 | 914 RV | ± 3% | ||
CBS / Quinnipiac University | 23–28 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 1,073 LV | ± 3% |
SurveyUSA | 25–27 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 47% | Связано | 595 LV / AV | ± 4,1% |
Mellman Group | 24 октября –27, 2012 | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 2 | 800 LV | ± 3,4% |
Rasmussen Reports | Октябрь 25, 2012 | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ± 4,0% |
Gravis Marketing | 24 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 1 | 1,182 LV | ± 2,8% |
Проект Новый Америка | 23–24 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 2 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
Sunshine State News | 22–24 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 5 | 1001 LV | ± 3,1% |
Pharos Research | 19–21 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 47% | Связано | 759 LV | ± 3,56% |
Меллман | 18–21 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 47 % | Связано | 800 LV | ± 3,4% |
Общественное мнение Ангуса Рида | 18–20 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46 % | Митт Ромни | 51% | 5 | 502 LV | ± 4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | 18 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 5 | 750 LV | ± 4,0% |
CNN | 17–18 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 49% | 1 | 681 LV | ± 4,0% |
JZ Analytics / Newsmax | 15–17 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 43% | 4 | 841 LV | ± -% |
Newsmax / Zogby | 14–16 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 44% | 3 | 828 LV | ± н / д |
Опросы общественного мнения | 12–14 октября, 2012 | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 49% | 1 | 791 LV | ± 3,4% |
Репо Расмуссена rts | 11 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 4 | 750 LV | ± 4,0% |
American Research Group | 8–11 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 49% | 3 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
Мейсон-Диксон | 8–10 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 7 | 800 LV | ± 3,5% |
NBC / WSJ / Marist Poll | 7–9 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 988 | ± 3,1% |
Опрос UNF | 1–9 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 4 | 790 | ± 3,5% |
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 4 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 49 % | 3 | 1,200 LV | ± 3,0% |
Rasmussen Reports | 4 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни <2035 г.>49% | 2 | 500 LV | ± 4,0% | |
NBC / WSJ / Marist | 29 - 30 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 1 | 1,191 LV | ± 3,3% |
Gravis Marketing | 29–30 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 914 LV | ± 3,4% |
InsiderAdvantage | 24 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 3 | 540 LV | ± 4,0% |
Quinnipiac / NYT / CBS | 18-24 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 44% | 9 | 1,196 LV | ± 3,0% |
Washington Post | 19–23 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 4 | 769 LV | ± 4,5% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 20–23 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 4 | 861 LV | ± 3,3% |
American Research Group | 20–22 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 600 LV | ± 4% |
Miami Herald / Mason-Dixon | 17–19 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 800 LV | ± 3,5% |
Purple Strategies | 15-19 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 18 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 3 | 1,230 LV | ± 2,82% |
FOX NEWS Poll | 16–18 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 44% | 5 | 829 LV | ± 3,0% |
Gravis Marketing | 15–16 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 1,728 LV | ± 2,5% |
Rasmussen Reports | 12 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
NBC / WSJ / Marist Poll | 9–11 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 44% | 5 | 980 LV | ± 3,1% |
Mclaughlin Associates (R) | 9–10 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 47% | Митт Ромни | 50% | 3 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
Исследование США A | 7–9 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 44% | 4 | 596 LV | ± 4,1% |
Gravis Marketing | 2 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46,7% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1,3 | 1,288 LV | ± 2,7% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 31 августа - 2 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 1 | 1548 LV | ± 2,5% |
16 голосов выборщиков . (республиканец в 2004 году ) 58% –41%. (республиканец в 2008 году ) 52% –47%
Источник опроса | Дата проведения | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Ведущий запас | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | 31 октября - 3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44% | Митт Ромни | 52% | 8 | 1,070 LV | ± 3,5% |
Insight, LLC | 29–31 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 46% | Митт Ромни | 52% | 6 | 1,316 LV | ± 2,7% |
SurveyUSA | 25–28 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44% | Митт Ромни | 52% | 8 | 574 LV | ± 4,2% |
Abt SRBI Inc / Atlanta Journal-Конституция | 8–11 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 43% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 8 | 706 LV | ± 5,0% |
Insider Преимущество | 18 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 35% | Митт Ромни | 56% | 21 | 483 LV | ± 4,5% |
YouGov | 7 - 14 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 7 | 1,020 LV | ± - -% |
4 голоса выборщиков . (Демократы в 2004 году ) 54% –45%. (Демократы в 2008 году ) 72% –27%
Опрос источник | Дата администрирования | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Предел опережения | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merriman River Group | 24–26 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 61% | Митт Ромни | 34% | 27 | 1218 | ± 2,8% |
Honolulu Civil Beat / MRG | 26–28 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 62% | Митт Ромни | 30% | 32 | 1,648 | ± 2,4% |
4 голоса выборщиков . (республиканец в 2004 г. ) 68% –30%. (Республиканец в 2008 г. ) 61% –36%
Источник опроса | Дата проведения | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Ведущая маржа | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Мейсон-Диксон | 8–10 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 27% | Митт Ромни | 63% | 36 | 625 LV | ± 4% |
20 голосов выборщиков . (Демократы в 2004 г. ) 55% –45%. (Демократическая партия в 2008 г. ) 62% –37%
Источник опроса | Дата проведения | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Ведущая маржа | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | 31 октября - 3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 57% | Митт Ромни | 38% | 19 | 1,126 LV | ± 3,3% |
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 30 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 57% | Митт Ромни | 41% | 16 | 1,198 LV | ± 2,95% |
YouGov | 4–11 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 58% | Митт Ромни | 38% | 20 | 850 LV | ± 3,9% |
Chicago Tribune / WGN | 4–8 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 55% | Митт Ромни | 36% | 19 | 700 RV | ± 3,7% |
YouGov | 7–14 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 59% | Митт Ромни | 36% | 23 | 1,086 | ± -% |
Мы Спросите Америку | 5 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 54% | Митт Ромни | 37% | 17 | 1382 | ± 2,8% |
11 голосов выборщиков . (республиканец в 2004 г. ) 60% –39%. (Демократический в 2008 г. ) 50% –49%
Источник опроса | Дата администрирования | Демократ | % | Республиканец | % | Максимальный запас | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | 31 октября - 3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 44% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 7 | 768 LV | ± 4,1% |
Rasmussen Reports | 1 ноября, 2012 | Барак Обама | 43% | Митт Ромни | 52% | 9 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
Университет ДеПау | 28–30 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 41% | Митт Ромни | 51% | 10 | 800 LV | ± 3,5% |
Pharos Research | 26–28 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 42% | Митт Ромни | 55% | 13 | 753 LV | ± 3,5% |
Маклафлин | 24–25 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 41% | Митт Ромни | 55% | 14 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
Rasmussen Reports | 10–11 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 41% | Митт Ромни | 54% | 13 | 600 LV | ± 4,0% |
Хоуи-Депау | 19–23 сентября 2012 г. | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 12 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 628 | ±4.0% |
6 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 50%–49%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | De mocrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,122 LV | ±2.9% |
American Research Group | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,040 LV | ±3.5% |
Grove Insight | November 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Des Moines Register | October 30 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
Gravis Marketing | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 594 LV | ±4.0% |
Mellman Group | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.8% | Mitt Romney | 47.3% | 1.5 | 1,174 LV | ±3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 750 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling | October 29–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 676 LV | ±3.8% |
NBC/Marist College | October 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,142 LV | ±3% |
University of Iowa | October 18–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44.4% | Mitt Romney | 45.2% | 0.8 | 320 LV | ±5.6% |
Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 517 LV | ±4.3% |
Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 690 LV | ±3.7% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | October 18–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 660 LV | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling | October 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 869 LV | ±3.3% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | October 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 1,137 LV | ±2.9% |
We Ask America | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,499 LV | ±2.6% |
American Research Group | October 11–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We A sk America | September 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,064 LV | ±3.1% |
Public Policy Polling | September 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 754 LV | ±3.6% |
American Research Group | September 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | September 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 898 LV | ±3.3% |
6 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 62%–37%. (Republican in 2008 ) 57%–42%
8 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 60%–40%. (Republican in 2008 ) 57%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Repub lican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 14 | 606 LV | ±4.1% |
8 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 57%–42%. (Republican in 2008 ) 59%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magellan Strategies | October 2 – 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36.2% | Mitt Romney | 58.8% | 22.6 | 2,682 LV | ±1.9% |
Clarus Research | September 5 – 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 16 | 602 LV | ±4.0% |
4 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 53%–45%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 58%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maine People's Resource Center | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53.3% | Mitt Romney | 42.2% | 11.1 | 905 LV | ±3.26% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 13 | 1,633 LV | ±2.4% |
Critical Insights | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 613 LV | ±4% |
Pan Atlantic SMS | September 24–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.8% | Mitt Romney | 36.8% | 14 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | September 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 804 LV | ±3.5% |
10 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 56%–43%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 61%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 22 | 705 LV | ±4.1% |
OpinionWorks | October 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 | 801 LV | ±3.5% |
Washington Post | October 11 – 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 24 | 843 LV | ±4.0% |
YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 21 | 498 LV | ±5.2% |
Gonzales Research Marketing Strategies | September 17–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 | 813 | ±3.5% |
11 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 62%–37%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Massachusetts | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | 800 LV | ±4.1% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | 811 LV | ±3.6% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 15 | 1,089 LV | ±3% |
West New England University | October 26 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 18 | 535 LV | ±4% |
Suffolk | October 25 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 63% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 32 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Boston Globe/UNH | October 24 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 583 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
MassINC/WBUR | October 21 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 20 | 516 LV | ±4.4% |
Kimball Political Consulting | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 761 LV | ±3.48% |
Public Policy Polling | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 18 | 709 LV | ±3.7% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | October 9 – 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 14 | 1,051 LV | ±3.0% |
UMass Amherst | October 2 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 21 | 437 LV | ±5.4% |
MassINC/WBUR | October 5 – 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 16 | 501 LV | ±4.4% |
W.N.E. University | September 28 – October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 63% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 30 | 516 RV | ±4.3% |
WBUR | September 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 28 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
Boston Globe/UNH | September 21 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 30% | 27 | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
UMass Lowell/Herald | September 13 – 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 24 | 497 LV | ±5.5% |
Public Policy Polling | September 13 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 18 | 876 LV | ±3.3% |
Suffolk University | September 13 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 64% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 33 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
WNEU/MassLive.com | September 6 – 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 22 | 444 LV | ±4.6% |
Kimball Political Consulting | September 7 – 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 16 | 756 LV | ±3.5% |
16 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–48%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 1,305 LV | ±2.7% |
Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 700 LV | ±3.7% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,091 LV | ±3.3% |
Baydoun Foster | November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.24% | Mitt Romney | 46.86% | 0.62 | 1,913 LV | ±2.24% |
Rasmussen Reports | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 750 LV | ±4% |
Grove Insight | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Public Policy Polling | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Public Policy Polling | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Glengarriff Group | October 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.7% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2.7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
EPIC-MRA | October 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Baydoun Consulting | October 22–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.92% | Mitt Romney | 46.56% | 0.36 | 1,122 LV | ±2.9% |
Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 551 LV | ±4.2% |
EPIC-MRA | October 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Detroit News | October 6 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Gravis Marketing | October 5 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,122 LV | ±3.2% |
EPIC-MRA | October 4 – 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
FMWB (D) | October 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,122 LV | ±2.93% |
We Ask America | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 12 | 1,064 LV | ±3.1% |
Gravis Marketing | September 21 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 804 LV | ±3.3% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/ORC Poll | September 14–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 754 LV | ±3.5% |
Detroit News | September 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Marketing Resource Group (R) | September 10–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
FMWB (D) | September 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,156 LV | ±2.88% |
EPIC-MRA | September 8–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 10 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | August 31 – September 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 815 LV | ±3.4% |
10 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–48%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 8 | 1,164 LV | ±2.9% |
Survey USA | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | 556 LV | ±4.2% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 790 LV | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 9 | 772 LV | ±-% |
NMB Research | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
Survey USA | October 26–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 574 LV | ±4.2% |
Mason Dixon | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
St. Cloud State University | October 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 8 | 601 LV | ±5% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Survey USA | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 550 LV | ±4.3% |
YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 683 LV | ±4.2% |
NMB Research (R) | October 7 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
Public Policy Polling | October 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 10 | 937 LV | ±3.2% |
The ST Minnesota/Mason-Dixon | September 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 824 | ±3.4% |
SurveyUSA | September 6–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | N/A | ±4.3% |
6 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 59%–40%. (Republican in 2008 ) 56%–43%
10 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 53%–46%. (Republican in 2008 ) 49%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 8 | 835 LV | ±3.4% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 11 | 779 LV | ±3.8% |
Survey USA | October 28 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 589 LV | ±4.1% |
We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42.2% | Mitt Romney | 53.8% | 11.6 | 1,217 LV | ±2.9% |
Mason-Dixon | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 13 | 624 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling | October 19 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 6 | 582 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 12 – 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Wenzel Strategies | October 12 – 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 14 | 1,000 LV | ±3.07% |
Public Policy Polling | October 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 6 | 700 LV | ±3.7% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 1,145 LV | ±2.9% |
Chilenski Strategies/Missouri Scout | September 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 6 | 817 LV | ±3.4% |
YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 734 LV | ±--% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
3 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 59%–39%. (Republican in 2008 ) 49%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 7 | 836 LV | ±3.4% |
Mason Dixon | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 10 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Pharos Research Group | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42.7% | Mitt Romney | 50.4% | 7.7 | 799 LV | ±3.5% |
Pharos Research Group | October 19 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | 828 LV | ±3.4% |
Public Policy Polling | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 10 | 806 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | October 8 – 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 11 | 737 LV | ±3.6% |
Mellman (D-JET PAC) | September 23 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Mason Dixon | September 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 9 | 625 RV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | September 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 956 LV | ±3.8% |
Three way race
Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Dixon | September 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 51% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 9 |
5 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 66%–33%. (Republican in 2008 ) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
We Ask America | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 13 | 1,178 LV | ±2.95% |
Pharos Research Group | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 58% | 19 | 761 LV | ±3.5% |
Wiese Research | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 14 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
Pharos Research Group | October 19 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 10 | 783 LV | ±3.5% |
Wiese Research | September 17 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 11 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
2nd Congressional District
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wiese Research | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 5 | 679 LV | ±3.8% |
Pharos Research Group | October 19 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | N/A | N/A |
Wiese Research | September 17 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied |
6 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 51%–48%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 55%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 750 LV | ±3.6% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 732 LV | ±4.1% |
Mellman Group | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
SurveyUSA | October 23–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,212 LV | ±2.9% |
Grove Insight | October 27–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 955 LV | ±3.2% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,042 LV | ±3% |
Public Policy Polling | October 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 636 LV | ±3.9% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group | October 19 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Project New America | October 15–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
SurveyUSA/Las Vegas RJ | October 11–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 806 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 358 LV | ±6.7% |
Public Policy Polling | October 8–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 594 LV | ±4% |
Suffolk University | October 6–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Gravis Marketing | October 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,006 LV | ±3.1% |
We Ask America | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 1,152 LV | ±3.1% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | September 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 984 LV | ±3.1% |
American Research Group | September 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | September 18 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 501 LV | ±4.4% |
CNN/ORC Poll | September 14–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 741 LV | ±3.5% |
Three way race
Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WeAskAmerica | September 27-27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52.5% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Gary Johnson | 2.3% | 10.5 | 1,152 | ±3.1% |
4 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 50%–49%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New England College | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 687 LV | ±3.7% |
Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,550 LV | ±2.5% |
ARG | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
University of New Hampshire | November 1–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 789 LV | ±3.5% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 690 LV | ±4.1% |
University of New Hampshire | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
Gravis Marketing | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 497 LV | ±4.3% |
New England College | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,017 LV | ±3.7% |
NBC/Marist College | October 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,013 LV | ±3% |
Public Policy Polling | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 874 LV | ±3.3% |
Lake Research | October 24 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 400 LV | ±5% |
Grove Insight/Project New America (D) | October 24 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
New England College | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 571 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group | October 19 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Lake Research | October 18 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
UNH | October 17 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 773 LV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling | October 17 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 1,036 LV | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Suffolk University | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
American Research Group | October 9 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
UNH/WMUR | September 30 – October 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 638 | ±4.1% |
UNH/WMUR | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 15 | 638 | ±4.0% |
American Research Group | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | September 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,012 | ±3.1% |
GQR (D-NH Democratic Party) | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 600 | ±4.9% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
American Research Group | September 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 463 LV | ±% |
UNH/WMUR | September 4–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 592 LV | ±4.0% |
14 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 52%–46%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | 987 LV | ±3.4% |
Philadelphia Inquirer/National Research (R)/GSG (D) | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 | 601 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac University | October 10 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 1,319 LV | ±2.7% |
Philadelphia Inquirer/National Research (R)/GSG (D) | October 4 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 604 LV | ±4.0% |
Rutgers-Eagleton | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 17 | 645 LV | ±3.8% |
Monmouth University | September 19 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 15 | 613 LV | ±4.0% |
YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 12 | 1,040 LV | ±--% |
Philadelphia Inquirer | September 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac | August 27 – September 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,471 LV | ±2.6% |
5 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 50%–49%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 650 LV | ±--% |
Public Opinion Strategies | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
Albuquerque Journal | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | 662 LV | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 9 | 727 LV | ±n/a% |
Albuquerque Journal | October 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 658 LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | September 17 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 3,111 LV | ±1.8% |
Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 1,122 LV | ±2.9% |
The Albuquerque Journal | September 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 667 LV | ±3.8% |
Three way race
Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
Albuquerque Journal | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 9 | 662 LV | ±3.8% |
Albuquerque Journal | October 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 10 | 658 LV | ±3.8% |
WeAskAmerica | September 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.9% | Mitt Romney | 40.6% | Gary Johnson | 3.9% | 10.3 | 1,258 LV | ±2.58% |
The Albuquerque Journal | September 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 5 | 667 LV | ±3.8% |
29 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 58%–40%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 63%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 23 | 1,430 LV | ±2.8% |
SurveyUSA | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 29 | 554 LV | ±4.1% |
Siena | October 22 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | 750 LV | ±3.6% |
Marist | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 61% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 26 | 565 LV | ±4.1% |
YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | 1,142 LV | ±3.2% |
Quinnipiac | September 4–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 28 | 1,486 LV | ±2.5% |
15 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 56%–44%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 50%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 4 | 1,130 LV | ±2.9% |
Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 926 LV | ±3.2% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 1,500 LV | ±2.8% |
Public Policy Polling | October 29 – 31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 730 LV | ±3.6% |
High Point University | October 22–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 403 LV | ±5% |
Survey USA | October 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 682 LV | ±3.8% |
Elon University | October 21 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,238 LV | ±2.79% |
Grove Insight/Project New America (D) | October 23 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 880 LV | ±3.3% |
Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 8 | 1,723 LV | ±2.4% |
Civitas Institute | October 20–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Grove Insight/Project New America (D) | October 17 – 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 1,084 LV | ±3.0% |
High Point University/UNC | September 29 – October 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 605 RV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Gravis Marketing | October 6–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 9 | 1,325 LV | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Survey USA | September 29 – October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 573 LV | ±4.2% |
American Research Group | September 28 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 981 LV | ±3.1% |
Civitas Institute (R) | September 18–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Purple Strategist | September 15–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
HPU/FOX8 Poll | September 8–13, 15–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 448 RV | ±4.7% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 6 | 500 RV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,087 LV | ±3.0% |
Civitas/SurveyUSA | September 4–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 10 | 500 RV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | August 31 – Sept 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 1,012 LV | ±3.1% |
3 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 63%–36%. (Republican in 2008 ) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Dixon | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 14 | 625 LV | ±4% |
Pharos Research | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37.8% | Mitt Romney | 54.6% | 16.8 | 752 LV | ±3.6% |
Pharos Research | October 19 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.3% | Mitt Romney | 49.4% | 10.1 | 807 LV | ±3.44% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 17 – 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Essman Research | October 12 – 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 32% | Mitt Romney | 57% | 25 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Mason-Dixon | October 3 – 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 14 | 625 LV | ±4.0% |
DFM Research (D-ND Dems/NPL) | September 24 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 12 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
18 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 51%–49%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 4–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,316 LV | ±2.7% |
Zogby/Newsmax | November 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.9% | Mitt Romney | 43.5% | 7.4 | 832 LV | ±3.5% |
Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 680 LV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | 1,040 RV | ±3.5% | ||
Rasmussen Reports | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1% |
Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 572 LV | ±4.1% |
Zogby/Newsmax | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.1% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6.1 | 831 LV | ±3.5% |
Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 712 LV | ±4.2% |
Survey USA | November 1–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 803 LV | ±3.5% |
University of Cincinnati | October 31 – November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 901 LV | ±3.3% |
Zogby/Newsmax | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.2% | Mitt Romney | 42.3% | 7.9 | 827 LV | ±3.5% |
Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 1,031 LV | ±3.5% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,620 LV | ±3% |
Columbus Dispatch | October 24 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,501 LV | ±2.2% |
Grove Insight | November 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,012 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 750 LV | ±4% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 971 LV | ±3.1% |
We Ask America | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,649 LV | ±2.6% |
CNN | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 796 LV | ±3.5% |
Reuters/Ipsos | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 936 LV | ±3.7% |
Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 1,281 LV | ±2.7% |
Reuters/Ipsos | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 885 LV | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling | October 29 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Zogby/Newsmax | October 28 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 826 LV | ±3.5% |
University of Cincinnati | October 25 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,182 LV | ±2.9% |
Pulse Opinion Research | October 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Grove Insight | October 28 – 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Zogby/Newsmax | October 27 – 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 825 LV | ±3.5% |
SurveyUSA | October 26 – 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 603 LV/AV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4% |
Pharos Research | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 765 LV | ±3.5% |
Zogby/Newsmax | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 827 LV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 718 LV | ±3.7% |
CBS/Quinnipiac University | October 23 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,110 LV | ±3% |
Gravis Marketing | October 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 730 LV | ±3.6% |
Mellman Group | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
CNN/ORC Poll | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 741 RV | ±3.5% |
Purple Strategies | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
American Research Group | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Time Magazine | October 22 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 783 LV | ±3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
Lake Research | October 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
University of Cincinnati | October 18 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Tied | 1,015 LV | ±3.1% |
SurveyUSA | October 20 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 609 LV | ±4.1% |
Pharos Research | October 19 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49.9% | Mitt Romney | 45.2% | 4.7 | 810 LV | ±3.44% |
Suffolk University | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac/CBS News Poll | October 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,548 LV | ±3% |
Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 550 LV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling | October 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 532 LV | ±4.3% |
Gravis Marketing | October 18 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 1,943 LV | ±2.2% |
Fox News Poll | October 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 1,131 LV | ±3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
SurveyUSA | October 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 613 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | October 12–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 880 LV | ±3.3% |
JZ Analytics/Newsmax | October 9 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 835 LV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
Gravis Marketing | October 6 – 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,313 LV | ±2.7% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | October 7 – 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 994 LV | ±3.1% |
JZ Analytics/Newsmax | October 7 – 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 842 LV | ±3.4% |
Survey USA | October 5 – 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 808 LV | ±3.5% |
CNN/ORC Poll | October 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 722 LV | ±3.5% |
American Research Group | October 5 – 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,200 LV | ±3.0% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | September 30 – October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 931 LV | ±3.2% |
Public Policy Polling | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 897 LV | ±3.3% |
Columbus Dispatch | September 19 – 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 1,662 RV | ±2.2% |
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS Poll | September 18 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 10 | 1,162 LV | ±3.0% |
Washington Post | September 19 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 759 LV | ±4.5% |
Gravis Marketing | September 21 – 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 594 LV | ±4.3% |
Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Ohio Newspaper Poll | September 13 – 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 861 LV | ±3.3% |
FOX NEWS Poll | September 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,009 LV | ±3.0% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | September 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 979 LV | ±3.1% |
American Research Group | September 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,072 LV | ±3.0% |
Gravis Marketing | September 7–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,548 LV | ±2.7% |
Gravis Marketing | September 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,381 RV | ±2.9% |
Three way race
Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | September 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 7 | 594 | ±4.3% |
Gravis Marketing | September 7–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 1,548 | ±2.7% |
7 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 66%–34%. (Republican in 2008 ) 67%–34%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll | October 18 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 59% | 26 | 305 LV | ±5.6% |
7 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–47%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 921 LV | ±3.2% |
Elway Research | October 25 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 405 LV | ±5% |
Hoffman Research | October 24 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 615 LV | ±3.9% |
Survey USA | October 16 – 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 579 LV | ±4.2% |
Survey USA | September 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | 552 LV | ±4.3% |
20 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–48%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,060 LV | ±3% |
Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 2 – 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 507 LV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling | November 2 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 790 LV | ±3.5% |
Muhlenberg College | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 430 LV | ±5% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 1,273 LV | ±3.3% |
Susquehanna Polling (R) | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
Pulse Opinion Research | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Franklin Marshall College | October 23–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 547 LV | ±4.2% |
Philadelphia Inquirer | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Gravis Marketing | October 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 887 LV | ±3.3% |
Pharos Research | October 19 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49.5% | Mitt Romney | 45.5% | 4 | 760 LV | ±3.55% |
Muhlenberg | October 17 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 444 LV | ±5.0% |
Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 10 | 559 LV | ±4.2% |
Quinnipiac | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,519 LV | ±2.5% |
Public Policy Polling | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Muhlenberg | October 10 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 438 LV | ±5.0% |
Philadelphia Inquirer | October 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Susquehanna (R) | October 4 – 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 725 LV | ±3.64% |
Siena | October 1 – 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 3 | 545 LV | ±4.2% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | September 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 427 LV | ±5.0% |
Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS | September 18–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 12 | 1,180 LV | ±3.0% |
Franklin and Marshall College | September 18–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 392 LV | ±4.9% |
Susquehanna (R) | September 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
Mercyhurst University | September 12–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 522 LV | ±4.29% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | September 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 1,214 LV | ±2.8% |
Muhlenberg College | September 10–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | 640 LV | ±4.0% |
Philadelphia Inquirer | September 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4% |
4 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 59%–39%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 63%–35%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming Associates | October 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 21 | 601 LV | ±4% |
Brown University | September 26 – October 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 26 | 471 LV | ±4.4% |
Fleming Associates | September 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57.3% | Mitt Romney | 33.1% | 24.2 | 501 LV | ±4.38% |
9 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 58%–41%. (Republican in 2008 ) 54%–45%
3 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 60%–38%. (Republican in 2008 ) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Neilson Brothers | October 28–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 8 | 671 LV | ±3.78% |
11 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 57%–43%. (Republican in 2008 ) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 11 | 697 LV | ±4% |
Middle Tennessee State University | October 16 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 59% | 25 | 609 LV | ±4% |
YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 9 | 484 LV | ±5% |
YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 8 | 694 LV | ±--% |
38 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 61%–38%. (Republican in 2008 ) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 57% | 19 | 1,563 LV | ±3.2% |
Texas U/Texas Tribune | October 15 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 16 | 540 LV | ±4.22% |
YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 14 | 958 LV | ±4.5% |
Texas Lyceum | September 10 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 58% | 19 | 1,175 RV | ±4.66% |
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research (R) | September 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 15 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1% |
6 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 72%–26%. (Republican in 2008 ) 62%–34%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deseret News/KSL | October 26 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 26% | Mitt Romney | 69% | 43 | 870 LV | ±3.4% |
Key Research | October 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 20% | Mitt Romney | 71% | 51 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Insider Advantage | October 8–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 21% | Mitt Romney | 74% | 53 | n/a | ±7.6% |
3 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 59%–39%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 67%–30%
13 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 54%–46%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 53%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby/Newsmax | November 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.5% | Mitt Romney | 47.9% | 0.6 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 828 LV | ±3.9% |
49% | 42% | 7 | 1,111 RV | ±3.4% | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | November 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 975 LV | ±3.1% |
Zogby/Newsmax | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51.8% | Mitt Romney | 44.2% | 7.6 | 814 LV | ±3.5% |
Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 662 LV | ±4.3% |
Zogby/Newsmax | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.4% | Mitt Romney | 44.2% | 6.2 | 819 LV | ±3.1% |
Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 947 LV | ±3.6% |
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,497 LV | ±2.7% |
NBC/Marist College | November 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,165 LV | ±2.9% |
Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 1,065 LV | ±3.4% |
Mellman Group | October 30 – November 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 800 LV | ±3.4% |
We Ask America | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,069 LV | ±3% |
Reuters/Ipsos | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 792 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling | October 30 – 31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Reuters/Ipsos | October 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 703 LV | ±4.2% |
Pulse Opinion Research | October 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
Zogby/Newsmax | October 28 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
Zogby/Newsmax | October 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 4 | 829 LV | ±3.5% |
Zogby/Newsmax | October 26–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,076 LV | ±3% |
CBS/Quinnipiac University | October 23 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,074 LV | ±3% |
Garin Hart Yang | October 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 807 LV | --- |
Gravis Marketing | October 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 645 LV | ±3.9% |
Roanoke College | October 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 5 | 638 LV | ±4% |
Washington Post Poll | October 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 1,228 LV | ±3.5% |
Zogby/Newsmax | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Tied | 834 LV | ±3.5% |
Purple Strategies | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
Fox News | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1126 LV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling | October 23 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 722 LV | ±3.6% |
JZ Analytic | October 22 – 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 832 LV | ±3.5% |
Mellman | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 19 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3.07% |
Public Policy Polling | October 18 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 3 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
Old Dominion University | September 19 – October 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 465 LV | ±3.4% |
Public Policy Polling | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 733 LV | ±3.6% |
American Research Group | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Kimball Political Consulting | October 12 – 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 11 | 696 LV | ±3.7% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
McLaughlin | October 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | October 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 981 LV | ±3.1% |
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS | October 4–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 1,288 LV | ±2.7% |
Public Policy Polling | October 4–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 725 LV | ±3.7% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 1,200 LV | ±3.0% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | September 30 – October 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,273 RV | ±3.1% |
Roanoke College | September 19 – 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 589 LV | ±4.0% |
American Research Group | September 24 – 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Suffolk University | September 24 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
FOX NEWS Poll | September 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | 1,006 LV | ±3.0% |
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS | September 11–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,474 LV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 1,021 LV | ±3.1% |
Washington Post | September 12–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 847 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | September 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 996 LV | ±3.1% |
Gravis Marketing | September 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 5 | 2,238 LV | ±2.2% |
Four way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Constitution | % | Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | September 24 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Virgil Goode | 1% | 2 |
12 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 53%–46%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 58%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 837 LV | ±--% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 7 | 932 LV | ±3.2% |
Survey USA | October 28 – 31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 555 LV | ±4.2% |
University of Washington | October 18 – 31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 632 LV | ±3.9% |
Strategies 360 | October 17 – 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Public Policy Polling | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 574 LV | ±--% |
The Washington Poll | October 1–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | 782 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
SurveyUSA | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 543 LV | ±4.3% |
SurveyUSA | September 28 – 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 20 | 540 LV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Gravis Marketing | September 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 17 | 625 RV | ±4.6% |
Elway | September 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 17 | 405 RV | ±5.0% |
Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 563 | ±n/a% |
KING5NEWS/SurveyUSA | September 7–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 16 | 700 | ±4.4% |
5 electoral votes. (Republican in 2004 ) 56%–43%. (Republican in 2008 ) 56%–43%
10 electoral votes. (Democratic in 2004 ) 50%–49%. (Democratic in 2008 ) 56%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Республиканец | % | Максимальный запас | Размер выборки | Погрешность |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Общественное мнение Ангуса Рейда | 1–3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 7 | 482 LV | ± 4,5% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 2–3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 3 | 1,256 LV | ± 2,8% |
YouGov | 31 октября - 3 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 4 | 1,225 LV | ± 3,1% |
Grove Insight | 1–2 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 42% | 6 | 500 LV | ± 4,4% |
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 30 октября - 1 ноября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 52% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 7 | 1,210 LV | ± 3% |
Wenzel Strategies (R) | 30 октября - 31, 2012 | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 2 | 1,074 LV | ± 3% |
Pulse Opinion Research | Октябрь 30, 2012 | Барак Обама | 49% | M итт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 1000 LV | ± 3% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 29–30 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 5 | 825 LV | ± 3,4% |
Rasmussen Reports | 29 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 49% | Галстук | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
NBC / Marist College | 28–29 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 3 | 1,065 LV | ± 3% |
St. Колледж Норберта | 25–29 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 42% | 9 | 402 LV | ± 5% |
Университет Маркетт | 25–28 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 43% | 8 | 1243 LV | ± 2,8% |
Grove Insight | 24–25 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 48% | Митт Ромни | 43% | 5 | 500 LV | ± 4,4% |
Rasmussen Reports | 25 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 49% | Галстук | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 23–24 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 6 | 827 LV | ± 3,4% |
Общественное мнение Ангуса Рейда | 18–20 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 5 | 502 LV | ± 4,5% |
Rasmussen Reports | 18 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 2 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
Мейсон Диксон | 15–17 октября 2012 г. | Бар ack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 625 LV | ± 4% |
NBC / WSJ / Marist | 15-17 октября, 2012 | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 6 | 1295 RV | ± 3,1% |
Pulse Opinion Research | 15 октября, 2012 | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 3 | 1000 LV | ± 3% |
Университет Маркетт | 11–14 октября, 2012 | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 48% | 1 | 870 LV | ± 3.4% |
YouGov | 4 - 11 октября, 2012 | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 4 | 639 LV | ± 4.9% |
Quinnipiac / NYT / CBS | 4–9 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 3 | 1,327 LV | ± 2,7% |
Rasmussen Reports | 9 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 49% | 2 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 4-6 октября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 47% | 2 | 979 L V | ± 3,1% |
Университет Маркетт | 27-30 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 42% | 11 | 894 LV | ± 3,3% |
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 20-23 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 53% | Митт Ромни | 41% | 12 | 1,238 LV | ± 2,8% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 18-19 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 52% | Митт Ромни | 45 % | 7 | 842 LV | ± 3,4% |
NBC / WSJ / Marist Poll | 16-18 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 50% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 5 | 968 LV | ± 3,2% |
Rasmussen Reports | 17 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 49% | Митт Ромни | 46% | 3 | 500 LV | ± 4,5% |
Университет Маркетт | 13–16 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 54% | Митт Ромни | 40% | 14 | 601 LV | ± 3% |
Quinnipiac / NYT / CBS | 11–17 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 51% | Митт Ромни | 45% | 6 | 1,485 LV | ± 3,0% |
T трехсторонняя гонка
Источник опроса | Дата | Демократический | % | Республиканец | % | Либертарианец | % | Ведущая маржа | Размер выборки | Маржа ошибки |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Мы спрашиваем Америку | 20-23 сентября 2012 г. | Барак Обама | 52,5% | Митт Ромни | 41,0% | Гэри Джонсон | 1,2% | 12 | 1,238 LV | ± 2,8% |
3 голоса выборщиков . (республиканец в 2004 году ) 69% –29%. (республиканец в 2008 году ) 65% –33%
Опросы не проводились