Отчет о политическом мнении США в 2020 году
Это список общенационального общественного мнения опросы, которые были проведены в отношении праймериз Демократической партии на президентских выборах в США в 2020 году. Лица, названные в опросах, объявлены кандидатами или получили предположения в СМИ об их возможной кандидатуре.
Учитывая большое количество кандидатов, оценки некоторых кандидатов с низким и редко получаемым голосованием были объединены в столбце «Другое»; их точные оценки можно увидеть, просмотрев сноски, относящиеся к каждому опросу. Включенные опросы относятся к демократам или демократам и независимым сторонникам демократов, и не включают независимых сторонников республиканцев. Открытые опросы включены и отмечены звездочкой (*), но закрытые версии таких опросов перечислены там, где это возможно. Если предоставлено несколько версий опросов, приоритет отдается версии, использованной для квалификации дебатов, затем версии среди вероятных избирателей, затем зарегистрированных избирателей, затем взрослых.
Содержание
- 1 Предпосылки
- 2 Агрегирование опросов
- 3 2020
- 3,1 апрель – август 2020 г.
- 3,2 март 2020 г.
- 3,3 февраля 2020 г.
- 3,4 января 2020 г.
- 4 2019
- 4,1 декабрь 2019
- 4,2 ноябрь 2019
- 4,3 октябрь 2019
- 4,4 сентябрь 2019
- 4,5 август 2019
- 4,6 июль 2019
- 4,7 апрель – июнь 2019
- 4,8 март 2019
- 4,9 Январь – февраль 2019 г.
- 5 До 2019 г.
- 5,1 Октябрь – декабрь 2018 г.
- 5.2 До октября 2018 г.
- 6 Опросы с участием Хиллари Клинтон и Мишель Обама
- 7 Лицом к лицу опросы
- 8 Оценки благоприятствования
- 8.1 С февраля 2020 года по апрель 2020 года
- 8.2 С октября 2019 года по январь 2020 года
- 8.3 До октября 2019 года
- 9 См. также
- 10 Примечания
- 11 Ссылки
- 12 Внешние ссылки
Предыстория
Национальный комитет Демократической партии (DNC) определил, что кандидаты могут претендовать на участие в первых двух первичных дебатах Демократической партии либо голосование на уровне 1% или выше по крайней мере в трех странах или графах Опросы y-state (Айова, Нью-Гэмпшир, Невада и Южная Каролина ), спонсируемые или проводимые указанными организациями (в разных регионах если одна и та же организация), опубликованные после 1 января 2019 года до 12 июня 2019 года, или порогом сбора средств, требующим не менее 65000 уникальных доноров и не менее 200 в 20 разных штатах. Если более 20 кандидатов соответствуют любому пороговому значению, тогда кандидаты, соответствующие обоим пороговым значениям, будут иметь наивысший приоритет для вступления в дебаты, за ними следуют кандидаты с самым высоким средним показателем по опросам и кандидаты с наибольшим количеством доноров. Организаторами опросов и спонсорами опросов, назначенных для рассмотрения DNC, являются Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, The Des Moines Register, Fox News, Las Vegas Review-Journal, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, National Public Radio, Quinnipiac University, Reuters, University of New Hampshire, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post и Winthrop University. Открытые опросы не учитываются при подсчете порога опроса. При подсчете порогового значения учитываются только результаты опроса на высшем уровне.
Для третьего и четвертого первичных дебатов кандидаты должны были соответствовать пороговым значениям как для голосования, так и для сбора средств. Ранее рассматривались только опросы в период с 28 июня по 28 августа 2019 г., число которых увеличилось до 4 при поддержке 2%, теперь без учета опросов, спонсируемых журналом Las Vegas Review-Journal и Reuters; последнее требование было также увеличено до 130 000 уникальных доноров, по крайней мере, 400 в 20 различных штатах.
Другие люди, которые были включены в национальные демократические первичные опросы, но либо решили не баллотироваться, либо не выразили заинтересованности в участии, включают : Стейси Абрамс, Майкл Авенатти, Шеррод Браун, Хиллари Клинтон, Марк Кьюбан, Эндрю Куомо, Аль Франкен, Эрик Гарсетти, Эрик Холдер, Тим Кейн, Джейсон Кандер, Джо Кеннеди III, Джон Керри, Митч Ландриу, Терри МакОлифф, Крис Мерфи, Гэвин Ньюсом, Мишель Обама, Ховард Шульц, Опра Уинфри и Марк Цукерберг.
Агрегирование опросов
На следующем графике показано положение каждого кандидата в агрегаторах опросов с декабря 2018 по апрель 2020 года.
Агрегаты опросовАктивные кандидаты |
Джо Байден |
Другие / Не определившиеся |
Снятые кандидаты |
Берни Сандерс |
Тулси Габбард |
Элизабет Уоррен |
Майкл Блумберг |
Эми Клобучар |
Пит Буттигиг |
Эндрю Ян |
Кори Букер |
Камала Харрис |
Бето О'Рурк |
События |
Дебаты |
Собрания и праймериз |
пандемия COVID-19. национальная декларация о чрезвычайной ситуации |
2020
–
Дебаты квалификационный опрос, назначенный
Национальным комитетом Демократической партии (DNC)
апрель – август 2020 года
опрос с апреля по август 2020 годаИсточник опроса | Дата (даты). администрирования | Образец. размер | Предел. ошибки | Джо. Байден | Берни. Сандерс | Кто-то. другой | . не проголосовал бы | Затрудняюсь ответить |
---|
| 20 августа | Национальный съезд Демократической партии завершился |
YouGov / Economist | 16-18 августа 2020 г. | 559 (LV) | – | 59% | 33% | – | – | 7% |
| 11 августа | первичные выборы в Коннектикуте |
YouGov / Econ omist | 9-11 августа 2020 г. | 587 (LV) | – | 59% | 33% | – | – | 8% |
YouGov / Economist | 2-4 августа 2020 г. | 527 (LV) | – | 61% | 32% | – | – | 7% |
YouGov / Economist | 26-28 июля 2020 г. | 576 (LV) | – | 60% | 33% | – | – | 7% |
YouGov / Economist | 19-21 июля 2020 г. | 557 (LV) | – | 61% | 32% | – | – | 7% |
YouGov / Economist | 12-14 июля 2020 г. | 598 (LV) | – | 58% | 35% | – | – | 8% |
| 12 июля | Пуэрто-Рико |
| 11 июля | Праймериз в Луизиане |
| 7 июля | Делавэр и Нью-Джерси праймериз |
YouGov / Economist | 5 июля - 7, 2020 | 559 (LV) | – | 57% | 34% | – | – | 10% |
YouGov / Economist | 28-30 июня 2020 г. | 605 (LV) | – | 59% | 34% | – | – | 7% |
| 23 июня | Кентукки и Нью-Йорк первичные выборы |
YouGov / Economist | июнь 21-23, 2020 | 561 (LV) | – | 57% | 37% | – | – | 6% |
YouGov / Economist | 14-16 июня 2020 | 541 (LV) | – | 60% | 33% | – | – | 7% |
| 9 июня | Джорджия и Западная Вирджиния праймериз |
YouGov / Economist | 7-9 июня 2020 г. | 649 (LV) | – | 56% | 38% | – | – | 7% |
| 6 июня | Гуам и США Виргинские острова кокусы |
| 5 июня | Байден получает большинство назначенных делегатов и становится предполагаемым кандидатом от Демократической партии |
| 2 июня | Округ Колумбия, Индиана, Мэриленд, Монтана, Нью-Мексико, Пенсильвания, Род-Айленд и Южная Дакота Демократические праймериз |
YouGov / Economist | 31 мая - 2 июня | 589 (LV) | – | 60% | 33% | – | – | 7% |
Zogby / EMI / Washington Examiner | 26 мая | < 1000 (LV) | – | 55% | – | 37% | – | – |
| 22 мая | Начальные школы на Гавайях |
| 19 мая | Начальные школы в Орегоне |
YouGov / Economist | 17– мая 19 | 581 (LV) | – | 62% | 33% | – | – | 5% |
| 12 мая | Праймериз в Небраске |
YouGov / Economist | 10–12 мая | 602 (LV) | – | 57% | 36% | – | – | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports | 10–11 мая | < 1000 (LV) | – | 54% | – | 28% | – | 18 % |
YouGov / Economist | 3–5 мая | 547 (LV) | – | 55% | 37% | – | – | 7% |
Morning Consult | 2–2 мая 3 | 737 (RV) | ± 4% | 61% | – | 26% | – | 13% |
| 2 мая | Праймериз в Канзасе |
| 28 апреля | Прайс в Огайо |
Winston Group | 27 апреля -28 | ~ 670 (RV) | – | 54% | 17% | 2% | 18% | 8% |
YouGov / Economist | 26–28 апреля | 563 (LV) | – | 59% | 32% | – | – | 9% |
Emerson College | 26–28 апреля | 479 (RV) | – | 68% | 24% | 3% | 2% | 7% |
YouGov / Economist | 19–21 апреля | 544 (LV) | – | 60% | 34% | – | – | 6% |
| 17 апреля | Кокусы в Вайоминге |
YouGov / Economist | 12–14 апреля | 586 (LV) | – | 49% | 31% | 18% | – | 2% |
| 10 апреля | Аляска первичная |
Zogby Analytics | 8–9 апреля | 679 (LV) | ± 3,8% | 61% | – | 30% | – | 9% |
| 8 апреля | Сандерс отказывается от участия в гонке |
| апр 7 | Висконсин начальная школа |
YouGov / Economist | 5–7 апреля | 586 (LV) | – | 49% | 28% | 18% | – | 5% |
CNN / SSRS | 3–6 апреля | 462 (RV) | ± 5,6% | 65% | 30% | 1% | – | 5% |
Morning Consult | 30 марта - 5 апреля | 13,346 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 61% | 36% | 3% | – | – |
Winston Group | 1–3 апреля | ~ 670 (RV) | – | 48% | 27% | 2% | 14% | 10% |
IBD/TIPP [1] | 29 марта - 1 апр | 447 (RV) | – | 62% | 30% | 3% | – | 5% |
март 2020 г.
март 2020 г. опросОпрос источник | Дата (ы). администрирование | Образец. размер | Предел. ошибки | Джо. Байден | Берни. Сандерс | Тулси. Габбард | Кто-то. другой | . не голосовал бы | Затрудняюсь ответить |
---|
YouGov / Economist | 29–31 марта | 573 (LV) | – | 47% | 34% | – | 15% | – | 4% |
HarrisX / The Хилл | 29–30 марта | 425 (RV) | ± 4,7% | 54% | 32% | – | 5% | – | 10% |
Morning Consult | 23–29 марта | 15,101 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 61% | 36% | – | 3% | – | – |
Харва rd-Harris | 24–26 марта | 903 (RV) | – | 58% | 32% | – | – | 1% | 9% |
ABC / Washington Post | 22–25 марта | 388 (RV) | ± 5,5% | 55% | 39% | – | 2% | 5% | 1% |
YouGov / Economist | 22–24 марта | 545 (LV) | – | 47% | 34% | – | 16% | – | 3% |
Echelon Insights | 20 марта - 24 | 490 (LV) | – | 66% | 29% | – | – | – | – |
Ipsos / Reuters | 18–24 марта | 1 981 (A) | ± 2,5% | 53% | 34% | 2% | 2 %% | 0% | 8% |
Утро Проконсультируйтесь с | 16–22 марта | 16,180 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 60% | 36% | – | 5% | – | – |
| 19 марта | Габбард уходит из гонки |
Emerson College | 18–19 марта | 519 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 54% | 42% | – | 4% | – | – |
| 17 марта | Аризона, Флорида и Иллинойс праймериз |
YouGov / Economist | 15–17 марта | 551 (LV) | – | 48% | 32% | – | 13% | – | 6% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 13–16 марта | 458 (RV) | ± 5,2% | 48% | 39% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 8% |
| 15 марта | Одиннадцатые первичные дебаты демократов |
HarrisX / The Hill | 14–15 марта | 894 (RV) | ± 3,3% | 55% | 31% | 4% | 3% | – | 7% |
| 14 марта | Северные Марианские острова Демократическое собрание |
Утро Проконсультируйтесь с | 11–15 марта | 8,869 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 58% | 37% | 3% | 3% | – |
Winston Group | 11–13 марта | ~ 670 (RV) | – | 50% | 24% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 9% |
NBC/WSJ [2] | 11–13 марта | 438 (LV) | ± 4,68% | 61% | 32% | 4% | – | 1% | 2% |
Университет Хофстра | 5 марта –12 | 572 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 58% | 35% | 2% | 5% | – | – |
Morning Consult | 11 марта | 2,072 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 59% | 35% | 3% | 3% | – | – |
| 11 марта | COVID-19 объявлен пандой emic от Всемирной организации здравоохранения ; чрезвычайное положение в стране объявлено 13 марта |
| 10 марта | Демократы за рубежом, Айдахо, Мичиган, Миссисипи, Миссури, Северная Дакота и Вашингтон первичные выборы |
YouGov / Economist | 8–10 марта | 573 (LV) | – | 53% | 38% | 2% | – | 1% | 6% |
Chism Strategies | 9 марта | 840 (LV) | ± 3,38% | 50% | 42% | 4% | – | 5% |
HarrisX / The Hill | 8–9 марта | 442 (RV) | ± 4,6% | 55% | 28% | 5% | 4% | – | 8% |
Ipsos / Reuters | март 6–9 | 420 (RV) | ± 5,5% | 54% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 8% |
Morning Consult | 5–8 марта | 9 593 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 56% | 38% | 3% | 3% | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | 5–8 марта | 559 (RV) | ± 4,2% | 54% | 35% | 2% | 1% | – | 8% |
CNN / SSRS | 4–7 марта | 540 (RV) | ± 5% | 52% | 36% | – | 8% | – | 4% |
Morning Consult | 5 марта | 1390 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 54% | 38% | 2% | 6% | – | – |
Источник опроса | Дата (даты). введено | Образец. размер | Маржа. ошибки | Джо Байден | Майкл Блумберг | Пит Буттигиг | Тулси Габбард | Эми Клобучар | Берни Сандерс | Том Стейер | Элизабет Уоррен | Другие | Не проголосовали бы | Затруднялись ответить |
---|
| 5 марта | Уоррен отказался от участия |
Ipsos / Reuters | 4–5 марта | 474 (RV) | ± 5,1% | 45% | – | – | 1% | – | 32% | – | 11% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
| 4 марта | Bloomberg отказывается от участия в гонке |
| 3 марта | Супер вторник |
Morning Consult | 2–3 марта | 961 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 36% | 19% | – | – | – | 28% | – | 14% | 3% | – | – |
YouGov / Economist | 1–3 марта | 722 (LV) | – | 28% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 2 4% | – | 19% | – | – | – |
| 2 марта | Клобучар отказывается от участия |
HarrisX / The Hill | 1–2 марта | 453 (RV) | ± 4,6% | 28% | 20% | – | 2% | 3% | 23% | – | 11% | 2% | – | 10% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 28 февраля - 2 марта | 469 (RV) | – | 15% | 14% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 24% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 14% |
| 1 марта | Буттигиг отказывается от участия |
Morning Consult | 1 марта | 2,656 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 26% | 17% | 10% | – | 3% | 29% | 1% | 11% | – | – | – |
Февраль 2020 г.
Опрос в феврале 2020 г.Источник опроса | Дата (даты). администрирования | Образец. размер | Маржа. ошибки | Джо Байден | Майкл Блумберг | Пит Буттигиг | Тулси Габбард | Эми Клобучар | Берни Сандерс | Том Стейер | Элизабет Уоррен | Эндрю Ян | Другие | Не проголосовали бы | Undec ided |
---|
| 29 февраля | первичные выборы в Южной Каролине ; Стейер выходит из гонки |
IBD / TIPP | 20–29 февраля | 325 (RV) | – | 20% | 13% | 7% | – | 6% | 23% | – | 17% | – | – | – | – |
Гарвард-Харрис | 26-28 февраля | 925 (RV) | – | 20% | 18% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 25% | 3% | 11% | – | 1% | 2% | 7% |
Morning Consult | 26–27 февраля | 5,334 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 33% | 3% | 11% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov / Yahoo News | 26–27 февраля | – | – | 21% | 14% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 27% | 2% | 18% | – | – | – | – |
Исследование изменений | 25–27 февраля | 821 (LV) | – | 14% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 40% | 2% | 20% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA | 25–26 февраля | 825 (LV) | ± 3,6% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | – | – | – | 5% |
Fox News | фев. 23–26 | 1000 (RV) | ± 4,0% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 1% | 5% | 31% | 2% | 10% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
| 25 февраля | Десятые первичные дебаты Демократической партии |
YouGov / Economist | 23–25 февраля | 584 (LV) | – | 20% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 30% | 1% | 16% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 19 февраля - 25 | 1,808 (RV) | ± 2,6% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 29% | 3% | 12% | – | 1% | 1% | 6% |
HarrisX / The Hill | 23–24 февраля | 470 (RV) | ± 4,5% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% | 3% | 28% | 3% | 8% | – | – | – | 8% |
Morning Consult | 23 февраля | 2631 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 18% | 19% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 32% | 3% | 11% | – | – | – | – |
| 22 февраля | Кокусы в Неваде |
YouGov / CBS News | фев 20–22 | 6,498 (LV) | ± 1,7% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 28% | 2% | 19% | – | 5% | – | – |
Университет Сент-Лео | 17–22 февраля | 310 (LV) | – | 25% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 9% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | 20 февраля | 2,609 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 19% | 17% | 11% | – | 5% | 30% | – | 12% | – | – | – | – |
| 19 февраля | Девятые первичные дебаты Демократической партии |
YouGov / Economist | 16 февраля - 18 | 555 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 18% | 12% | 11% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 2% | 16% | – | – | 2% | 5% |
Emerson College | фев 16–18 | 573 (LV) | ± 2,7% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 29% | 3% | 12% | – | 4% | – | – |
ABC / Wash Post | 14–17 февраля | 408 (RV) | ± 3,5% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 32% | 2% | 12% | – | – | – | – |
NBC / WSJ | 14–17 февраля | 426 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 2% | 14% | – | – | – | – |
Ipsos / Reuters | 14–17 февраля | 543 (RV) | ± 5,0% | 13% | 17% | 11% | – | 5% | 25% | – | 9% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA | 13–17 февраля | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 18 % | 18% | 12% | – | 4% | 29% | 2% | 10% | – | 1% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | 12–17 февраля | 15,974 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 19% | 20% | 12% | 2% | 6% | 28% | 3% | 10% | – | 1% | – | – |
Winston Group | 15 февраля - 16 | ~ 670 (RV) | – | 13% | 16% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 23% | 3% | 9% | – | 1% | 9% | 10% |
NPR / PBS NewsHour / Marist | 13–16 февраля | 1,164 (RV) | ± 3,7% | 15% | 19% | 8% | 0% | 9% | 31% | 2% | 12% | – | 0% | – | 5% |
HarrisX / The Hill | 14–15 февраля | 449 (RV) | ± 4,6% | 19% | 18% | 10% | 0% | 6% | 22% | 3% | 12% | – | – | – | 8% |
Zogby Analytics | 13–14 февраля | 732 (LV) | ± 3,6% | 18% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 24% | 4% | 10% | – | 2% | – | 6% |
YouGov / GW Politics | 3–14 февраля | 437 (RV) | – | 21,5% | 9,4% | 10,5% | 1,4% | 3,1% | 20,3% | 1,1% | 14,9% | 4,1% | 1,1% | 3,5% | 8,9% |
Morning Consult | 12 февраля | 2639 (LV) | ± 2% | 19% | 18% | 11% | – | 5% | 29% | – | 10% | – | – | – | – |
| 11 февраля | Прайс-лист Нью-Гэмпшира ; Ян отказывается от участия |
YouGov / Economist | 9–11 февраля | 552 (LV) | – | 18% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 22% | 1% | 15% | 2% | – | 1% | 6% |
McLaughlin Associates | 7–11 февраля | 479 (LV) | – | 24% | 16% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 21% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 1% | – | 7% |
HarrisX / The Hill | 7–10 февраля | 913 (RV) | ± 3,2% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 3% | – | 11% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 6–10 февраля | 556 (RV) | ± 3,6% | 17% | 15% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 20% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 14% |
Университет Монмаута | 6–9 февраля | 357 (RV) | ± 5,2% | 16% | 11% | 13% | 1% | 6% | 26% | 1% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 5% |
Quinnipiac University | 5–9 февраля | 665 (RV) | ± 3,8% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 25% | 1% | 14% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Morning Consult | 4–9 февраля | 15,348 (LV) | ± 1% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 25% | 3% | 11% | 4% | 2% | – | – |
| 7 февраля | восьмые первичные дебаты Демократической партии |
Утро Проконсультируйтесь | 5 февраля | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 24% | 15% | 12% | – | 3% | 25% | 3% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [3] | 4 февраля - 5 | 891 (LV) | ± 3% | 25% | 14% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 22% | 3% | 13% | 4% | 1% | – | 4% |
Morning Consult | фев. 4 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 27% | 16% | 9% | – | 3% | 24 % | 3% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – |
YouGov / Economist | 2–4 февраля | 616 (LV) | – | 24% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 19% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Morning Consult | 3 февраля | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 29% | 16% | 7% | – | 3% | 22% | 2% | 13% | 5% | – | – | – |
| 3 февраля | Кокусы в Айове |
Ipsos / Reuters | 31 января - 3 февраля | 551 (RV) | – | 22% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 17% |
Winston Group | 31 января - 2 февраля | ~ 670 (RV) | – | 20% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 9% |
Atlas Intel | 30 января - 2 февраля | 532 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 28% | – | 11% | 3% | – | – | 12% |
Утренний консул t | 27 января - 2 февраля | 15,259 (LV) | ± 1% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 24% | 3% | 14% | 4% | 3% | – | – |
январь 2020
Опрос января 2020Источник опроса | Дата (даты). администрирования | Образец. размер | Предел. ошибки | Джо Байден | Майкл Блумберг | Пит Буттигиг | Эми Клобучар | Берни Сандерс | Том Стейер | Элизабет Уоррен | Эндрю Янг | Другое | Не определился |
---|
Ipsos / Reuters | 29–30 января | 565 (RV) | ± 5,0% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 18% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 1% | – |
IBD / TIPP | 23–30 января | 336 (RV) | – | 26% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 2% | 13% | 4% | 7% | 11% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 27–29 января | 980 (RV) | – | 31% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 20% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 7% |
N BC / WSJ [4] | 26–29 января | 428 (LV) | ± 4,74% | 26% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 27% | 2% | 15% | 4% | 3% | 2 % |
YouGov / Economist | 26–28 января | 591 (LV) | – | 26% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 24% | 1% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
USC Dornlife / LA Times [5] | 15–28 января | 2227 (LV) | ± 2% | 34% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 18% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
Quinnipiac University | 22–27 января | 827 (RV) | ± 3,4% | 26% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 21% | 2% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 11% |
YouGov Blue / Data for Progress | 18–27 января | 1,619 ( LV) | ± 2,6% | 30% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 2% | 23% | 4% | 2% | – |
Morning Consult | 20–26 января | 17 836 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 29% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 23% | 3% | 14% | 5% | 4% | – |
YouGov Blue / Данные по прогрессу | 18–26 января | 1,619 (LV) | ± 2,6% | 42% | – | – | – | 23% | – | 30% | – | – | – |
Ipsos / Reuters | 22–23 января | 545 (RV) | ± 5,0% | 24% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 20% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 1% | – |
Emerson College | 21–23 января | 497 (LV) | ± 4,1% | 30 % | 7% | 6% | 4% | 27% | 1% | 13% | 8% | 4% | – |
Echelon Insights | 20–23 января | 474 (LV) | – | 26% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 23% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
Washington Post / ABC News | 20–23 января | 276 (LV) | – | 34% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 22% | 1% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 3% |
Winston Group | 21-22 января | ~ 670 (RV) | – | 20% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 18% | 11% |
HarrisX / The Hill | 20–22 января | 878 (RV) | ± 3,3% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 17% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 11% |
Fox News | 19–22 января | 495 (LV) | ± 4,0% | 26% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 23% | 3% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 5 % |
YouGov / Economist | 19–21 января | 470 (RV) | – | 28% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 18% | 2% | 21% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
Монмутский университет | 16–20 января | 372 (LV) | ± 5,1% | 30% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 23% | 1% | 14% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
CNN / SSRS | 16–19 января | 500 (RV) | ± 5,3% | 24% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 27% | 2% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
Morning Consult | 15–19 января | 12,402 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 29% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 24% | 3% | 15% | 4% | 5% | – |
Pew Research Center * | 6–19 января | 5,861 (RV) | ± 1,9% | 26% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 21% | 1% | 16% | 3% | 13% | 5% |
Zogby Analytics | 15 января –16 | 438 (LV) | – | 24% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 24% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 15–16 января | 428 (RV) | ± 5,4 % | 23% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 22% | 1% | 14 % | 3% | 3% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | 14–16 января | 1,086 (LV) | ± 3,6% | 32% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 21% | 3% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| 14 января | Седьмые первичные дебаты демократов |
HarrisX / The Hill | 13–14 января | 451 (RV) | ± 4,6% | 29% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 19% | 3% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 1 5% |
YouGov / Economist | 11–14 января | 521 (LV) | – | 27% | 5% | 7% | 3 % | 20% | 1% | 19% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| 13 января | Букер отказывается от участия |
Quinnipiac University | 8–12 января | 651 (RV) | ± 3,8% | 25% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 19% | 1% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
Morning Consult | 6–12 января | 17096 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 29% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 23% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 7% | – |
IBD / TIPP | 3–11 января | 333 (RV) | – | 26% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 15% | 2% | 20% | 3% | 7% | 9% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 8–9 января | 436 (RV) | ± 5,4% | 23% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 20% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 6% | 13% |
YouGov / Economist | 5–7 января | 574 (LV) | – | 27% | 3 % | 7% | 3% | 20% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 6% | 5% |
Morning Consult | 30 декабря 2019 г. - 5 января 2020 г. | 17 213 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 31% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 23% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 8% | – |
2019
–
Дебаты квалификационный опрос, назначенный
Национальным комитетом Демократической партии (DNC)
декабрь 2019 года
опрос в декабре 2019 годаИсточник опроса | Дата (даты). администрирования | Образец. размер | Предел. ошибки | Джо Байден | Майкл Блумберг | Кори Букер | Пит Буттигиг | Тулси Габбард | Эми Клобучар | Берни Сандерс | Том Стейер | Элизабет Уоррен | Эндрю Янг | Другое | Не определился |
---|
YouGov / Economist | 28 декабря –31 | 548 (LV) | – | 29% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 19% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
Winston Group | декабрь 28–30 | ~ 670 (RV) | – | 28% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 14% | 13% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 27–29 декабря | 780 (RV) | – | 30% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 17% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 10% |
Morning Consult | 23–29 декабря | 17,787 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 32% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 21% | 3% | 14% | 4% | 5% | – |
The Hill / HarrisX | 27–28 декабря | 431 (RV) | ± 4,7% | 28% | 11% | 2 % | 6% | 2% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 12% |
YouGov / Economist | 22–24 декабря | 586 (LV) | – | 30% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 17% | 1% | 19 % | 3% | 5% | 5% |
Центр Таубмана | 19–23 декабря | 412 (LV) | – | 34% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 19% | – | 20% | 4% | 4% | – |
Morning Consult | 20–22 декабря | 7,178 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 31% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 21% | 3 % | 15% | 5% | 5% | – |
| 19 декабря | Шестые первичные дебаты от демократов |
Ipsos / Reuters | 18–19 декабря | 709 ( A) | – | 18% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 8% | 29% |
McLaughlin Associates | 14–18 декабря | 480 (LV) | – | 27% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 17% | 4% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
Emerson College | 15–17 декабря | 525 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 32% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 25% | 2% | 12% | 6% | 2% | – |
NBC / WSJ | 14 декабря - 17 | 410 (LV) | ± 4,84 % | 28% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 21 % | 1% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
YouGov / Economist | 14–17 декабря | 555 (LV) | – | 29% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 19% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 6% | 4% |
CNN / SSRS | 12–15 декабря | 408 (RV) | ± 5,8% | 26% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 20% | 1% | 16% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
Куиннипиакский университет | 11–15 декабря | 567 (RV) | ± 4,1% | 30% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 16% | 1% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 10% |
Morning Consult | 9–15 декабря | 13,384 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 31% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 15% | 4% | 5% | – |
HarrisX / The Hill | 13–14 декабря | 456 (RV) | ± 4,6% | 29% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 9% | 13% |
Саффолкский университет / USA Today | 10–14 декабря | 384 (LV) | – | 23% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 3 % | 14% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 25% |
Echelon Insights | 9–14 декабря | 447 (LV) | – | 37% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 14% | 1% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 13% |
IBD / TIPP | 5 декабря –14 | 312 (RV) | – | 26% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 18% | 2% | 14% | 2% | 10% | 10% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 11–12 декабря | 593 (RV) | – | 21% | 7% | – | 5% | 1% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 6% | 18% |
NPR / PBS NewsHour / Марист | 9–11 декабря | 704 (RV) | ± 5,4% | 24% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 1% | 4% | 22% | <1% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 5% |
Fox News | 8–11 декабря | 1000 (RV) | ± 4,5% | 30% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 20% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 7% |
YouGov / Economist | 7–10 декабря | 497 (LV) | – | 26% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 1% | 21% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
Университет Куиннипиак | 4–9 декабря | 665 (RV) | ± 3,8% | 29% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 1% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 11% |
Zogby Analytics | 5–8 декабря | 443 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 30% | 8% | – | 7% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 3% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 6% |
Монмутский университет | 4–8 декабря | 384 (RV) | ± 5% | 26% | 5% | 2% | 8% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 1% | 17% | 3% | 5% | 11% |
Morning Consult | Dec 2–8 | 15,442 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 30% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 16% | 4% | 5% | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Dec 4–5 | 596 (A) | – | 19% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 14% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 31% |
| Dec 3 | Harris withdraws from the race |
YouGov/Economist | Dec 1–3 | 541 (LV) | – | 27% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 0% | 18% | 2% | 8% | 7% |
The Hill/HarrisX | Nov 30 – Dec 1 | 437 (RV) | – | 31% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 8% | 13% |
David Binder Research | Nov 25 – Dec 1 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 29% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 14% | 2% | 8% | 7% |
Morning Consult | Nov 25 – Dec 1 | 15,773 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 29% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 20% | 2% | 15% | 4% | 11% | – |
November 2019
October 2019
October 2019 pollingPoll source | Date(s). administered | Sample. size | Margin. of error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Tulsi Gabbard | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided |
---|
Harvard-Harris | Oct 29–31 | 640 (RV) | – | 33% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 18% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
Hofstra University/YouGov [6] | Oct 25–31 | 541 (LV) | – | 28% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 12% | 27% | 2% | 3% | 8% |
IBD/TIPP [7] | Oct 24–31 | 361 (RV) | – | 29% | 1% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 23% | 3% | 4% | 13% |
Fox News | Oct 27–30 | 471 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 31% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 21% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | 62% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | Oct 27–30 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 27% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 19% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 5% |
ABC News/Washington Post | Oct 27–30 | 452 (A) | ± 5.5% | 27% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 19% | 21% | 2% | 9–10% | 6% |
YouGov/Economist | Oct 27–29 | 630 (LV) | – | 27% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 14% | 23% | 3% | 6% | 7% |
Swayable | Oct 26–27 | 2,172 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 29% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 19% | 3% | 8% | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 21–27 | 16,186 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 32% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 3% | 7% | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today [8] | Oct 23–26 | 399 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 13% | 17% | 3% | 4% | 18% |
Echelon Insights | Oct 21–25 | 449 (RV) | – | 32% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 22% | 1% | 3% | 11% |
The Hill/HarrisX | Oct 21–22 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 27% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 19% | 2% | 7% | 13% |
YouGov/Economist | Oct 20–22 | 628 (LV) | – | 24% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 21% | 3% | 5% | 6% |
McLaughlin Associates | Oct 17–22 | 468 (LV) | – | 28% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 18% | 16% | 6% | 5% | 15% |
Winston Group | Oct 18 – 21 | ~670 (RV) | – | 27% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 3% | 15% | 13% |
Emerson College | Oct 18–21 | 430 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 27% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 25% | 21% | 4% | 3% | – |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 17–21 | 713 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 21% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 15% | 28% | 1% | 3% | 9% |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 17–20 | 424 (RV) | ± 5.8% | 34% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 19% | 2% | 3% | 6% |
Morning Consult | Oct 16–20 | 11,521 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 30% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 18% | 21% | 3% | 8% | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 17–18 | 566 (RV) | – | 24% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 15% | 17% | 2% | 9% | 16% |
HarrisX | Oct 11–18 | 1,839 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 34% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 16% | 18% | 2% | 4% | 10% |
Morning Consult | Oct 16 | 2,202 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 31% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 21% | 3% | 9% | – |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16 | 1,017 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 17% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Oct 15 | Fourth Democratic primary debate |
YouGov/Economist | Oct 13–15 | 623 (LV) | – | 25% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 28% | 2% | 3% | 6% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 11–13 | 505 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 27% | 2% | 8% | <0.5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 2% | 4% | 8% |
Public Religion Research Institute | Oct 10–13 | 436 (RV) | – | 25% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 17% | 16% | 3% | 3% | 19% |
Morning Consult | Oct 7–13 | 15,683 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 32% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 19% | 21% | 3% | 9% | – |
YouGov/Taubman National Poll | Oct 10–11 | 468 (LV) | – | 25% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 23% | 11% | 8% | – |
HarrisX | Oct 4–11 | 1,841 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 35% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 15% | 18% | 2% | 4% | 8% |
Swayable | Oct 7–8 | 2,077 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 33% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 16% | 21% | 3% | 5% | – |
Fox News | Oct 6–8 | 484 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 32% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 22% | 2% | 5% | 4% |
YouGov/Economist | Oct 6–8 | 598 (LV) | – | 25% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 13% | 28% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
The Hill/HarrisX | Oct 6–7 | 446 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 31% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 17% | 15% | 2% | 6% | 12% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 4–7 | 646 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 26% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 16% | 29% | 3% | 3% | 8% |
Morning Consult | Sep 30 – Oct 6 | 16,529 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 33% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 19% | 21% | 3% | 9% | – |
Avalanche Strategy/Civiqs | Oct 1–4 | 1,043 (LV) | – | 27% | – | 7% | – | 6% | – | – | 12% | 29% | – | – | – |
Raycroft Research | Oct 1–4 | 7,402 (LV) | – | 18% | 2% | 4% | – | 3% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 26% | 6% | 17% | – |
HarrisX | Sep 27 – Oct 4 | 1,815 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 35% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 19% | 2% | 5% | 9% |
YouGov Blue/. Data for Progress | Sep 23 – Oct 4 | 1,276 (LV) | – | 23% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 36% | 3% | 1% | – |
IBD/TIPP | Sep 26 – Oct 3 | 341 (RV) | – | 26% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
Winston Group | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | ~670 (RV) | – | 29% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 11% | 1% | 23% | 10% |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 28 – Oct 1 | 602 (LV) | – | 22% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 26% | 3% | 4% | 8% |
September 2019
September 2019 pollingPoll source | Date(s). administered | Sample. size | Margin. of error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided |
---|
GW Politics / YouGov | Sep 26–30 | 582 (LV) | – | 18% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 21% | 28% | 3% | 12% | 8% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 26–30 | 1,136 (RV) | – | 21% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 15% | 3% | 4% | 22% |
Morning Consult | Sep 23–29 | 16,274 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 32% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 19% | 21% | 3% | 11% | – |
Monmouth University | Sep 23–29 | 434 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 25% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 15% | 28% | 2% | 5% | 10% |
HarrisX | Sep 20–27 | 2,780 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 30% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 16% | 16% | 2% | 11% | 13% |
Swayable | Sep 25–26 | 3,491 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 33% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 20% | 2% | 5% | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 23–24 | 495 (RV) | – | 22% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 14% | 17% | 1% | 8% | 22% |
Harvard-Harris | Sep 22–24 | 693 (RV) | – | 28% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 17% | 3% | 7% | 9% |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 22–24 | 608 (LV) | – | 25% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 16% | 25% | 2% | 7% | 10% |
Emerson College | Sep 21–23 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 25% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 8% | – |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 19–23 | 561 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 25% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 27% | 2% | 6% | 13% |
David Binder Research | Sep 19–22 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 34% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 15% | 17% | 2% | 9% | 5% |
Morning Consult | Sep 16–22 | 17,377 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 32% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 19% | 20% | 3% | 12% | – |
The Hill/HarrisX | Sep 20–21 | 440 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 31% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 16% | 14% | 2% | 12% | 11% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 16–20 | 2,692 (A) | – | 19% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 17% | 12% | 3% | 13% | 23% |
HarrisX | Sep 13–20 | 1,831 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 32% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 17% | 2% | 8% | 9% |
Swayable | Sep 16–18 | 3,140 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 33% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 18% | 16% | 2% | 5% | – |
Zogby Analytics | Sep 16–17 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 31% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 17% | 2% | 7% | 6% |
Fox News | Sep 15–17 | 480 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 29% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 18% | 16% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 14–17 | 603 (LV) | – | 25% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 15% | 19% | 3% | 8% | 8% |
NBC News/. Wall Street Journal | Sep 13–16 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 14% | 25% | 4% | 8% | 2% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–16 | 1,017 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 17% | 19% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
Civiqs | Sep 13–16 | 1,291 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 24% | 1% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 14% | 30% | 2% | 6% | 7% |
Morning Consult | Sep 13–15 | 7,487 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 32% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 20% | 18% | 3% | 10% | – |
Pew Research Center * | Sep 3–15 | 4,655 (RV) | – | 27% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 15% | 22% | 2% | 15% | 5% |
HarrisX | Sep 6–13 | 2,808 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 31% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 12% | 11% |
| Sep 12 | Third Democratic primary debate |
Civiqs | Sep 10–12 | 1,784 (LV) | – | 23% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 15% | 28% | 2% | 6% | 7% |
Democracy Corps | Sep 7–11 | 241 (LV) | – | 30% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 21% | 19% | 2% | 8% | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 9–10 | 557 (RV) | – | 22% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 11% | 3% | 7% | 20% |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 8–10 | 632 (LV) | – | 24% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 17% | 24% | 2% | 11% | 10% |
McLaughlin Associates | Sep 7–10 | 454 (LV) | – | 28% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 11% | 9% |
CNN/SSRS | Sep 5–9 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 24% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 17% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 6% |
The Hill/HarrisX | Sep 7–8 | 454 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 27% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 15% |
Morning Consult | Sep 2–8 | 17,824 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 33% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 21% | 16% | 3% | 9% | – |
L.A. Times/USC | Aug 12 – Sep 8 | 2,462 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 28% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 24% |
YouGov/FairVote [9] | Sep 2–6 | 1,002 (LV) | – | 27% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 24% | 2% | 11% | – |
HarrisX | Aug 30 – Sep 6 | 2,878 (LV) | – | 30% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 10% | 12% |
ABC News/. Washington Post | Sep 2–5 | 437 (A) | ± 5.5% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 17% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 1–3 | 518 (LV) | – | 26% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 14% | 21% | 3% | 12% | 12% |
Winston Group | Aug 31 – Sep 1 | ~670 (RV) | – | 30% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 11% | 2% | 19% | 13% |
Morning Consult | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 16,736 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 32% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 20% | 16% | 3% | 10% | – |
August 2019
August 2019 pollingPoll source | Date(s). administered | Sample. size | Margin. of error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided |
---|
HarrisX | Aug 23–30 | 3,114 (RV) | – | 31% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 12% |
IBD/TIPP | Aug 22–30 | 360 (RV) | – | 28% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 12% | 24% | 1% | 3% | 15% |
Claster Consulting | Aug 28–29 | 752 (RV) | | 22% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 19% | 14% | 2% | 10% | 21% |
Harvard-Harris | Aug 26–28 | 985 (RV) | | 32% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 13% | 2% | 6% | 11% |
YouGov/Economist | Aug 24–27 | 1093 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 25% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 14% | 21% | 2% | 8% | 12% |
Emerson College | Aug 24–26 | 627 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 31% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 24% | 15% | 4% | 8% | – |
Change Research | Aug 23–26 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 19% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 22% | 29% | 2% | 7% | – |
Quinnipiac University | Aug 21–26 | 648 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 32% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 15% | 19% | 3% | 6% | 11% |
Suffolk University/. USA Today | Aug 20–25 | 424 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 32% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 21% |
Morning Consult | Aug 19–25 | 17,303 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 33% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 20% | 15% | 2% | 9% | – |
The Hill/HarrisX | Aug 23–24 | 465 (RV) | – | 30% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 2% | 9% | 15% |
Swayable | Aug 22–23 | 1,849 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 18% | 16% | 1% | 6% | – |
HarrisX | Aug 16–23 | 3,132 (RV) | – | 28% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 17% | 10% | 2% | 10% | 13% |
Echelon Insights | Aug 19–21 | 479 (RV) | – | 30% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 4% | 19% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
YouGov/Economist | Aug 17–20 | 559 (LV) | – | 22% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 19% | 17% | 1% | 7% | 12% |
Monmouth University | Aug 16–20 | 298 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 3% | 7% | 10% |
CNN/SSRS | Aug 15–18 | 402 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 29% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 15% | 14% | 1% | 10% | 10% |
Morning Consult | Aug 12–18 | 17,115 (LV) | – | 31% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 20% | 15% | 3% | 8% | – |
HarrisX | Aug 9–16 | 3,118 (RV) | – | 29% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 2% | 10% | 13% |
Fox News | Aug 11–13 | 483 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 31% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 3% | 10% | 8% |
YouGov/Economist | Aug 10–13 | 592 (LV) | – | 21% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 16% | 20% | 1% | 8% | 11% |
Morning Consult | Aug 5–11 | 17,117 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 33% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 20% | 14% | 2% | 13% | – |
The Hill/HarrisX | Aug 9–10 | 451 (RV) | – | 31% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 1% | 14% | 10% |
HarrisX | Aug 2–9 | 3,088 (RV) | – | 28% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 1% | 12% | 16% |
Swayable | Aug 5–6 | 1,958 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 31% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 2% | 5% | – |
YouGov/Economist | Aug 3–6 | 573 (LV) | – | 22% | 1% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 13% | 16% | 2% | 12% | 14% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5 | 999 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 33% | 1% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 20% | 19% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Aug 1–5 | 1,258 (A) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 18% | 9% | 2% | 13% | 21% |
Quinnipiac University | Aug 1–5 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 32% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 14% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 10% |
Change Research | Aug 2–4 | 1,450 | ± 3.0% | 23% | 2% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 23% | 26% | 2% | 4% | – |
Public Policy Polling | Aug 1–4 | 588 | ± 4.0% | 36% | 4% | 4% | 10% | – | 12% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 14% |
Morning Consult | Aug 1–4 | 9,845 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 33% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 19% | 15% | 2% | 10% | – |
Pew Research Center * | Jul 22 – Aug 4 | 1,757 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 26% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 12% | 16% | 1% | 9% | 18% |
HarrisX [10] | Jul 31 – Aug 2 | 914 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 28% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 8% | 2% | 13% | 13% |
Morning Consult | Aug 1 | 2,419 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 32% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 18% | 15% | 2% | 9% | – |
Harvard CAPS/Harris | Jul 31 – Aug 1 | 585 | – | 34% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 17% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 14% |
IBD/TIPP | Jul 25 – Aug 1 | 350 (RV) | – | 30% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 12% | 17% | 0% | 7% | 10% |
July 2019
July 2019 pollingPoll source | Date(s). administered | Sample. size | Margin. of error | Joe Biden | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
---|
| Jul 31 | Second night of the Second Democratic primary debate |
Morning Consult | Jul 31 | 2,410 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 34% | 6% | 10% | 2% | 19% | 14% | 14% | – |
| Jul 30 | First night of the Second Democratic primary debate |
YouGov/Economist | Jul 27–30 | 629 (LV) | – | 26% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 11% | 11% |
Emerson College | Jul 27–29 | 520 | ± 4.2% | 33% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 11% | – |
HarrisX | Jul 27–29 | 884 (RV) | – | 32% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 14% |
The Hill/HarrisX | Jul 27–28 | 444 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 34% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | Jul 25–28 | 579 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 34% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 11% | 15% | 6% | 12% |
McLaughlin Associates | Jul 23–28 | 468 | – | 28% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 18% | 14% |
Morning Consult | Jul 22–28 | 16,959 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 33% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 18% | – |
Democracy Corps | Jul 18–28 | 471 | – | 31% | 8% | 12% | 2% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 3% |
Echelon Insights | Jul 23–27 | 510 | ± 4.2% | 33% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 16% |
Change Research | Jul 23–26 | 1,204 | ± 2.8% | 20% | 9% | 15% | 2% | 20% | 22% | 12% | – |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | Jul 12–25 | 1,827 | ± 3.0% | 28% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 25% |
Fox News | Jul 21–23 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 7% |
YouGov/Economist | Jul 21–23 | 600 (LV) | – | 25% | 6% | 9% | 2% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 11% |
Morning Consult | Jul 15–21 | 17,285 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 33% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | – |
HarrisX | Jul 15–17 | 910 (RV) | – | 26% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 18% |
YouGov/Economist | Jul 14–16 | 572 (LV) | – | 23% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 14% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16 | 5,548 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 25% | 8% | 14% | 3% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 5% |
Morning Consult | Jul 8–14 | 16,504 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 32% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 10% | – |
TheHillHarrisX | Jul 12–13 | 446 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 29% | 1% | 11% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 13% | 17% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | Jul 7–9 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 26% | 7% | 13% | 2% | 13% | 19% | 10% | 8% |
YouGov/Economist | Jul 7–9 | 592 (LV) | – | 22% | 6% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 18% | 11% | 13% |
Emerson College | Jul 6–8 | 481 | ± 4.4% | 30% | 5% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 15% | 16% | – |
Swayable | Jul 5–7 | 1,921 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 28% | 6% | 16% | 4% | 18% | 12% | 7% | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 1–7 | 16,599 (LV) | ± 1.0% | 31% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 19% | 13% | 15% | – |
YouGov/Economist | Jun 30 – Jul 2 | 631 (LV) | – | 21% | 9% | 13% | 3% | 10% | 18% | 11% | 12% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Jun 28 – Jul 2 | 1,367 | ± 3.0% | 22% | 3% | 10% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 9% | 21% |
YouGov Blue/Data for Progress | Jun 27 – Jul 2 | 1,522 | – | 23% | 7% | 17% | 2% | 15% | 22% | 10% | – |
HarrisX | Jun 29 – Jul 1 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 28% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 12% |
ABC News/Washington Post | Jun 28 – Jul 1 | 460 (A) | ± 5.5% | 29% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 23% | 11% | 13% | 6% |
Change Research | Jun 28 – Jul 1 | 1,185 | ± 2.9% | 18% | 10% | 21% | 2% | 17% | 22% | 8% | – |
Quinnipiac University | 28 июня - 1 июля | 554 (RV) | ± 5,0% | 22% | 4% | 20% | 1% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 12% |
апрель – июнь 2019 г.
апрель – июнь 2019 г. опросОпрос источник | Дата (ы). администрирование | Образец. размер | Предел. ошибки | Джо Байден | Кори Букер | Пит Буттигиг | Камала Харрис | Бето О'Рурк | Берни Сандерс | Элизабет Уоррен | Другое | Не определился |
---|
CNN / SSRS | 28–30 июня | 656 (RV) | ± 4,7% | 22% | 3% | 4% | 17% | 3% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 9% |
HarrisX | 28–30 июня | 909 (RV) | ± 3,4% | 28% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 3% | 14% | 8% | 10% | 15% |
Morning Consult / FiveThirtyEight | 27–30 июня | 2485 (LV) | ± 2% | 31% | 2,5% | 5,9% | 16,8% | 2,1% | 16,8% | 14,4% | 6,7% | 3,9% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 26–29 июня | 845 | – | 34% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 15% | 11% | 10 % | 9% |
Morning Consult [11] | 27–28 июня | 2,407 (LV) | ± 2% | 33% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 19% | 12% | 13% | – |
| 27 июня | Вторая ночь первых первичных дебатов Демократической партии |
Morning Consult / FiveThirtyEight | 26–27 июня | 2041 (LV) | ± 2% | 33,7% | 3,6% | 4,8% | 6,6% | 3,1% | 17,8% | 17,7% | 9,6% | 3,3% |
| 26 июня | Первая ночь первых дебатов демократов |
YouGov Blue / Data for Progress | 25–26 июня | 1402 | – | 30% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 24% | 7% | – |
HarrisX | 24–26 июня | 892 (RV) | ± 3,4% | 29% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 15% |
Morning Consult / FiveThirtyEight | 19–26 июня | 7 150 (LV) | ± 1% | 38,5% | 2,8% | 6,9% | 7,9% | 3,9% | 16,3% | 12,7% | 5,3% | 5,5% |
Echelon Insights | 22–25 июня | 484 | – | 32% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 19% |
YouGov / Economist | 22–25 июня | 522 (LV) | – | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 15% | 18% | 11% | 12% |
Emerson College | 21–24 июня | 457 | ± 4,5% | 34% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 27% | 14% | 8% | – |
McLaughlin Associates | 18–24 июня | 459 | – | 34% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 17% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
Morning Consult | 17–23 июня | 16 188 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 38% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 19% | 13% | 15% | – |
Исследование изменений | 19–21 июня | 1,071 | – | 24% | 2% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 22% | 22% | 5% | – |
YouGov / Economist | 16 июня –18 | 576 (LV) | – | 26% | 2% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 15% |
Монмутский университет | 12–17 июня | 306 | ± 5,6% | 32% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 14% | 15% | 7% | 11% |
Morning Consult | 10–16 июня | 17,226 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 38% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 19% | 11% | 12% | – |
The Hill / HarrisX | Jun 14–15 | 424 (RV) | ± 4,8% | 35% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 17% |
Саффолкский университет / USA Today | июн. 11–15 | 385 | ± 5,0% | 30% | 2% | 9% | 8% | 2% | 15 % | 10% | 5% | 17% |
WPA Intelligence (R) | 10–13 июня | 1000 | ± 3,1% | 35% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 14% | 10% | 3% | 13% |
Fox News | 9–12 июня | 449 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 32% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 10% |
YouGov / Economist | 9–11 июня | 513 (LV) | – | 26% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 12 % | 16% | 8% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University | 6–10 июня | 503 | ± 5,4% | 30% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 13% |
Исследование изменений | 5–10 июня | 1,621 | ± 2,6% | 26% | 1% | 14% | 8 % | 3% | 21% | 19% | 7% | – |
Morning Consult | 3–9 июня | 17,012 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 37% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 19% | 11% | 14% | – |
Ipsos / Reuters | 29 мая - 5 июня | 2,525 | – | 30% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 13% |
YouGov / Economist | 2–4 июня | 550 (LV) | – | 27% | 2% | 9% | 8% | 2% | 16% | 11 % | 8% | 15% |
Park Street Strategies | 24 мая - 4 июня | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 32% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 1% | 15% | 13% | 19% | – |
Swayable | 1–3 июня | 977 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 40% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 20% | 7% | 7% | – |
Лавинная стратегия | 31 мая - 3 июня | 1,109 | – | 29% | – | 13% | 12% | 4% | 17% | 16% | – | – |
The Hill / HarrisX | Jun 1–2 | 431 (RV) | ± 4,7% | 35% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 17% |
Morning Consult | 27 мая - 2 июня | 16,587 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 38% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 19% | 10% | 15% | – |
CNN / SSRS | 28–31 мая | 412 | ± 6,0% | 32% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 18% | 7% | 12% | 8% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 29–30 мая | 471 | – | 36% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 17% | 5% | 9% | 12% |
Morning Consult | 20–26 мая | 16,368 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 38% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 20% | 9% | 13% | – |
HarrisX | 23–25 мая | 881 (RV) | ± 3,4% | 33% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 7% | 8% | 14% |
Echelon Insights | 20–21 мая | 447 | – | 38% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 9% | 16% |
Исследование изменений | 18–21 мая | 1420 | ± 2,6% | 31% | 2% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 22% | 15% | 8% | – |
Монмутский университет | 16–20 мая | 334 | ± 5,4% | 33% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 9% |
Университет Куиннипиак | 16–20 мая | 454 | ± 5,6% | 35% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 16% | 13% | 5% | 11% |
Morning Consult | 13–19 мая | 14,830 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 39% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 19% | 9% | 13% | – |
The Hill / HarrisX | 18 мая - 19 | 448 (RV) | ± 4,6% | 33% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 8% | 19% |
Fox News | 11–14 мая | 469 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 35% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 17% | 9% | 10% | 8% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 10–14 мая | 1,132 | ± 3,0% | 29% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 13% | 6% | 10% | 16% |
Emerson College | 10–13 мая | 429 | ± 4,7% | 33% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 3% | 25% | 10% | 12% | – |
HarrisX | Май 8–13 | 2,207 (RV) | ± 3,1% | 39% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 20% | 8% | 11% | – |
Morning Consult | 6–12 мая | 15342 ( LV) | ± 1,0% | 39% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 19% | 8% | 12% | – |
McLaughlin Associates | 7–11 мая | 360 | – | 30% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 19% | 7% | 13% | 13% |
Zogby Analytics | 2–9 мая | 463 | – | 37% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 15% | 6% | 11% | 10% |
ГБАО | 1–5 мая | 800 | ± 3,5% | 36% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 22% |
Morning Consult | 29 апреля - 5 мая | 15770 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 40% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 19% | 8% | 12% | – |
The Hill / HarrisX | 3 мая –4 | 440 (RV) | ± 5,0% | 46% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 7% | 14% | – |
Гарвард-Харрис | 30 апреля - 1 мая | 259 (RV) | – | 44% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 11% |
Quinnipiac University | 26–29 апреля | 419 | ± 5,6% | 38% | 2% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 11% | 12% | 4% | 8% |
HarrisX | 26 апреля –28 | 741 (RV) | ± 3,7% | 33% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 6% | 10% | 13% |
CNN / SSRS | 25–28 апреля | 411 | ± 5,9% | 39% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 15% | 8% | 10% | 7% |
Morning Consult | 22–28 апреля | 15,475 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 36% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 22% | 9% | 14% | – |
| 25 апреля | Байден объявляет о своей кандидатуре |
Ipsos / Reuters | 17–23 апреля | 2237 | – | 24% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% | 5% | 13% | 21 % |
Morning Consult | 15–21 апреля | 14,335 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 30% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 24% | 7% | 12% | – |
Echelon Insights | 17 апреля –19 | 499 | – | 26% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 22 % | 3% | 6% | 18% |
Исследование изменений | 12–15 апреля | 2,518 | ± 2,2% | 21% | 4% | 17% | 7% | 9% | 20% | 8% | 15% | – |
– | 5% | 21% | 10% | 14% | 26% | 10% | 14% | – |
Монмутский университет | апр. 11–15 | 330 | ± 5,4% | 27% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 20% | 6% | 5% | 14% |
– | 3% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 27% | 8% | 7% | 20% |
USC Dornsife / LAT | 15 марта - 15 апреля | 2196 | ± 2,0% | 27% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 16% | 4% | 9% | 27% |
| 14 апреля | Буттигиг объявляет о своей кандидатуре |
Emerson College | 11–14 апреля | 356 | ± 5,2% | 24% | 2% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 29% | 7% | 14% | – |
Morning Consult | 8–14 апреля | 12,550 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 31% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 23% | 7% | 14% | – |
– | 6% | 9% | 1 2% | 11% | 35% | 10% | 19% | – |
Morning Consult | 1–7 апреля | 13 644 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 23 % | 7% | 14% | – |
The Hill / HarrisX | 5–6 апреля | 370 (RV) | ± 5,0% | 36% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 19% | 6% | 14% | – |
март 2019 г.
март 2019 г. опросИсточник опроса | Дата (даты). администрирование | Размер выборки. | Маржа. ошибки | Джо Байден | Кори Букер | Пит Буттигиг | Камала Харрис | Эми Клобучар | Бето О'Рурк | Берни Сандерс | Элизабет Уоррен | Другое | Не определился |
---|
HarrisX | 29–31 марта | 743 (RV) | ± 3,7% | 29% | 4 % | 3% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
Morning Consult | 25–31 марта | 12940 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 33% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 25% | 7% | 10% | – |
Гарвард- Харрис | 25–26 марта | 263 | – | 35% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 6% | 9% | 13% |
Университет Куиннипьяк | 21–25 марта | 559 | ± 5,1% | 29% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 14% |
Morning Consult | 18–24 марта | 13,725 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 35% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 7% | 10% | – |
Fox News | 17–20 марта | 403 | ± 5,0% | 31% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 4% | 8% | 11% |
Emerson College | 17–18 марта | 487 | ± 4,4% | 26% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 1% | 11% | 26% | 8% | 10% | – |
CNN / SSRS | 14–17 марта | 456 | ± 5,7% | 28% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 3% | 11% | 20% | 6% | 10% | 5% |
Morning Consult | 11–17 марта | 13,551 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 35% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 27% | 7% | 9% | – |
| 14 марта | О'Рурк объявляет о своей кандидатуре |
Change Research | 8–10 марта | 1,919 | – | 36% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 24 % | 9% | 8% | – |
– | 5% | 1% | 17% | 3% | 14% | 36 % | 13% | 9% | – |
HarrisX | 8–10 марта | 740 (RV) | ± 3,7% | 27% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 4% | 8% | 16% |
Morning Consult | 4–10 марта | 15,226 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 31% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 27% | 7% | 11% | – |
| мар 5 | Bloomberg сообщает, что он не работает |
| 4 марта | Клинтон объявляет, что она не будет баллотироваться |
Университет Монмут | 1–4 марта | 310 | ± 5,6% | 28% | 5% | <1% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 25% | 8% | 7% | 8% |
– | 6% | <1% | 15% | 3% | 7% | 32% | 10% | 9% | 15% |
ГБАО | 25 февраля - 3 марта | 817 | – | 28% | 3% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 4% | 22% |
Morning Consult | 25 февраля - 3 марта | 12,560 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 31% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 3% | 6% | 27% | 7% | 12% | – |
Январь – февраль 2019 г.
опрос января – февраля 2019 г.Источник опроса | Дата (с). администрируемый | Образец. размер | Предел. ошибки | Джо Байден | Майкл Блумберг | Кори Букер | Камала Харрис | Эми Клобучар | Бето О'Рурк | Берни Сандерс | Элизабет Уоррен | Другое | Затрудняюсь ответить |
---|
Morning Consult | 18–24 февраля | 15,642 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 29% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 27% | 7% | 13% | – |
Гарвард-Харрис | 19–20 февраля | 337 | – | 37% | 3% | 2% | 10% | – | 6% | 22% | 4% | 5% | 10% |
| 19 февраля | Сандерс объявляет о своей кандидатуре |
Morning Consult | 11–17 февраля | 15,383 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 30% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 21% | 8% | 11% | – |
Emerson College | 14–16 февраля | 431 | ± 4,7% | 27% | 2% | 9% | 15% | 5% | 4% | 17% | 9% | 12% | – |
Bold Blue Кампании | 9–11 февраля | 500 | ± 4,5% | 12% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 48% |
| 10 февраля | Клобучар объявляет о своей кандидатуре |
Morning Consult | 4–10 февраля | 11627 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 29% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 22% | 8% | 11% | – |
| 9 февраля | Уоррен объявляет ее кандидатура |
Morning Consult | 28 января - 3 февраля | 14,494 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 30% | 2% | 4% | 14% | 2% | 6% | 21% | 9% | 9% | – |
Morning Consult / Politico | 1–2 февраля | 737 (RV) | ± 4,0% | 29% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 6% | 7% | 13% |
| 1 февраля | Букер объявляет о своей кандидатуре |
Университет Монмут | 25–27 января | 313 | ± 5,5% | 29% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 8% | 8% | 9% |
Morning Consult / Politico | 25–27 января | 685 (RV) | ± 4,0% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 6% | 10% | 15% |
Morning Consult | 21–27 января | 14,381 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 31% | 3 % | 3% | 11% | 2% | 7% | 21% | 9% | 9% | – |
Morning Consult / Politico | 18–22 января | 694 (RV) | ± 4,0% | 26% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 6% | 11% | 18% |
| 21 января | Харрис объявляет о своей кандидатуре |
Emerson College | 20–21 января | 355 | ± 5,2% | 45% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 25% | – |
– | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | 43% | 38% | – |
Zogby Analytics | 18–20 января | 410 | ± 4,8% | 27% | 8% | 1% | 6% | – | 6% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 21% |
Morning Consult | 14–20 января | 14,250 (LV) | ± 1,0% | 30% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 11% | 9% | – |
Хар vard-Harris | 15–16 января | 479 | – | 23% | 5% | 3% | 7% | – | 8% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 15% |
Morning Consult / Politico | 11–14 января | 674 (RV) | ± 4,0% | 32% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
Morning Consult | 7–13 января | 4,749 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 31 % | 4% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 11% | 8% | – |
До 2019 г.
октябрь – декабрь 2018 г.
опрос с октября по декабрь 2018 г.Источник опроса | Дата (даты). администрирование | Образец. размер | Маржа. ошибки | Джо Байден | Майкл Блумберг | Кори Букер | Камала Харрис | Бето О'Рурк | Берни Сандерс | Элизабет Уоррен | Другое | Не определился |
---|
CNN / SSRS | 6–9 декабря | 463 | ± 5,6% | 30% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 3% | 15% | 9% |
Emerson College | 6–9 декабря | 320 | – | 26% | – | – | 9% | 15% | 22% | 7% | 22% | – |
Гарвард-Харрис | 27–28 ноября | 449 | – | 28% | 4 % | 4% | 3% | 7% | 21% | 5% | 4% | 18% |
Утро Consult / Politico | 7–9 ноября | 733 (RV) | ± 4,0% | 26% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 19% | 5% | 12% | 21% |
CNN / SSRS | 4–7 октября | 464 | ± 5,5% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 13% | 8% | 16% | 6% |
До октября 2018 г.
Опросы с участием Хиллари Клинтон и Мишель Обама
Опросы с участием Клинтона и ОбамыИсточник опроса | Дата (даты). администрирования | Выборка. размер | Допустимая погрешность. | Джо Байден | Майкл Блумберг | Кори Букер | Хиллари Клинтон | Камала Харрис | Мишель Обама | Бето О'Рурк | Берни Сандерс | Элизабет Уоррен | Опра Уинфри | Другое | Затрудняюсь ответить |
---|
McLaughlin Associates | 14–18 декабря 2019 г. | 480 (LV) | – | 23% | 5% | 4% | 6% | – | – | – | 17% | 15% | – | 22% | 10% |
Zogby Analytics | 5–8 декабря 2019 г. | 443 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 28% | 9% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 20% | 12% | – | 21% | 5% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 27–29 ноября 2019 г. | 756 (RV) | – | 20% | 5% | 1% | 22% | 2% | – | 1% | 12% | 9% | – | 22% | 7% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 29–31 октября 2019 г. | 640 (RV) | – | 19% | 6% | 3% | 18 % | 3% | – | 2% | 12% | 13% | – | 17% | 7% |
Fox News | 27–30 октября 2019 г. | 471 (LV) | ± 4,5% | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | 43% |
– | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 42 % |
McLaughlin Associates | 17–22 октября 2019 г. | 468 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 4% | 10% | 9% | – | 3% | 23% | 20% | – | 21% | 10% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 30 апреля - 1 мая 2019 г. | 254 (RV) | – | 34% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 4% | – | 8% | 17% | 3% | – | 12% | 9% |
ABC News / Washington Post * | 22–25 апреля 2019 г. | 427 ( A) | ± 5,5% | 17% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 4% | – | 14% | 35% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 25–26 марта 2019 г. | 273 | – | 26% | 0% | 3% | 11% | 11% | – | 5% | 18% | 5% | – | 6% | 12% |
McLaughlin Associates | 20–24 марта 2019 г. | 447 | – | 28% | – | 3% | 8 % | 8% | – | 8% | 17% | 5% | – | 8% | 16% |
D-CYFOR | 22–23 февраля 2019 г. | 453 | – | 39% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 8% | – | 3% | 14% | 5% | – | 5% | 11% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 19–20 февраля 2019 г. | 346 | – | 30% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 10% | – | 4% | 19% | 4% | – | 1% | 13% |
The Hill / HarrisX | 17–18 февраля 2019 г. | 370 (RV) | ± 5,0% | 25% | 5% | 4% | – | 12% | 25% | 6% | 11% | 5% | – | 7% | – |
McLaughlin Associates | 6–10 февраля 2019 г. | 450 | – | 25% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 8% | – | 6% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 15% |
ABC News / Washington Post * | 21–24 января 2019 г. | 447 | ± 5,5% | 9% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 11% | 43% |
Zogby Analytics | 18–20 января 2019 г. | 410 | ± 4,8% | 25% | 5% | 3% | – | 5% | 17% | 4% | 12% | 5% | – | 5% | 20% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 15–16 января 2019 г. | 488 | – | 24 % | 5% | 2% | 10% | 4% | – | 9% | 13% | 5% | – | 6% | 17% |
Morning Consult / Politico | 4–6 января 2019 г. | 699 (RV) | ± 4,0% | 27% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 3% | – | 7% | 16% | 4% | – | 9% | 15% |
Исследование изменений | 13–17 декабря 2018 г. | 2,968 | – | 21% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | – | 21% | 16% | 7% | – | 18% | – |
Morning Consult / Politico | 14–16 декабря 2018 г. | 706 (RV) | ± 4,0% | 25% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 3% | – | 8% | 15% | 3% | – | 13% | 15% |
McLaughlin Associates | 10–14 декабря 2018 г. | 468 | – | 17% | 2% | – | 9% | 3% | 16% | 11% | 18% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 11% |
Гарвард-Харрис | 27–28 ноября 2018 г. | 459 | – | 25% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 2% | – | 9% | 15% | 4% | – | 5% | 15% |
The Hill / Харрис X | 5–6 ноября 2018 г. | 370 (RV) | ± 5,0% | 30% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 5% | – | – | 20% | 5% | – | – | 14% |
Исследование изменений | 24–26 октября 2018 г. | – | – | 23% | – | 5% | 6% | 10% | – | 10% | 18% | 9% | – | 8% | – |
Harvard-Harris | Jun 24–25, 2018 | 533 | – | 32% | 3% | 6% | 18% | 2% | – | – | 16 % | 10% | – | 14% | – |
Гарвард-Харрис | 13–16 января 2018 г. | 711 | – | 27% | – | 4% | 13% | 4% | – | – | 16% | 10% | 13% | 13% | – |
USC Dornsife / LAT | 15 декабря 2017 г. - 15 января 2018 г. | 1576 | ± 3,0% | 28% | – | 3% | 19% | 5% | – | – | 22% | 11% | – | 7% | – |
Zogby Analytics | 19–25 октября 2017 г. | 682 | ± 3,8% | 19% | – | – | – | 3% | 22% | – | 18% | 8% | – | 10% | 20% |
Прямые опросы
Данные прямого опроса получены, когда в гонке участвовало более двух основных кандидатовИсточник опроса | Дата (даты). администрирование | Образец. размер | Предел. ошибки | Джо Байден | Майкл Bloomberg | Пит Буттигиг | Кирстен Гиллибранд | Камала Харрис | Эми Клобучар | Берни Сандерс | Элизабет Уоррен | Опра Уинфри | Не решила |
---|
Ips75os / Reuters 13–16, 2020 | 458 (RV) | ± 5,2% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | – | – | – |
Ipsos / Reutuers | 6-9 марта 2020 г. | 420 (RV) | ± 5,5% | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | – |
Ipsos / Reuters | 4-5 марта 2020 г. | 474 (RV) | ± 5,1% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | – |
Ipsos / Reuters | 28 февраля - 2 марта 2020 г. | 469 (RV) | ± 5,2% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | – | – |
– | 41% | 59% |
Изменение исследований / науки о выборах | 25-27 февраля 2020 г. | 821 (LV) | – | 78,6% | 21,4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
45,4% | – | 54,6% | – | – | – |
51,1% | – | – | 48,9% | – | – |
35,7% | – | – | – | 64,3% | – |
32,4% | – | – | – | – | 67,6% |
– | 77,1% | 22,9% | – | – | – |
– | 27,4% | – | 72,6% | – | – |
– | 24,9% | – | – | 75,1% | – |
– | 22,7% | – | – | – | 77,3% |
– | – | 57,5% | 42,5% | – | – |
– | – | 37,2% | – | 62,8% | – |
– | – | 31,9% | – | – | 68,1% |
– | – | – | 31,9% | 68,1% | – |
– | – | – | 22,6% | – | 77,4% |
– | – | – | – | 54,2% | 45,8% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 14-17 февраля 2020 г. | 426 (LV) | ± 4,8% | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 59 % | – | – | 3% |
± 4,8% | – | 40% | 57% | 5% |
Zogby Analytics | 13–14 февраля 2020 г. | 732 (LV) | ± 3,6% | – | 50% | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | – | – |
YouGov / Yahoo News | 12–13 февраля 2020 г. | 367 (LV) | – | 47 % | 34% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19% |
347 (LV) | 45% | – | 42% | – | – | – | 13% |
362 (LV) | 43% | – | – | 45% | – | – | 12% |
359 (LV) | 44% | – | – | – | 48% | – | 8% |
366 (LV) | 41% | – | – | – | – | 49% | 9% |
331 (LV) | – | 37% | 44% | – | – | – | 19% |
351 (LV) | – | 38% | – | 43% | – | – | 20% |
369 (LV) | – | 38% | – | – | 53% | – | 10% |
375 (LV) | – | 38% | – | – | – | 52% | 10% |
388 (LV) | – | – | 33% | 44% | – | – | 23% |
347 (LV) | – | – | 37% | – | 54% | – | 10% |
347 (LV) | – | – | 34% | – | – | 52% | 14% |
383 (LV) | – | – | – | 33% | 54% | – | 13% |
344 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | – | 50% | 19% |
348 (LV) | – | – | – | – | 44% | 42% | 14% |
YouGov Blue / Data for Progress | 18–26 января 2020 г. | 1,619 (LV) | ± 2,6% | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | – |
47 % | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – |
Echelon Insights | 20–23 января 2020 г. | 474 (LV) | – | 56% | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 12% |
54% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | 8% |
48% | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 9% |
Echelon Insights | Dec 9–14, 2019 | 447 (LV) | – | 65% | 20% | – | – | – | – | – | 16% |
58% | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | 11% |
59% | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 11% |
Swayable | Nov 16–18, 2019 | 2,077 (LV) | ± 2% | 44.8% | – | – | – | – | 34.2% | – | 21% |
Swayable | Oct 26 –27, 2019 | 2,172 (LV) | ± 2% | 45.2% | – | – | – | – | 34.7% | – | 20.1% |
Echelon Insights | Oct 21–25, 2019 | 449 (LV) | – | 62% | – | – | 25% | – | – | – | 13% |
60% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | 11% |
49% | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | 17% |
Swayable | Oct 7–8, 2019 | 2,077 (LV) | ± 2% | 48.1% | – | – | – | – | 36.2% | – | 15.7% |
HarrisX | Oct 4–6, 2019 | 803 (LV) | – | 41% | – | – | 41% | – | – | – | 18% |
41% | – | 40% | – | 19% |
42% | – | – | 39% | 20% |
– | 38% | 42% | – | 19% |
– | 40% | – | 36% | 24% |
– | – | 42% | 40% | 18% |
Swayable | Sep 25–26, 2019 | 3,491 (LV) | ± 2% | 47.7% | – | – | – | – | 34.2% | – | 18.1% |
Morning Consult | Sep 20–22, 2019 | 635 (LV) | – | 52% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | 12% |
45% | – | 38% | 17% |
– | 38% | 49% | 13% |
Swayable | Sep 16–18, 2019 | 3,140 (LV) | ± 2% | 49.8% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | 19.2% |
Fox News | Sep 15–17, 2019 | 480(LV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 7% |
YouGov/FairVote [12] | Sep 2–6, 2019 | 1002(LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | – | 7% |
43% | – | – | – | – | 49% | 6% |
– | – | – | – | 36% | 55% | 7% |
63.5% | 36.5% | – | – | – | – | – |
60.4% | – | 39.6% | – | – | – |
86.4% | – | – | 16.4% | – | – |
– | 44.6% | 55.4% | – | – | – |
– | 72.8% | – | 27.2% | – | – |
– | 34.6% | – | – | 65.4% | – |
– | 20.7% | – | – | – | 79.3% |
– | – | 79.6% | 20.4% | – | – |
– | – | 42.3% | – | 57.7% | – |
– | – | 24.6% | – | – | 75.4% |
– | – | – | 22.8% | 77.2% | – |
– | – | – | 9.9% | – | 90.1% |
Swayable | Aug 22–23, 2019 | 1,849 (LV) | ± 2% | 46.8% | – | – | – | – | 30.5% | – | – | 22.7% |
Echelon Insights | Aug 19–21, 2019 | 479 (RV) | – | 55% | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | 14% |
55% | – | 35% | – | 10% |
52% | – | – | 32% | 16% |
HarrisX | Aug 16–18, 2019 | 909 (RV) | – | 42% | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | 19% |
44% | – | 38% | – | 18% |
39% | – | – | 41% | 20% |
– | 35% | 42% | – | 23% |
– | 38% | – | 33% | 30% |
– | – | 43% | 37% | 21% |
Swayable | Aug 5–6, 2019 | 1,958 (LV) | ± 2% | 46.5% | – | – | – | 30.6% | – | – | 22.9% |
Echelon Insights | Jul 23–27, 2019 | 510 (RV) | – | 56% | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | 11% |
58% | – | 29% | – | 12% |
54% | – | – | 35% | 10% |
Swayable | Jul 5–7, 2019 | 1,921 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | 25% |
HarrisX | Jun 28–30, 2019 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | – | – | 41% | – | – | – | 20% |
41% | – | – | – | 40% | – | – | 19% |
41% | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | 19% |
– | – | – | 39% | 41% | – | – | 20% |
– | – | – | 34% | – | 35% | – | 31% |
– | – | – | – | 41% | 36% | – | 23% |
Echelon Insights | Jun 22–25, 2019 | 484 | – | 57% | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | 16% |
56% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 18% |
Swayable | Jun 1–3, 2019 | 977 (LV) | ± 3% | 53.4% | – | – | – | 28.6% | – | – | 18% |
HarrisX | May 28–30, 2019 | 881 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | 20% |
43% | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | 16% |
39% | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | 20% |
– | – | – | 37% | 42% | – | – | 21% |
– | – | – | – | 37% | 40% | – | 23% |
Echelon Insights | May 20–21, 2019 | 447 | – | 65% | 17% | – | – | – | – | – | 19% |
63% | – | – | 20% | – | – | – | 17% |
61% | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 14% |
66% | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | 15% |
Morning Consult/Politico | Jan 11–16, 2018 | 689 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | 15% |
– | – | 23% | – | – | – | 44% | 34% |
– | – | – | – | 46% | – | 37 % | 17% |
– | – | – | – | – | 35% | 39% | 26% |
Favorability ratings
Net favorability (favorable − unfavorable)
From February 2020 to April 2020
Favorability ratings from February 2020 to April 2020Poll source | Date(s). administered | Biden | Sanders | Gabbard | Warren | Bloomberg | Klobuchar | Buttigieg | Steyer | Patrick | Bennet | Yang |
---|
YouGov/Economist | Apr 26-28, 2020 | 51% | | | | | | | | | | |
Emerson College | Apr 26-28, 2020 | 61.1% | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Apr 19-21, 2020 | 54% | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult/Politico | Apr 18-19, 2020 | 66% | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Apr 13-19, 2020 | 60% | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Apr 12-14, 2020 | 54% | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Apr 6-12, 2020 | 57% | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Apr 5-7, 2020 | 58% | 52% | | | | | | | | | |
Fox News | Apr 4-7, 2020 | 61% | | | | | | | | | | |
Monmouth | Apr 3-7, 2020 | 57% | 45% | | | | | | | | | |
Quinnipiac | Apr 2-6, 2020 | 66% | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Mar 31 - Apr 5, 2020 | 56% | 51% | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Mar 29-31, 2020 | 43% | 52% | | | | | | | | | |
Selzer Co./Grinnell College | Mar 27-30, 2020 | 59% | 49% | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Mar 23-29, 2020 | 56% | 49% | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Mar 22-24, 2020 | 47% | 39% | | | | | | | | | |
Monmouth | Mar 18-22, 2020 | 69% | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Mar 16-22, 2020 | 56% | 50% | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Mar 15-17, 2020 | 50% | 50% | -14% | | | | | | | | |
Ipsos/Reutuers | Mar 13-16, 2020 | 62% | 58% | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Mar 11-15, 2020 | 57% | 52% | -6% | | | | | | | | |
NBC/WSJ | Mar 11-13, 2020 | 55% | 51% | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Hofstra University | Mar 5-12, 2020 | 74.1% | 53.4% | | 71.6% | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Mar 8-10, 2020 | 47% | 40% | | | | | | | | | |
Ipsos/Reuters | Mar 6-9, 2020 | 70% | 59% | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Mar 5-8, 2020 | 55% | 46% | -10% | | | | | | | | |
Quinnipiac | Mar 5-8, 2020 | 64% | 54% | | | | | | | | | |
CNN/SSRS | Mar 4-7, 2020 | 51% | 40% | | 39% | -11% | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Mar 1-3, 2020 | 41% | 36% | -23% | 50% | -7% | 36% | 36% | | | | |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Feb 26-27, 2020 | 57% | 57% | | 60% | 15% | 48% | 44% | | | | |
Change Research/Election Science [13] | Feb 25-27, 2020 | 36% | 60% | 7% | 55% | 20% | 28% | 39% | 13% | | | |
Morning Consult | Feb 23-27, 2020 | 40% | 52% | -8% | 35% | 17% | 26% | 35% | 16% | | | |
Fox News | Feb 23-26, 2020 | 47% | 48% | | 38% | 22% | 27% | 35% | 17% | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Feb 23-25, 2020 | 37% | 51% | -26% | 52% | -12% | 36% | 26% | 19% | | | |
Morning Consult | Feb 20, 2020 | | | | | 17% | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Feb 16-18, 2020 | 39% | 46% | -28% | 53% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 26% | | | |
Morning Consult | Feb 12-17, 2020 | 39% | 53% | -7% | 36% | 36% | 32% | 41% | 18% | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Feb 9–11, 2020 | 34% | 48% | −20% | 51% | 28% | 35% | 39% | 33% | 11% | 17% | 51% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Feb 6–10, 2020 | 56% | 65% | | 56% | 53% | 36% | 49% | 26% | | | |
Monmouth | Feb 6–9, 2020 | 38% | 53% | | 48% | 14% | 31% | 36% | | | | |
Quinnipiac | Feb 5–9, 2020 | 54% | 58% | | 60% | 40% | 49% | 47% | 20% | | | 32% |
Morning Consult | Feb 4–9, 2020 | 43% | 53% | −6% | 41% | 40% | 28% | 42% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 35% |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Feb 7–8, 2020 | 33.9% | 42.8% | | 37.1% | | 23.1% | 35.8% | 12.9% | | | 20.7% |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 39.5% | 41.5% | | 38.3% | | 19.6% | 33.8% | 11.4% | | | 21.6% |
YouGov/Economist | Feb 2–4, 2020 | 40% | 38% | −27% | 49% | 26% | 32% | 40% | 29% | 11% | 19% | 46% |
Morning Consult | Jan 27 – Feb 2, 2020 | 47% | 53% | −7% | 44% | 37% | 23% | 33% | 23% | 5% | 8% | 35% |
From October 2019 to January 2020
Favorability ratings from October 2019 to January 2020Poll source | Date(s). administered | Biden | Sanders | Gabbard | Warren | Bloomberg | Klobuchar | Buttigieg | Steyer | Patrick | Bennet | Yang | Delaney | Booker | Williamson | Castro | Harris | Bullock | Sestak | Messam | O'Rourke | Ryan |
---|
YouGov/Economist | Jan 26–28, 2020 | 40% | 45% | −30% | 58% | 12% | 33% | 38% | 19% | 8% | 11% | 47% | 1% | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Jan 20–26, 2020 | 52% | 52% | −5% | 43% | 33% | 25% | 35% | 22% | 4% | 11% | 36% | 5% | | | | | | | | | |
Echelon Insights | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 51% | 52% | | 50% | 44% | | 47% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Jan 19–21, 2020 | 50% | 50% | −19% | 57% | 22% | 36% | 37% | 30% | 4% | 15% | 47% | −1% | | | | | | | | | |
Monmouth | Jan 16–20, 2020 | 52% | 48% | | 42% | 17% | 32% | 27% | 6% | | | 35% | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Jan 15–19, 2020 | 51% | 53% | −6% | 44% | 32% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 5% | 10% | 36% | 4% | | | | | | | | | |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Jan 14–15, 2020 | 43.6% | 44.2% | | 47.1% | | 18.1% | 31.2% | 15% | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Jan 11–14, 2020 | 43% | 49% | −34% | 53% | 11% | 21% | 29% | 15% | 1% | 3% | 28% | −7% | 42% | | | | | | | | |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Jan 10–13, 2020 | 45.3% | 47.8% | | 43.3% | | 12.3% | 26.5% | 9.9% | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Jan 6–12, 2020 | 49% | 59% | −6% | 47% | 23% | 21% | 34% | 21% | 6% | 8% | 32% | 4% | 32% | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Jan 5–7, 2020 | 43% | 55% | −31% | 60% | 4% | 26% | 36% | 19% | 8% | 10% | 34% | −2% | 44% | −22% | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Dec 30, 2019 – Jan 5, 2020 | 52% | 56% | −8% | 44% | 17% | 21% | 34% | 20% | 4% | 8% | 31% | 3% | 29% | −6% | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Dec 28–31, 2019 | 48% | 49% | −25% | 55% | −6% | 32% | 32% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 39% | −2% | 40% | −21% | 34% | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Dec 23–29, 2019 | 51% | 56% | −8% | 55% | 15% | 22% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 8% | 32% | 4% | 31% | −3% | 17% | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Dec 22–24, 2019 | 42% | 48% | −40% | 59% | −5% | 28% | 35% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 40% | −1% | 48% | −21% | 38% | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Dec 20–22, 2019 | 49% | 55% | −12% | 44% | 17% | 26% | 33% | 19% | 4% | 8% | 34% | 3% | 28% | −5% | 19% | | | | | | |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Dec 19–20, 2019 | 45% | 42.6% | | 42.9% | | 17.1% | 27.6% | 7.4% | | | 22.3% | | | | | | | | | | |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Dec 13–18, 2019 | 43.2% | 40.5% | | 40.1% | | 11% | 29.4% | 4.2% | | | 16.1% | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Dec 14–17, 2019 | 45% | 47% | −21% | 56% | −3% | 26% | 27% | 15% | 1% | 9% | 35% | −3% | 38% | −17% | 29% | | | | | | |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 12–15, 2019 | 42% | 54% | | 47% | | | 32% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Dec 9–15, 2019 | 49% | 57% | −1% | 44% | 14% | 21% | 30% | 15% | 4% | 10% | 27% | 4% | 31% | −4% | 17% | | | | | | |
Echelon Insights | Dec 9–14, 2019 | 67% | 56% | | 48% | 14% | | 40% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Dec 7–10, 2019 | 45% | 49% | −19% | 55% | −9% | 25% | 33% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 25% | −9% | 41% | −17% | 27% | | | | | | |
Quinnipiac | Dec 4–9, 2019 | 56% | 60% | | 54% | 9% | 32% | 39% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Monmouth | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 56% | 53% | | 61% | 1% | | 35% | | | | 25% | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Dec 2–8, 2019 | 50% | 57% | −5% | 47% | 13% | 22% | 32% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 28% | 3% | 32% | −5% | 18% | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Dec 1–3, 2019 | 43% | 48% | −19% | 53% | −5% | 23% | 37% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 28% | −1% | 43% | −18% | 38% | 37% | 7% | −2% | | | |
Morning Consult | Nov 25 – Dec 1, 2019 | 50% | 54% | −4% | 42% | 9% | 20% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 8% | 26% | 1% | 28% | −4% | 17% | 28% | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Nov 24–26, 2019 | 46% | 51% | −17% | 52% | −11% | 29% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 12% | 30% | 5% | 46% | −14% | 31% | 37% | 8% | 1% | | | |
Morning Consult | Nov 21–24, 2019 | 45% | 56% | −6% | 44% | 1% | 18% | 35% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 28% | 2% | 32% | −5% | 17% | 32% | 4% | | | | |
Ipsos/Reuters | Nov 21–22, 2019 | 55% | 68% | | 57% | 3% | | 38% | | −6% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Nov 20–21, 2019 | 44.5% | 44% | −17% | 48.7% | | 14.3% | 37.3% | 2.1% | | | 16.9% | | 26.3% | | | 25.9% | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Nov 17–19, 2019 | 50% | 45% | −20% | 59% | 4% | 28% | 46% | 10% | 6% | 13% | 31% | 0% | 39% | −15% | 31% | 37% | 8% | 1% | −3% | | |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Nov 14–18, 2019 | 47.9% | 42.7% | −12.5% | 46.2% | | 10.3% | 34.4% | 1.3% | | | 12.4% | | 24.6% | | | 24.8% | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Nov 11–17, 2019 | 52% | 57% | 0% | 48% | 5% | 20% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 10% | 24% | 3% | 31% | −6% | 16% | 29% | 4% | | | | |
Ipsos/Reuters | Nov 12–14, 2019 | 62% | 67% | | 59% | 15% | | 45% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Nov 10–12, 2019 | 37% | 52% | | 58% | 6% | 25% | 38% | −2% | 13% | −5% | 29% | | 44% | −21% | 30% | 41% | −3% | | −1% | | |
Morning Consult | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 54% | 56% | | 50% | | 25% | 32% | −1% | 3% | 3% | 13% | | 16% | | | 36% | 5% | −6% | | 22% | |
YouGov/Economist | Nov 3–5, 2019 | 42% | 50% | −16% | 64% | | 23% | 39% | 16% | | 9% | 30% | −3% | 37% | −13% | 32% | 36% | 4% | 3% | −2% | | |
Change Research/Crooked Media | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 42% | 48% | | 63% | | | 46% | | | | | | | | | 35% | | | | | |
Monmouth | Oct 30 – Nov 3, 2019 | 57% | 47% | | 70% | | | 33% | | | | | | | | | 33% | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Oct 28 – Nov 3, 2019 | 54% | 56% | −1% | 50% | | 22% | 33% | 13% | | 5% | 25% | 3% | 32% | −6% | 16% | 36% | 3% | | | | |
YouGov/Kalikow School at Hofstra University | Oct 25–31, 2019 | 66.7% | 69.6% | | 70.6% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Oct 27–29, 2019 | 49% | 51% | −13% | 62% | | 21% | 45% | 5% | | 11% | 30% | 0% | 39% | −17% | 29% | 37% | 5% | −5% | −5% | 35% | |
Morning Consult | Oct 21–27, 2019 | 55% | 59% | −2% | 53% | | 18% | 35% | 12% | | 8% | 26% | 4% | 31% | −5% | 15% | 36% | 6% | | | 27% | 5% |
Echelon Insights | Oct 21–25, 2019 | 58% | 53% | | 61% | | | 43% | | | | | | | | | 40% | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Oct 20–22, 2019 | 39% | 53% | −8% | 64% | | 24% | 42% | 12% | | 10% | 27% | 0% | 43% | −16% | 31% | 38% | 5% | −3% | 0% | 33% | 1% |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 17–20, 2019 | 54% | 58% | | 50% | | 22% | 39% | | | | | | 46% | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Oct 16–20, 2019 | 49% | 56% | 3% | 54% | | 23% | 36% | 12% | | 5% | 26% | 5% | 32% | −6% | 19% | 36% | 5% | | | 30% | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 17–18, 2019 | 66.91% | 55.83% | 9.59% | 61.59% | | 25.38% | 33.66% | 14.9% | | | 27.17% | | 36.13% | | 20.66% | 40.64% | | | | 29.84% | |
Morning Consult | Oct 16, 2019 | 48% | 55% | 8% | 51% | | 25% | 43% | 13% | | 11% | 29% | 5% | 31% | −5% | 19% | 35% | 5% | | | 29% | 9% |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 48.6% | 45.3% | −6.7% | 54.3% | | 15% | 33.5% | 2% | | | 14.5% | | 25.3% | | 8.2% | 28.4% | | | | 17% | |
YouGov/Economist | Oct 13–15, 2019 | 45% | 48% | 5% | 63% | | 27% | 43% | 8% | | 12% | 31% | 1% | 37% | −11% | 31% | 39% | 9% | 1% | −2% | 37% | 1% |
Lord Ashcroft Polls | Oct 1-15, 2019 | 55.05% | 58.30% | | 44.17% | | 4.93% | 14.68% | | | | 13.71% | | 17.89% | | | 28.58% | | | | 17.68% | |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Oct 7–14, 2019 | 47.4% | 43.1% | 2.2% | 52.1% | | 11.8% | 31% | −0.8% | | | 14.2% | | 26.3% | | 11.6% | 30.7% | | | | 22.6% | |
HarrisX | Oct 12–13, 2019 | 62% | 44% | 11% | 53% | | 16% | 34% | 13% | | | 21% | | 31% | | 20% | 38% | | | | 31% | |
Quinnipiac | Oct 11–13, 2019 | 60% | 54% | | 70% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Oct 7–12, 2019 | 55% | 57% | 11% | 51% | | 20% | 33% | 10% | | 4% | 25% | 3% | 31% | −2% | 16% | 36% | 5% | | | 28% | 3% |
Fox News | Oct 6–8, 2019 | 58% | 63% | | 63% | | | 38% | | | | | | 35% | | | 41% | | | | 34% | |
YouGov/Economist | Oct 6–8, 2019 | 40% | 55% | 0% | 66% | | 23% | 42% | 7% | | 8% | 33% | −3% | 41% | −17% | 27% | 36% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 29% | 3% |
Morning Consult | Sep 30 – Oct 6, 2019 | 53% | 55% | 11% | 54% | | 20% | 34% | 8% | | 9% | 23% | 0% | 33% | −2% | 17% | 38% | 3% | | | 31% | 5% |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 28 – Oct 1, 2019 | 36% | 37% | −1% | 60% | | 25% | 46% | 9% | | 13% | 32% | −1% | 38% | −21% | 29% | 32% | 8% | 1% | −2% | 35% | 5% |
Before October 2019
Favorability polling prior to October 2019Poll source | Date(s). administered | Biden | Sanders | Gabbard | Warren | Bloomberg | Klobuchar | Buttigieg | Steyer | Bennet | Yang | Delaney | Booker | Williamson | Castro | Harris | Bullock | Sestak | Messam | O'Rourke | Ryan | de Blasio | Gillibrand | Moulton | Inslee | Hickenlooper | Gravel | Swalwell |
---|
Monmouth | Sep 23–29, 2019 | 52% | 56% | | 66% | | | 41% | | | 25% | | | | | 42% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Sep 23–29, 2019 | 54% | 54% | 9% | 52% | | 21% | 35% | 9% | 8% | 23% | 2% | 31% | −3% | 14% | 35% | 3% | | | 30% | 4% | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 22–24, 2019 | 46% | 49% | 10% | 63% | | 20% | 42% | 9% | 9% | 32% | 1% | 34% | −8% | 26% | 40% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 33% | 4% | | | | | | | |
Quinnipiac | Sep 19–23, 2019 | 53% | 47% | | 64% | | 22% | 39% | −1% | | 13% | | 31% | | 7% | 34% | | | | 25% | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Sep 16–22, 2019 | 50% | 53% | 9% | 52% | | 23% | 34% | 7% | 7% | 24% | 4% | 33% | −3% | 8% | 35% | 4% | | | 30% | 3% | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 14–17, 2019 | 41% | 43% | 33% | 60% | | 23% | 44% | 2% | 9% | 24% | −5% | 35% | −17% | 8% | 30% | 2% | −6% | −8% | 38% | −6% | −11% | | | | | | |
HarrisX | Sep 14–16, 2019 | 64% | 53% | | 49% | | 14% | 35% | | | 17% | | 33% | | 14% | 37% | | | | 33% | | | | | | | | |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Sep 12–16, 2019 | 47.1% | 44.3% | | 52.9% | | 11.8% | 35.8% | | | 14.5% | | 29.4% | | 9.6% | 32.5% | | | | 31.2% | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 54% | 59% | 11% | 52% | | 21% | 33% | 8% | 6% | 22% | 3% | 30% | −6% | 11% | 38% | 6% | | | 31% | 1% | −4% | | | | | | |
HarrisX | Sep 10–11, 2019 | 60% | 58% | | 50% | | 24% | 30% | | | 27% | | 33% | | 27% | 34% | | | | 34% | | | | | | | | |
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight | Sep 5–11, 2019 | 45.7% | 44% | | 48.5% | | 8.1% | 32.2% | | | 14.8% | | 26.7% | | 19.8% | 31.4% | | | | 23.9% | | | | | | | | |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 9–10, 2019 | 72.9% | 73.92% | 16.52% | 57.6% | | 24.48% | 32.66% | 15.08% | 11.34% | 26.98% | 14.04% | 34.5% | 13.44% | 22.94% | 48.18% | 10.4% | 6.76% | 5.76% | 39.42% | 16.43% | 20.91% | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 8–10, 2019 | 39% | 46% | 0% | 61% | | 19% | 42% | 8% | 12% | 33% | −2% | 35% | −15% | 38% | 42% | 6% | 0% | −6% | 33% | −3% | −8% | | | | | | |
NPR/PBS/Marist | Sep 5–8, 2019 | 49% | 39% | | 64% | | 17% | 41% | −1% | | 19% | | 38% | | 26% | 39% | | | | 29% | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Sep 2–8, 2019 | 52% | 57% | 10% | 49% | | 20% | 36% | 9% | 10% | 25% | 5% | 33% | −1% | 21% | 38% | 7% | | | 31% | 2% | −2% | | | | | | |
YouGov/FairVote | Sep 2–6, 2019 | 43% | 45% | −4% | 61% | | 15% | 40% | −2% | 5% | 25% | −11% | 31% | −20% | 32% | 38% | 0% | −2% | −4% | 29% | −5% | −22% | | | | | | |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 2–5, 2019 | 65% | 70% | | 63% | | | 41% | | | | | | | | 47% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Sep 1–3, 2019 | 36% | 50% | 3% | 60% | | 10% | 30% | 0% | 8% | 31% | −1% | 34% | −10% | 31% | 39% | 2% | −3% | −3% | 34% | 0% | −9% | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Aug 26 – Sep 1, 2019 | 52% | 55% | 11% | 49% | | 20% | 32% | 9% | 8% | 22% | 3% | 31% | −1% | 22% | 38% | 6% | | | 34% | 3% | −3% | 20% | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Aug 24–27, 2019 | 48% | 55% | 12% | 64% | | 29% | 48% | 8% | 12% | 32% | −3% | 41% | −3% | 42% | 50% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 42% | −2% | −1% | 26% | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Aug 19–25, 2019 | 56% | 57% | 13% | 48% | | 20% | 34% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 3% | 31% | 0% | 23% | 35% | 7% | | | 34% | 6% | −1% | 20% | | | | | |
Echelon Insights | Aug 19–21, 2019 | 59% | 55% | | 42% | | | 28% | | | | | | | | 43% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Aug 17–20, 2019 | 40% | 53% | 2% | 63% | | 14% | 37% | 6% | 7% | 22% | −8% | 36% | −8% | 33% | 40% | 6% | −5% | −4% | 33% | −1% | −8% | 12% | −3% | 11% | | | |
Monmouth | Aug 16–20, 2019 | 41% | 40% | | 52% | | 9% | 29% | −16% | | 12% | | 35% | −11% | 22% | 39% | 9% | −6% | | 19% | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Aug 12–18, 2019 | 52% | 55% | 10% | 48% | | 19% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 23% | 3% | 34% | 0% | 23% | 37% | 6% | | | 36% | 6% | −2% | 20% | 0% | 9% | | | |
HarrisX | Aug 14–15, 2019 | 51% | 45% | | | | | 25% | 6% | 4% | 21% | | | 0% | | 40% | 10% | 2% | 3% | | | | 23% | −3% | | 8% | | |
HarrisX | Aug 13–14, 2019 | | | 2% | 46% | | 14% | | | | | 6% | 25% | | 17% | | | | | 29% | 8% | 0% | | | 9% | | | |
Fox News | Aug 11–13, 2019 | 66% | 75% | | 71% | | | | | | | | | | | 61% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Aug 10–13, 2019 | 41% | 39% | 4% | 60% | | 20% | 45% | 5% | 12% | 32% | 1% | 36% | −8% | 34% | 42% | 9% | 3% | −1% | 44% | 1% | −17% | 20% | −3% | 18% | 5% | | |
Morning Consult | Aug 5–11, 2019 | 57% | 53% | 12% | 47% | | 20% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 21% | 2% | 29% | 1% | 21% | 36% | 7% | | | 34% | 6% | −4% | 18% | 3% | 9% | 9% | | |
YouGov/Economist | Aug 3–6, 2019 | 39% | 43% | 4% | 53% | | 20% | 40% | 4% | 11% | 23% | −3% | 36% | −9% | 31% | 30% | 6% | −3% | 2% | 28% | −1% | −8% | 17% | −2% | 16% | 6% | −1% | |
Morning Consult | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 55% | 52% | 12% | 46% | | 20% | 33% | 8% | 8% | 19% | 2% | 26% | 0% | 24% | 30% | 5% | | | 23% | 1% | −7% | 17% | 2% | 9% | 6% | | |
Public Policy Polling | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 59% | 36% | <7% | 35% | | 12% | 24% | <7% | 7% | 9% | <7% | 27% | <7% | 20% | 26% | <7% | <7% | <7% | 13% | <7% | <7% | <7% | <7% | <7% | <7% | <7% | |
YouGov/Economist | Jul 27–30, 2019 | 47% | 45% | 2% | 65% | | 22% | 43% | 5% | −2% | 16% | −2% | 39% | −4% | 39% | 48% | 11% | −1% | 5% | 30% | −14% | −5% | 9% | −2% | 17% | 3% | −2% | |
HarrisX | Jul 28–29, 2019 | 61% | 38% | | | | | 30% | 18% | 9% | 18% | | | 8% | | 43% | 10% | 13% | 12% | | | | 22% | 14% | | 12% | 13% | |
HarrisX | Jul 27–28, 2019 | | | 11% | 49% | | 15% | | | | | 10% | 29% | | 22% | | | | | 27% | 14% | 9% | | | 8% | | | 9% |
Morning Consult | Jul 22–28, 2019 | 56% | 52% | 9% | 45% | | 21% | 33% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 3% | 30% | −3% | 23% | 41% | 5% | | | 27% | 4% | −5% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 9% | | |
Democracy Corps | Jul 18–28, 2019 | | 51% | | 43% | | | 31% | | | | | | | | 39% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Echelon Insights | Jul 23–27, 2019 | 59% | 57% | | 46% | | | 38% | | | | | | | | 50% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Jul 21–23, 2019 | 47% | 43% | 2% | 55% | | 30% | 41% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 5% | 42% | −5% | 41% | 48% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 36% | 4% | 3% | 21% | 8% | 20% | 15% | 6% | |
Morning Consult | Jul 15–21, 2019 | 54% | 51% | 11% | 45% | | 20% | 33% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 5% | 31% | −2% | 21% | 44% | 5% | | | 26% | 4% | −3% | 22% | 2% | 8% | 8% | | |
YouGov/Economist | Jul 14–16, 2019 | 51% | 46% | 3% | 59% | | 29% | 39% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 4% | 48% | −7% | 39% | 54% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 10% | 4% | |
Morning Consult | Jul 8–14, 2019 | 51% | 52% | 7% | 46% | | 16% | 34% | | 5% | 12% | 2% | 30% | −7% | 24% | 40% | 4% | | | 25% | 2% | −4% | 18% | 0% | 7% | 8% | | 5% |
Gallup | Jul 1–12, 2019 | 52% | 55% | | 46% | | 18% | 33% | | | | | 31% | | 21% | 43% | | | | 18% | | 1% | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Jul 7–9, 2019 | 47% | 41% | 6% | 55% | | 24% | 40% | | 10% | 4% | −2% | 35% | −16% | 35% | 49% | 6% | 1% | −6% | 28% | 4% | 1% | 20% | −1% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
Morning Consult | Jul 1–7, 2019 | 56% | 57% | 7% | 50% | | 20% | 35% | | 6% | 12% | 3% | 30% | −2% | 25% | 41% | 4% | | | 26% | 3% | −3% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 5% | | 6% |
YouGov/Economist | Jun 30 – Jul 2, 2019 | 47% | 43% | 10% | 58% | | 31% | 43% | | 13% | 15% | 7% | 49% | −11% | 47% | 59% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 32% | 10% | 2% | 27% | 6% | 21% | 14% | 1% | 17% |
CNN/SSRS | Jun 28–30, 2019 | 51% | 49% | | 52% | | | 37% | | | | | 26% | | 34% | 50% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult/FiveThirtyEight | Jun 26–30, 2019 | 54.8% | 57.8% | 9.1% | 60.8% | | 23.1% | 37.6% | | 7.2% | 13.5% | 3% | 40.4% | −4.8% | 35.4% | 54.1% | | | | 24.2% | 5.1% | −1.7% | 19.6% | | 7.2% | 4% | | 7.3% |
HarrisX | Jun 28–29, 2019 | 51% | 45% | | | | | 26% | | 3% | −4% | | | −4% | | 40% | 4% | −6% | −6% | | | | 16% | −4% | | −4% | −1% | 10% |
HarrisX | Jun 27–28, 2019 | | | 12% | 52% | | 18% | | | | | 9% | 32% | | 32% | | | | | 29% | 17% | 7% | | | 17% | | | |
Morning Consult | Jun 27–28, 2019 | 50% | 44% | 4% | 51% | | 19% | 37% | | 6% | 10% | 1% | 33% | −1% | 25% | 41% | 7% | | | 20% | 4% | −6% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 10% | | 4% |
HarrisX | Jun 26–27, 2019 | 63% | 49% | | | | | 32% | | 8% | 17% | | | 8% | | 42% | 7% | 6% | 6% | | | | 24% | 4% | | −8% | 8% | 11% |
HarrisX | Jun 25–26, 2019 | | | 10% | 42% | | 22% | | | | | 12% | 30% | | 19% | | | | | 40% | 14% | 2% | | | 11% | | | |
Morning Consult/FiveThirtyEight | Jun 19–26, 2019 | 60.4% | 56.7% | 5.8% | 49.9% | | 19.9% | 35.2% | | 8.6% | 15.2 | 6.8% | 33.9% | 4.2% | 20% | 44.9% | | | | 35.9% | 7.7% | −2.1% | 21% | | 9.1% | 7.5% | | 9.8% |
YouGov/Economist | Jun 22–25, 2019 | 56% | 50% | 2% | 56% | | 28% | 39% | | 11% | 16% | 8% | 43% | 10% | 30% | 47% | 9% | | 4% | 42% | 7% | −2% | 27% | 5% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 17% |
Echelon Insights | Jun 22–25, 2019 | 64% | 53% | | 46% | | | 33% | | | | | | | | 40% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | Jun 17–23, 2019 | 60% | 57% | 6% | 44% | | 22% | 32% | | 6% | 13% | 4% | 29% | 4% | 18% | 37% | 7% | | | 32% | 4% | −2% | 19% | 4% | 7% | 9% | | 7% |
YouGov/Economist | Jun 16–18, 2019 | 48% | 43% | 4% | 54% | | 25% | 43% | | 12% | 14% | 5% | 45% | 3% | 26% | 47% | 8% | | 5% | 40% | 5% | −4% | 26% | 3% | 15% | 10% | 3% | 19% |
Morning Consult | Jun 10–16, 2019 | 62% | 56% | 6% | 45% | | 20% | 33% | | 10% | 13% | 6% | 34% | 6% | 18% | 40% | 7% | | | 34% | 5% | 0% | 22% | 3% | 11% | 9% | | 10% |
WPA Intelligence (R) | Jun 10–13, 2019 | 71% | 55% | | 57% | | | 48% | | | | | 49% | | | 63% | | | | 50% | | | | | | | | |
YouGov/Economist | Jun 9–11, 2019 | 47% | 39% | −3% | 49% | | 16% | 42% | | 7% | 7% | 3% | 36% | −2% | 24% | 45% | 4% | | −2% | 32% | 9% | −7% | 24% | 0% | 13% | −1% | −1% | 9% |
Morning Consult | Jun 3–9, 2019 | 62% | 55% | 7% | 43% | | 20% | 31% | | 7% | 11% | 6% | 33% | 6% | 17% | 40% | 6% | | | 33% | 9% | −2% | 21% | 4% | 10% | 8% | | 9% |
YouGov/Economist | Jun 2–4, 2019 | 54% | 47% | 0% | 55% | | 26% | 42% | | 10% | 13% | 3% | 47% | 3% | 30% | 54% | 6% | | 2% | 38% | 9% | 7% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 11% | −1% | 21% |
Morning Consult | May 27 – Jun 2, 2019 | 61% | 55% | 4% | 40% | | 19% | 32% | | 4% | 10% | 4% | 31% | 3% | 16% | 38% | 3% | | | 33% | 5% | 0% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 5% | | 6% |
CNN/SSRS | May 28–31, 2019 | 65% | 61% | | 52% | | | 33% | | 3% | | | | | | 43% | −2% | | | | | −3% | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | May 20–26, 2019 | 62% | 57% | 5% | 36% | | 19% | 29% | | 4% | 10% | 5% | 32% | 3% | 15% | 40% | 4% | | | 35% | 1% | 0% | 22% | 2% | 9% | 7% | | 8% |
Echelon Insights | 20–21 мая 2019 г. | 72 % | 53% | | 38% | | | 33% | | | | | | | | 43% | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Исследование изменений | 18–21 мая 2019 г. | 48% | 50% | 7% | 67% | | 20% | | | | 14% | 2% | 38% | 1% | 25% | 56% | | | 0% | 40% | 0% | -7% | 18% | 1% | 12% | 5% | | 13% |
Монмут | 16–20 мая 2019 г. | 57% | 44% | 7% | 46% | | 22% | 24% | | 11% | -1% | 1% | 28% | 0% | 18% | 49% | 0% | | −6% | 21% | 0% | −9% | 11% | 2% | 9% | 11% | −5% | 11% |
Quinnipiac | 16–20 мая 2019 г. | 65% | 50% | −2% | 45% | | 20% | 34% | | 7% | 3% | 5% | 36% | 3% | 19% | 46% | 2% | | 0% | 21% | 2% | -22% | 14% | −3% | 12% | 6% | | 8% |
Morning Consult | 13–19 мая 2019 г. | 62% | 58% | 5% | 41% | | 18% | 31% | | 5% | 9% | 5% | 33% | 3% | 15% | 37% | 4% | | | 36% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 2% | 7% | 7% | | 7% |
Morning Consult | 6–12 мая 2019 г. | 63% | 57% | 6% | 36% | | 16% | 31% | | 5% | 10% | 5% | 31% | | 17% | 38% | 1% | | | 31% | 0% | 6% | 19% | 1% | 8% | 7% | | 8% |
Morning Consult | 29 апреля - 5 мая 2019 г. | 61% | 55% | 6% | 40% | | 19% | 29% | | | 7% | 4% | 31% | | 15% | 38% | 3% | | | 31% | 2% | | 18% | 1% | 7% | 7% | | |
Gallup | 17–30 апреля 2019 г. | 60% | 57% | | 40% | | | 30% | | | | | 31% | | | 42% | | | | 26% | | | | | | | | |
CNN / SSRS | 25–28 апреля 2019 г. | 69% | | | | | | 26% | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3% | | 14% | −5% | | | | 3% |
Morning Consult | 22–28 апреля 2019 г. | 62% | 58% | 5% | 39% | | 16% | 27% | | | 8% | 5% | 32% | | 16% | 37% | 2% | | | 33% | 2% | | 18% | 2% | 8% | 8% | | |
Morning Consult | 15–21 апреля 2019 г. | 61% | 59% | 5% | 36% | | 15% | 29% | | | 10% | 5% | 32% | | 16% | 37% | 3% | | | 36% | 3% | | 18% | | 10% | 7% | | |
Исследование изменений | 12–15 апреля 2019 г. | 56% | 45% | 7% | 52% | | 22% | 52% | | 6% | 8% | 2% | 43% | 2% | 31% | 51% | | | 0% | 49% | 2% | | 15% | | 9% | 5% | | 14% |
Echelon Insights | 17–19 апреля 2019 г. | 54% | 62% | | | | | 24% | | | | | | | | 27% | | | | 32% | | | | | | | | |
Монмут | 11–15 апреля 2019 г. | 56% | 44% | | 32% | | 14% | 29% | | | | | 24% | | | 40% | | | | 31% | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | 8 апреля –14, 2019 | 60% | 58% | 5% | 35% | | 16% | 23% | | | 10% | 4% | 31% | | 16% | 36% | 4% | | | 35% | 1% | | 16% | | 8% | 9% | | |
Morning Consult | 1–7 апреля 2019 г. | 60% | 57% | 6% | 35% | | 19% | 20% | | | 5% | 3% | 33% | | 14% | 34% | 3% | | | 35% | 0% | | 19% | | 6% | 7% | | |
Morning Consult | 25–31 марта 2019 г. | 67% | 63% | 5% | 37% | | 18% | 14% | | | | 4% | 31% | | 15% | 36% | 3% | | | 32% | | | 20% | | 8% | 8% | | |
Morning Consult | 18–24 марта 2019 г. | 68% | 60% | 5% | 34% | | 15% | 11% | | | | 3% | 33% | | 14% | 36% | 2% | | | 33% | | | 18% | | 7% | 7% | | |
CNN / SSRS | 14–17 марта 2019 г. | | 60% | | | | 13% | | | | | | 33% | | | | | | | 36% | | | | | 8% | 5% | | |
Morning Consult | 11–17 марта 2019 г. | 65% | 60% | 5% | 38% | | 15% | 8% | | | | 3% | 28% | | 17% | 35% | 3% | | | 34% | | | 18% | | 7% | 6% | | |
Исследование изменений | 8–10 марта 2019 г. | 71% | 53% | | 62% | | | | | | | | | | | 49% | | | | 57% | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult | 4–10 марта 2019 г. | 68 % | 60% | 5% | 36% | | 15% | 6% | | | | 3% | 30 % | | 13% | 40% | 2% | | | 36% | | | 18% | | 5% | 4% | | |
Монмаут | 1–4 марта 2019 г. | 63% | 53% | | 30% | 1% | 13% | | | 6% | | | 31% | 4 % | | 42% | 0% | | | 26% | | −6% | | | 7% | | | |
Morning Consult | 25 февраля - 3 марта 2019 г. | 68% | 60% | 5% | 35% | 10% | 15% | 6 % | | | | 3% | 31% | | 13% | 41% | 2% | | | 35% | | | 18% | | 5% | 4% | | |
Gallup | 12–28 февраля 2019 г. | 71% | | | 35% | | 21% | | | | | | 33% | | | 42% | | | | | | | 22% | | | | | |
Morning Consult | 18–24 февраля 2019 г. | 64% | 60% | 4% | 37% | 10% | 18% | 5% | | | | 4% | 28% | | 15% | 35% | 2% | | | 33% | | | 17% | | 2% | 5% | | |
Morning Consult | 11–17 февраля 2019 г. | 67% | 61% | 3% | 39% | 13% | 22% | 5 % | | | | 2% | 34% | | 15% | 40% | 3% | | | 32% | | | 21% | | 2% | 4% | | |
Morning Consult | 4 февраля - 10, 2019 | 69% | 57% | 2% | 34% | 12% | 15 % | 4% | | | | 3% | 31% | | 13% | 41% | 1% | | | 31% | | | 18% | | 5% | 5% | | |
Morning Consult / Politico | 1–2 февраля 2019 г. | 74% | 61% | | 43% | | 18% | | | | | | 38% | | | 43% | | | | 37% | | | | | | | | |
CNN / SSRS | 30 января - 2 февраля 2019 г. | | | 2% | 41% | | | 4% | | | | | | | 16% | 43% | | | | | | | 15% | | | | | |
Morning Consult / Politico | 25–27 января 2019 г. | 69% | 55% | | 45% | | 12% | 3% | | | | | 26% | | | 41% | | | | 26% | | | | | | | | |
Монмут | 25 января - 27, 2019 | 71% | 49% | 12% | 40% | 10% | 15 % | 2% | | | 0% | 9% | 33% | | 15% | 33% | | | | 32% | | | 16% | | 3% | 4% | | |
Morning Consult / Politico | 18–22 января 2019 г. | 66% | 58% | | 46% | | 15% | | | | | | 30% | | | 38% | | | | 33% | | | 22% | | | | | |
HarrisX | 15–16 января 2019 г. | | | 3% | | | | | | | | | | 12% | | | | | | | | | | | 9% | | | |
Morning Consult / Politico | 11–14 января 2019 г. | 68% | 57% | | 39% | | 15 % | | | | | | 30% | | | 35% | | | | 29% | | | | | | | | |
NPR / PBS / Marist | 10–13 января 2019 г. | 64% | 29% | | 36% | 0% | 13% | | | | | | 30% | | 13% | 26% | | | | 29% | | | 8% | | | | | |
Morning Consult / Politico | 4–6 января 2019 г. | 71% | 59% | | 33% | | 8% | | | | | | 26% | | | 27% | | | | 30% | | | | | | | | |
HarrisX | 3–4 января 2019 г. | 64% | 52% | | 48% | 7% | 21% | | 20% | | | | 45% | | 22% | 37% | | | | 38% | | | 25% | | | | | |
Исследование изменений | 14–17 декабря, 2018 | 80% | 65% | 20% | 61% | 20% | 28% | | | | | 4% | 50% | | 27% | 53% | | | | 63% | | | | | | | | 14% |
Quinnipiac | 12–17 декабря 2018 г. | 77% | 61% | | 48% | 17% | | | | | | | 41% | | | 37% | | | | 41% | | | 21% | | | | | |
CNN / SSRS | 6–9 декабря 2018 г. | 66% | 64% | | 38% | | | | | | | | 30% | | | 31 % | | | | 34% | | | | | | | | |
Morning Consult / Politico | 7–9 ноября 2018 г. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32% | | | | | | | | |
GQR Research | 21–26 июля 2018 г. | 53% | 57% | | 34% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
RABA Research | 10–11 января 2018 г. | 72% | 57% | | 53% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Опрос государственной политики | 3–6 декабря 2016 г. | 67% | 67% | | 46% | | | | | | | | 19% | | 0% | | | | | | | | 9% | | | | | |
См. Также
| На Викискладе есть средства массовой информации, связанные с Общенациональным опросом общественного мнения для президентских праймериз Демократической партии 2020 года. |
Примечания
- Партизанские клиенты
- Дополнительные кандидаты
Источники
Внешние ссылки