На этой странице перечислены общенациональные опросы общественного мнения, которые были проведены в отношении президентские выборы в США в 2016 г.. Два основных кандидата от партии были выбраны на Национальном съезде Демократической партии и Национальном съезде Республиканской партии в июле 2016 года.
Дональд Трамп победил на всеобщих выборах во вторник, 8 ноября, 2016 г., несмотря на то, что он проиграл всенародное голосование при победе в коллегии выборщиков. Большинство опросов правильно предсказывали победу Клинтон на всенародном голосовании, но переоценивали размер ее лидерства, в результате чего победа коллегии выборщиков была неожиданностью для аналитиков. Ретроспективный анализ расходится относительно того, почему опросы и интерпретирующие их комментаторы не смогли правильно спрогнозировать результат выборов. Два ежедневных опроса отслеживания, опрос UPI / CVoter и опрос Университета Южной Калифорнии / Los Angeles Times, были единственными опросами, которые часто неверно предсказывали победу Трампа в народном голосовании или показывали почти равные выборы.
Данные опросов подтверждены по состоянию на 8 ноября 2016 года.
Раса | Опрос модель | Хиллари. Клинтон. Демократ | Дональд. Трамп. республиканец | Гэри. Джонсон. Либертарианец | Джилл. Стейн. Грин | С опережением на. (точек ) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Двусторонний | 270 до Win | 47,2% | 43,6% | Н / Д | 3,6 | |
BBC | 48,0% | 44,0% | 4,0 | |||
опросник HuffPost | 47,3% | 42,0% | 5,3 | |||
New York Times | 45,9% | 42,8 % | 3,1 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 46,8% | 43,6% | 3,2 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 48,8% | 43,9% | 4,9 | |||
Трехсторонний | FiveThirtyEight | 45,7% | 41,8% | 4,8% | Н / Д | 3,9 |
Опросы HuffPost | 45,7% | 40,8% | 5,0% | 4,9 | ||
New York Times | 45,4% | 42,3% | 5,0% | 3,1 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 46,0% | 44,1% | 4,9% | 1,9 | ||
Четыре пути | 270 для Win | 45,6% | 42,5% | 4,8% | 2,1% | 3,1 |
Реальная четкая политика | 45,5% | 42,2% | 4,7% | 1,9% | 3,3 | |
Опрос CNN опросов | 46,0% | 42,0% | 5,0% | 2,0% | 4,0 | |
TPM Polltracker | 46,6% | 43,8% | 4,6% | 2,7% | 2,8 | |
Результаты выборов (всенародное голосование) | 48,2% | 46,1% | 3,3% | 1,1% | 2,1 |
Источник опроса | Дата | Хиллари Клинтон. Демократ | Дональд Трамп. Республиканец | Ведущий:. (баллов ) | Выборка. размер | Предел. погрешности |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UPI/CVoter | 1–7 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1728 | ± 3,0% |
YouGov / The Economist | 4–7 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 45% | 4 | 3,677 | ± 1,7% |
Bloomberg News / Selzer | 4–6 ноября 2016 г. | 46% | 43% | 3 | 799 | ± 3,5% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 3–6 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 46% | 3 | 2220 | ± 2,5% |
Fox News | 3–6 ноября 2016 г. | 48% | 44% | 4 | 1,295 | ± 2,5% |
IBD/TIPP | 3–6 ноября 2016 г. | 43% | 42% | 1 | 1026 | ± 3,1% |
Университет Монмут | 3–6 ноября 2016 г. | 50% | 44% | 6 | 802 | ± 3,6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 2–6 ноября 2016 г. | 44% | 39% | 5 | 2,195 | ± 2,4 % |
CBS News / New York Times | 2–6 ноября 2016 г. | 47% | 43% | 4 | 1426 | ± 3,0% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 31 октября - 6 ноября 2016 г. | 51% | 44% | 7 | 70,194 | ± 1,0% |
CCES/YouGov | 4 октября - 6 ноября 2016 г. | 43% | 39% | 4 | 84,292 | ±% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 3–5 ноября 2016 г. | 48% | 43% | 5 | 1,282 | ± 2,73 % |
ABC News / Washington Post | 2–5 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 45% | 4 | 1,937 | ± 2,5% |
IBD / TIPP | 2–5 ноября 2016 г. | 45% | 44% | 1 | 903 | ± 3,3% |
UPI/CVoter | 30 октября - 5 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1572 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 30 октября - 5 ноября 2016 г. | 43% | 48% | 5 | 2,988 | ± 4,5% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 1–4 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,685 | ± 2,5% |
IBD/TIPP | 1–4 ноября 2016 г. | 46% | 43% | 3 | 804 | ± 3,5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 31 октября - 4 ноября 2016 г. | 44% | 40% | 4 | 2,244 | ± 2,4% |
UPI/CVoter | 29 октября - 4 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,497 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 29 октября - 4 ноября 2016 г. | 43% | 48% | 5 | 2,987 | ± 4,5 % |
Fox News | 1–3 ноября 2016 г. | 46% | 45% | 1 | 1,107 | ± 3,0% |
Макклатчи / Марист | 1–3 ноября 2016 г. | 46% | 44% | 2 | 940 | ± 3,2% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 30 октября - 3 ноября, г. 2016 | 44% | 39% | 5 | 2021 | ± 2,6% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 31 октября - 3 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 45% | 4 | 1,419 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TIPP | 30 октября - 3 ноября 2016 г. | 45% | 44% | 1 | 898 | ± 3,3% |
UPI/CVoter | 28 октября - 3 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,395 | ± 3,0% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 30 октября - 2 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,151 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 29 октября - 2 ноября 2016 г. | 45% | 39% | 6 | 1,8 58 | ± 2,6% |
IBD/TIPP | 29 октября - 2 ноября 2016 г. | 44% | 44% | Связано | 867 | ± 3,4% |
UPI/CVoter | 27 октября - 2 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1,329 | ± 3,0% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 29 октября - 1 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,167 | ± 3,0% |
CBS News / Нью-Йорк Times | 28 октября - 1 ноября 2016 г. | 47% | 44% | 3 | 1,333 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | октябрь 28 - 1 ноября 2016 г. | 45% | 39% | 6 | 1,772 | ± 3,0% |
YouGov / The Economist | 30 октября - 1 ноября 2016 г. | 48% | 45% | 3 | 1,233 | ± 3,2% |
IBD/TIPP | 27 октября - 1 ноября 2016 г. | 44% | 44 % | Связано | 862 | ± 3,4% |
UPI/CVoter | 26 октября - 1 ноября 2016 г. | 49% | 48% | 1 | 1383 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 26 октября - 1 ноября 2016 г. | 42% | 48% | 6 | 3004 | ± 4,5% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 2 октября 8–31, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,182 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TIPP | 26–31 октября 2016 г. | 45 % | 44% | 1 | 1018 | ± 3,2% |
Политическая / утренняя консультация | 29–30 октября 2016 г. | 46% | 43% | 3 | 1772 | ± 2,0% |
Политика / Утренняя консультация | 27–30 октября 2016 г. | 52% | 47% | 5 | 2075 | ± 3,0% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 27–30 октября 2016 г. | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,167 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 26–30 октября 2016 г. | 44% | 39% | 5 | 1,264 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TIPP | октябрь 25–30, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 2 | 993 | ± 3,2% |
UPI/CVoter | 24–30 октября 2016 г. | 49 % | 48% | 1 | 1,299 | ± 3,0% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 24–30 октября 2016 г. | 51% | 44% | 7 | 40,816 | ± 1,0% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 26–29 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,165 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TIPP | 24–29 октября 2016 г. | 45% | 41% | 4 | 1039 | ± 3,3% |
UPI / CVo тер | 23–29 октября 2016 г. | 48% | 48% | Связано | 1,317 | ± 3,0% |
Morning Consult | 27–28 октября 2016 г. | 46% | 41% | 5 | 1,794 | ± 2,0% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 25–28 октября 2016 г. | 46% | 45% | 1 | 1,160 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TIPP | 23–28 октября 2016 г. | 46% | 41 % | 5 | 1013 | ± 3,3% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 24–27 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,148 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TIPP | 22–27 октября 2016 г. | 45% | 42% | 3 | 973 | ± 3,3% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 21–27 октября 2016 г. | 42% | 36% | 6 | 1,627 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 21–27 октября 2016 г. | 44% | 46% | 2 | 3248 | ± 4,5% |
ABC News / Washington Post | октябрь 23–26, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 1,150 | ± 3,0% |
YouGov / The Economist | 22–26 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,376 | ± 3,1% |
IBD/TIPP | 21–26 октября 2016 г. | 44% | 42% | 2 | 9 45 | ± 3,3% |
UPI/CVoter | 20–26 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,363 | ± 3,0 % |
Fox News | 22–25 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1221 | ± 2,5% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 22–25 октября 2016 г. | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,135 | ± 3,0% |
Pew Research Center | 20–25 октября, 2016 | 50% | 43% | 7 | 2120 | ± 2,4% |
IBD/TIPP | 20–25 октября 2016 г. | 43% | 41% | 2 | 921 | ± 3,3% |
UPI/CVoter | 19–25 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,349 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 19–25 октября 2016 г. | 44% | 45% | 1 | 3,145 | ± 4,5% |
CNBC | 21–24 октября 2016 г. | 47% | 37% | 10 | 804 | ± 3,5% |
ABC News | 21–24 октября 2016 г. | 51% | 43% | 8 | 1,119 | ± 3,0% |
Гринберг Куинлан Роснер | 21–24 октября 2016 г. | 53% | 41% | 12 | 900 | ± 3,27% |
Associated Press / GFK | 20–24 октября 2016 г. | 54% | 41% | 13 | 1,5 46 | ± 2,75% |
USA Today / Suffolk University | 20–24 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 39% | 10 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 20–24 октября 2016 г. | 43% | 37% | 6 | 1,170 | ± 3,3% |
ВБК / TIPP | 19–24 октября 2016 г. | 43% | 42% | 1 | 873 | ± 3,6% |
ABC News | 20–23 октября, 2016 | 53% | 41% | 12 | 1,155 | ± 3,0% |
CNN/ORC | 20–23 октября 2016 г. | 51% | 45% | 6 | 779 | ± 3,5% |
IBD/TIPP | 18–23 октября 2016 г. | 42% | 42% | Связано | 815 | ± 3,6% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 17–23 октября 2016 г. | 50% | 44% | 6 | 32,225 | ± 1,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 17–23 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1414 | ± 3,0% |
ABC News | 20–22 октября 2016 г. | 53% | 41% | 12 | 874 | ± 3,5% |
IBD/TIPP | 17–22 октября, 2016 | 42% | 43% | 1 | 783 | ± 3,6% |
IBD/TIPP | 16–21 октября 2016 г. | 42 % | 42% | Связано | 791 | ± 3. 6% |
Politico / Morning Consult | 19–20 октября 2016 г. | 46% | 40% | 6 | 1,395 | ± 3,0% |
American Research Group | 17–20 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 42% | 7 | 1 006 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TIPP | 15–20 октября 20, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 2 | 789 | ± 3,6% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 14–20 октября 2016 г. | 44% | 45% | 1 | 3001 | ± 4,5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 14–20 октября 2016 г. | 44% | 40% | 4 | 1,640 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TIPP | 14–19 октября 2016 г. | 43% | 41% | 2 | 779 | ± 3,6% |
Quinnipiac University | 17–18 октября 2016 г. | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1007 | ± 3,1% |
YouGov / The Экономист | 15–18 октября 2016 г. | 47% | 43% | 4 | 1300 | ± 4,0% |
IBD/TIPP | 13 октября –18, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 3 | 782 | ± 3,6% |
Fox News | 15–17 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 42% | 7 | 912 | ± 3,0% |
Bloomberg Politics | 14–17 октября 2016 г. | 50% | 41% | 9 | 1,00 6 | ± 3,1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 13–17 октября 2016 г. | 43% | 39% | 4 | 1,190 | ± 3,2 % |
Public Religion Research Institute / The Atlantic | 12–17 октября 2016 г. | 51% | 36% | 15 | 692 | ± 4,4% |
UPI / CVoter | 11–17 октября 2016 г. | 51% | 46% | 5 | 1326 | ± 3,0% |
Университет Монмут | 14 октября –16, 2016 | 53% | 41% | 12 | 805 | ± 3,5% |
CBS News | 12–16 октября 2016 г. | 51% | 40% | 11 | 1411 | ± 3,0% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 10–16 октября 2016 г. | 51% | 43% | 8 | 24 804 | ± 1,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 10–16 октября 2016 г. | 50% | 46% | 4 | 1,325 | ± 3,0% |
Politico / Morning Consult | 13–15 октября 2016 г. | 46% | 41% | 5 | 1737 | ± 2,0% |
NBC News / Wall Street Журнал | 10–13 октября 2016 г. | 51% | 41% | 10 | 905 | ± 3,3% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 10–13 октября 2016 г. | 50% | 46% | 4 | 740 | ± 4,0% |
Франклин Пирк e University / Boston Herald | 9–13 октября 2016 г. | 46% | 41% | 5 | 1001 | ± 3,1% |
Университет Джорджа Вашингтона | 8–13 октября 2016 г. | 47% | 39% | 8 | 1000 | ± 3,1% |
UPI/CVoter | 7–13 октября 2016 г. | 50% | 45% | 5 | 1482 | ± 3,0% |
Fox News | 10–12 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 41% | 8 | 917 | ± 3,0% |
Политика / утренняя консультация | 10 октября 2016 г. | 46% | 41% | 5 | 1,757 | ± 3,0% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 8–10 октября 2016 г. | 50% | 40% | 10 | 900 | ± 3,5% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 6–10 октября 2016 г. | 44% | 37% | 7 | 2363 | ± 2,3% |
UPI/CVoter | октябрь 4–10, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,367 | ± 3,0% |
Pew Research Center | 27 сентября - 10 октября 2016 г. | 53% | 44% | 9 | 3,616 | ± 2,9% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 8–9 октября 2016 г. | 52% | 38 % | 14 | 422 | ± 4,6% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 3–9 октября 2 016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 23329 | ± 1,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 3–9 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1801 | ± 3,0% |
Политическая / утренняя консультация | 8 октября 2016 г. | 45% | 41% | 4 | 1390 | ± 3,0% |
YouGov / The Economist | 7–8 октября 2016 г. | 48% | 43% | 5 | 1300 | ± 4,2% |
Morning Consult | 5–6 октября 2016 г. | 44% | 42% | 2 | 1,775 | ± 2,0% |
Quinnipiac University | 5 октября –6, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1064 | ± 3,0% |
Fox News | 3–6 октября 2016 г. | 48% | 44% | 4 | 896 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 30 сентября - 6 октября 2016 г. | 43% | 38% | 5 | 1,695 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 30 сентября - 6 октября 2016 г. | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,774 | ± 3,0 % |
UPI/CVoter | 28 сентября - 4 октября 2016 г. | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,274 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 28 сентября - 4 октября 2016 г. | 43% | 47% | 4 | 2,369 | ± 4. 5% |
YouGov / The Economist | 1–3 октября 2016 г. | 48% | 43% | 5 | 911 | ± 3,9% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 29 сентября - 3 октября 2016 г. | 44% | 37% | 7 | 1928 | ± 2,5% |
Politico / Morning Consult | сентябрь 30 - 2 октября 2016 г. | 46% | 39% | 7 | 1,778 | ± 2,0% |
Фарли Дикинсон / SSRS | 28 сентября - 2 октября 2016 г. | 50% | 40% | 10 | 788 | ± 4,4% |
CBS News / New York Times | 28 сентября - 2 октября 2016 г. | 49% | 43% | 6 | 1,501 | ± 3,0% |
CNN/ORC | 28 сентября - 2 октября 2016 г. | 47% | 42% | 5 | 1,501 | ± 2,5% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 26 сентября - 2 октября 2016 г. | 50% | 44% | 6 | 26,925 | ± 1,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 26 сентября - 2 октября 2016 г. | 47% | 49% | 2 | 1,285 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 24–30 сентября 2016 г. | 42% | 47% | 5 | 2,526 | ± 4,5% |
Fox News | 27–29 сентября 2016 г. | 49% | 44% | 5 | 911 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 23–29 сентября 2016 г. | 43% | 38% | 5 | 2501 | ± 2,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 23–29 сентября 2016 г. | 47% | 49% | 2 | 1,236 | ± 3,0% |
Опрос общественного мнения | 27–28 сентября 2016 г. | 49% | 45% | 4 | 993 | ± 3,2% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 27–28 сентября 2016 г. | 42% | 38% | 4 | 1336 | ± 3,1% |
Echelon Insights | 26–27 сентября 2016 г. | 47 % | 42% | 5 | 1833 | ±% |
Morning Consult | 26–27 сентября 2016 г. | 45% | 41% | 4 | 1,253 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 21–27 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 48% | Связано | 1,239 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 22–26 сентября 2016 г. | 44% | 38% | 6 | 1041 | ± 3,5% |
Университет Куиннипиак | 22–25 сентября 2016 г. | 47% | 46% | 1 | 1,115 | ± 2,9% |
Университет Монмут | 22–25 сентября, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 729 | ± 3,6% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 19–25 сентября 2016 г. | 51% | 44% | 7 | 13 598 | ± 1,1% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 19–25 сентября 2016 г. | 42% | 46% | 4 | 2726 | ± 4,5% |
UPI/CVoter | 19–25 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,052 | ± 3,0% |
Morning Consult | 22–24 сентября 2016 г. | 44% | 42% | 2 | 1,712 | ± 2,0% |
Блумберг / Зельцер | 21–24 сентября 2016 г. | 46% | 46% | Связано | 1002 | ± 3,1 % |
ABC News / Washington Post | 19–22 сентября 2016 г. | 49% | 47% | 2 | 651 | ± 4,5% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 16–22 сентября 2016 г. | 41% | 37% | 4 | 1559 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | сентябрь 15–21, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 2623 | ± 2,3% |
American Research Group | 17–20 сентября 2016 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 990 | ± 3,2% |
McClatchy/Marist | 15–20 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 41% | 7 | 758 | ± 3,6% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 14–20 сентября 2016 г. | 42% | 46% | 4 | 2629 | ± 2,3% |
ЮГ / Экономист | 18–19 сентября 2016 г. | 45% | 44% | 1 | 936 | ± 4,0% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 16–19 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 41% | 7 | 922 | ± 3,23% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 15–19 сентября 2016 г. | 39% | 39% | Связанные | 1,111 | ± 3,4% |
Associated Press / GFK | 15–19 сентября 2016 г. | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,251 | ± 2,5% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 13–19 сентября 2016 г. | 42% | 47% | 5 | 2524 | ± 2,2% |
UPI / CVoter | 12–18 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1203 | ± 3,0% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 12 сентября –18, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 13,230 | ± 1,2% |
UPI/CVoter | 10–16 сентября 2016 г. | 47% | 47% | Связано | 1,246 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 9–15 сентября 2016 г. | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1229 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 9–15 сентября 2016 г. | 42% | 38% | 4 | 1, 579 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 9–15 сентября 2016 г. | 41% | 47% | 6 | 2,497 | ± 2,8% |
Fox News | 11–14 сентября 2016 г. | 45% | 46% | 1 | 867 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 8–14 сентября 2016 г. | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,265 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 8–14 сентября 2016 г. | 41% | 47% | 6 | 2499 | ± 3,1% |
YouGov / Economist | 10–13 сентября 2016 г. | 46% | 44% | 2 | 1,087 | ± 4,0% |
CBS News / New York Times | 9–13 сентября, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 1433 | ± 3% |
Quinnipiac University | 8–13 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 43% | 5 | 960 | ± 3,2% |
UPI/CVoter | 7–13 сентября 2016 г. | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1245 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 7–13 сентября 2016 г. | 42% | 47% | 5 | 2,550 | ± 2,7% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 8–12 сентября 2016 г. | 40% | 39% | 1 | 1,127 | ± 3,3% |
UPI / CVoter | Сентябрь 6–12 сентября 2016 г. | 46% | 49% | 3 | 1,232 | ± 3,0% |
Pew Research | 16 августа - 12 сентября 2016 г. | 52% | 44% | 8 | 3,941 | ± 2,6% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 5–11 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 44% | 4 | 16,220 | ± 1,1% |
UPI/CVoter | 5–11 сентября 2016 г. | 46% | 49% | 3 | 1,260 | ± 3,0% |
Morning Consult | 6–8 сентября 2016 г. | 44% | 43% | 1 | 1,710 | ± 2,0% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 5–8 сентября 2016 г. | 51% | 43% | 8 | 642 | ± 4,5% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 2–8 сентября 2016 г. | 45% | 44% | 1 | 2 653 | ± 2,4% |
UPI/CVoter | 2–11 сентября 8, 2016 | 46% | 48% | 2 | 1,256 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 1–7 сентября 2016 г. | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1226 | ± 3,0% |
ЮГ / Экономист | 4–6 сентября 2016 г. | 44% | 42 % | 2 | 1077 | ± 4,7% |
UPI/CVoter | 31 августа - 6 сентября 2016 г. | 47% | 47% | Связано | 1, 262 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 1–5 сентября 2016 г. | 40% | 38% | 2 | 1,084 | ± 3,5 % |
UPI/CVoter | 30 августа - 5 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1,220 | ± 3,0% |
CNN / ORC | 1–4 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 49% | 1 | 786 | ± 3,5% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 29 августа - 4 сентября 2016 г. | 48% | 42% | 6 | 32,226 | ± 1,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 29 августа - 4 сентября 2016 г. | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,237 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 28 августа - 3 сентября 2016 г. | 49% | 46 % | 3 | 1,242 | ± 3,0% |
Morning Consult | 1–2 сентября 2016 г. | 42% | 40% | 2 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 26 августа - 1 сентября 2016 г. | 39% | 40% | 1 | 1,804 | ± 3,0% |
IBD / TIPP | 26 августа - 1 сентября 2016 г. | 44% | 43% | 1 | 861 | ± 3,4% |
Fox News | 28–30 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 42% | 6 | 1011 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 24–30 августа 20 августа 16 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,162 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 25–29 августа 2016 г. | 40% | 39% | 1 | 1404 | ± 3,0% |
Университет Саффолка / USA Today | 24–29 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 41% | 7 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 23–29 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,173 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 23–29 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 45% | 3 | 2,500 | ± 2,5% |
Государственная политика Опрос | 26–28 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 43% | 5 | 881 | ± 3,3% |
Университет Монмут | 25–20 августа 28, 2016 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 689 | ± 3,5% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 22–28 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 42% | 6 | 24,104 | ± 1,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 22–28 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,145 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 21–27 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,682 | ± 3,0% |
Morning Consult | 24–26 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 40% | 3 | 2007 | ± 2% |
Ipsos / Reuters | Au 22–25 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 36% | 5 | 1,154 | ± 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 20–24 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 35% | 7 | 1049 | ± 2,9% |
UPI/CVoter | 18–24 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 49 % | 1 | 1,720 | ± 3,0% |
Университет Куиннипиак | 18–24 августа 2016 г. | 51% | 41% | 10 | 1,496 | ± 2,5% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 18–24 августа 2016 г. | 44% | 44% | Связано | 2434 | ± 2,3 % |
YouGov / Economist | 19–23 августа 2016 г. | 47% | 44% | 3 | 1,080 | ± 4,1% |
UPI / CVoter | 17–23 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 48% | Связано | 1737 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | август 18–22, 2016 | 45% | 33% | 12 | 1,115 | ± 3% |
UPI/CVoter | 16–22 августа 2016 | 48 % | 48% | Связано | 1,752 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 15–21 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 47 % | 1 | 1,795 | ± 3,0% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 15–21 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 42% | 8 | 17,451 | ± 1,1% |
American Research Group | 17–20 августа 2016 г. | 47% | 42% | 5 | 994 | ± 3,2% |
Morning Consult | 16–20 августа 2016 г. | 44% | 38% | 6 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
UPI/CVoter | 14–20 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,191 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 14–20 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 45% | 2 | 2385 | ± 2,8% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 13–17 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 36% | 5 | 1049 | ± 2,8% |
UPI/CVoter | 11–17 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 46% | 4 | 1,009 | ± 3,0% |
UPI / CVoter | 9–16 августа 2016 г. | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1069 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 11–15 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 35% | 6 | 1,132 | ± 3% |
Normington, Petts Associates | 9–15 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 40% | 10 | 1000 | ± 3,1% |
UPI/CVoter | 9–15 августа 2016 г. | 51% | 44 % | 7 | 1,035 | ± 3,0% |
Morning Consult | 11–14 августа 2016 г. | 44% | 37% | 7 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
NB C Новости / SurveyMonkey | 8–14 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 41% | 9 | 15 179 | ± 1,2% |
UPI / CVoter | 7–14 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 45% | 5 | 975 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 7–13 августа 2016 г. | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1403 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 3–10 августа 2016 г. | 49% | 45% | 4 | 1077 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 6–10 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 36% | 6 | 974 | ± 2,9% |
ЮГ / Экономист | 6–9 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 41% | 7 | 1300 | ± 4,2% |
UPI / CVoter | 3–9 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1002 | ± 3,0% |
Bloomberg Politics | 5–8 августа, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 749 | ± 3,6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 4–8 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 35% | 7 | 1,152 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 2–8 августа 2016 г. | 49% | 45% | 4 | 993 | ± 3,0% |
PSRAI | 4–7 августа 2016 г. | 45% | 39% | 6 | 798 | ± 3,9% |
UPI / CVoter | 1–7 августа 2016 г. | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1407 | ± 3,0% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 1–7 августа 2016 г. | 51% | 41% | 10 | 11480 | ± 1,2% |
UPI/CVoter | 31 июля - 6 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 43% | 7 | 1,036 | ± 3,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 31 июля - 6 августа 2016 г. | 45% | 44% | 1 | 2146 | ± 2,8% |
Morning Consult | 4–5 августа 2016 г. | 46% | 37% | 9 | 2 001 | ± 2% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 1–4 августа 2016 г. | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1002 | ± 3,5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 31 июля - 4 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 39% | 3 | 1,154 | ± 3,0% |
UPI/CVoter | 29 июля - 4 августа 2016 г. | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,060 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TIPP | 29 июля - 4 августа 2016 г. | 46% | 39% | 7 | 921 | ± 3,4% |
McClatchy / Marist | 1–3 августа 2016 г. | 48% | 33% | 15 | 983 | ± 3,1% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 31 июля - 3 августа 2016 г. | 47% | 38% | 9 | 800 | ± 3,46% |
Ipsos/Reuters | июль 30 - 3 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 39% | 4 | 1072 | ± 3,5% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 28 июля - 3 августа 2016 г. | 45% | 44% | 1 | 2175 | ± 2,4% |
UPI/CVoter | 27 июля - 2 августа 2016 г. | 49% | 46% | 3 | 989 | ± 3,0% |
Fox News | 31 июля - 2 августа 2016 г. | 49% | 39% | 10 | 1,022 | ± 3% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 27 июля - 2 августа 2016 г. | 44% | 45% | 1 | 2186 | ± 2,2% |
YouGov / Economist | 31 июля - 1 августа 2016 г. | 46% | 43% | 3 | 1,300 | ± 4% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 28 июля - 1 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 35% | 8 | 1,289 | ± 3% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 26 июля - 1 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 45% | 2 | 2171 | ± 2,5% |
CNN/ORC | 29–31 июля, 2016 | 52% | 43% | 9 | 1003 | ± 3% |
CBS News | 29–31 июля 2016 г. | 47% | 41% | 6 | 1,131 | ± 3% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 25–31 июля 2016 г. | 50% | 42% | 8 | 12,742 | ± 1,2% |
Morning Consult | 29–30 июля 2016 г. | 43% | 40% | 3 | 1,931 | ± 2% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 29–30 июля 2016 г. | 50% | 45% | 5 | 1276 | ± 2,7% |
.
Источник опроса | Дата | Демократический. кандидат | % | Республиканский. кандидат | % | Лидирует в% | Выборка. размер | Предел ошибка |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos/Reuters | 25–29 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 40% | Дональд Трамп | 35% | 5 | 1,290 | ± 2,4% |
Rasmussen Reports | 26–27 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 43% | Дональд Трамп | 42% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 22–26 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 37% | Дональд Трамп | 39% | 2 | 963 | ± 4,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 20–26 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 40 % | Дональд Трамп | 47% | 7 | 2150 | ± 3% |
Economist/YouGov | 23–24 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 47% | Дона ld Trump | 42% | 5 | 1300 | ± 4.5% |
Morning Consult | 22–24 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 40% | Дональд Трамп | 44% | 4 | 2502 | ± 2% |
CBS News | 22–24 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 43% | Дональд Трамп | 44% | 1 | 1,118 | ± 4% |
CNN/ORC | 22 июля - 24, 2016 | Хиллари Клинтон | 45% | Дональд Трамп | 48% | 3 | 882 | ± 3,5% |
Университет штата Делавэр | 21–24 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 46% | Дональд Трамп | 42% | 4 | 818 | ± 4% |
NBC Новости / SurveyMonkey | 18–24 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 46% | Дональд Трамп | 45% | 1 | 12 931 | ± 1,2 % |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 18–24 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 41% | Дональд Трамп | 45% | 4 | 2083 | ± 3% |
One America News Network / Gravis Marketing | 21–22 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 49% | Дональд Трамп | 51% | 2 | 3462 | ± 1,7% |
Echelon Insight s | 21–22 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 45% | Дональд Трамп | 41% | 4 | 912 | ±?% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 18–22 июля, 2016 | Хиллари Клинтон | 41% | Дональд Трамп | 38% | 3 | 1036 | ± 4,0% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 16–22 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 42% | Дональд Трамп | 44% | 2 | 2,010 | ±% |
American Research Group | 17–20 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 43% | Дональд Трамп | 42% | 1 | 990 | ± 3,2% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 16–20 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 40% | Дональд Трамп | 36% | 4 | 1522 | ± 2,9% |
Rasmussen Reports | 18–19 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 42% | Дональд Трамп | 43% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Гринберг Квинлан Роснер | 13–18 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 50% | Дональд Трамп | 43% | 7 | 900 | ± 3,27% |
Economist/YouGov | 15–17 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 45% | Дональд Трамп | 41% | 4 | 925 | ± 4,5% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 11–17 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 46% | Дональд Трамп | 45% | 1 | 9 436 | ± 1,4% |
Morning Consult | 14–16 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 41% | Дональд Трамп | 39% | 2 | 2,002 | ± 2% |
CNN/ORC | 13–16 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 49% | Дональд Трамп | 42% | 7 | 872 | ± 3,5% |
гражданин | 12–15 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 46% | Дональд Трамп | 41% | 5 | 1000 | ±% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 11 июля - 14, 2016 | Хиллари Клинтон | 47% | Дональд Трамп | 43% | 4 | 1003 | ± 3,5% |
USC / Los Angeles Times | 8–14 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 40% | Дональд Трамп | 43% | 3 | 1 608 | ± 3,0% |
Rasmussen Reports | 12–13 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 37% | Дональд Трамп | 44% | 7 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 9–13 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 46% | Дональд Трамп | 41% | 5 | 1000 | ± 3,1% |
CBS News / New York Times | 8–12 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 40% | Дональд Трамп | 40% | Ничья | 1,358 | ± 3,0% |
The Economist / YouGov | 9–11 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 45% | Дональд Трамп | 43% | 2 | 1300 | ± 4,2% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 4–10 июля, 2016 | Хиллари Клинтон | 47% | Дональд Трамп | 44% | 3 | 7,869 | ± 1,4% |
Morning Consult | 8–10 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 42% | Дональд Трамп | 41% | 1 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
McClatchy-Marist | 5–9 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 42% | Дональд Трамп | 39% | 3 | 1053 | ± 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 2–6 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 44% | Дональд Трамп | 33% | 11 | 1,345 | ± 2,8% |
Rasmussen Reports | 5 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 40% | Дональд Трамп | 42% | 2 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 1–5 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 46% | Дональд Трамп | 33% | 13 | 1,441 | ± 3,0% |
The Economist / YouGov | 2–4 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 47% | Дональд Трамп | 42 % | 5 | 1300 | ± 3,9% |
Morning Consult | 30 июня - 4 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 41% | Дональд Трамп | 40% | 1 | 2001 | ± 2% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 27 июня - 3 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 48% | Дональд Трамп | 43% | 5 | 10072 | ± 1,3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 27 июня - 1 июля 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 44% | Дональд Трамп | 35% | 9,4 | 1080 | ± 3,5% |
Rasmussen Reports | 28–29 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 39% | Дональд Трамп | 43% | 4 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Саффолкский университет / USA Today | 26–29 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 46% | Дональд Трамп | 40% | 5,2 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 25–29 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 42% | Дональд Трамп | 32% | 10 | 1247 | ± 2,8% |
IBD / TIPP | 24–29 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 44% | Дональд Трамп | 40% | 4 | 837 | ± 3,5% |
One America News Network / Gravis Marketing | 27–28 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 50% | Дональд Трамп | 50% | Ничья | 2162 | ± 2,1% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 27–28 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 48% | Дональд Трамп | 44% | 4 | 947 | ± 3,2% |
Fox News | 26–28 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 44% | Дональд Трамп | 38% | 6 | 1017 | ± 3% |
Morning Consult | 24–27 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 44% | Дональд Трамп | 39% | 5 | 1,998 | ± 2% |
Университет Куиннипак | 21–27 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 42% | Дональд Трамп | 40% | 2 | 1,610 | ± 2,4% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 20–26 июня 2016 г. | Хиллари Клинтон | 49% | Дональд Трамп | 41% | 8 | 5,818 | ± 1,8% |
Pew Research | июнь 15–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 42% | 9 | 1,655 | ± 2.7% |
Ipsos/Reuters | June 20–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 33% | 14 | 1,201 | ± 3.3% |
ABC News/Washington Post | June 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 39% | 12 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | June 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | June 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 34% | 10 | 1,339 | ± 2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 20–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Economist/YouGov | June 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | 4 | 1,011 | ± 4.2% |
American Research Group | June 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | 987 | ± 3.2% |
Morning Consult | June 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 3,891 | ± 2% |
CNN/ORC | June 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 891 | ± 3.5% |
Monmouth University | June 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 803 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | June 13–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | 16,135 | ± 1.1% |
Reuters/Ipsos | June 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 35% | 10.7 | 1,133 | ± 3.4% |
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing | June 16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 2,197 | ± 2.1% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 14–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | June 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 32% | 9 | 1,323 | ± 2.8% |
CNBC | June 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | 5 | 801 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News | June 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | 6 | 1,048 | ± 3.0% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | June 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 42% | 7 | 9,355 | ± 1.4% |
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 39% | 13 | ||||
Morning Consult | June 8–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | 5 | 1,362 | ± 3% |
Fox News | June 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | 3 | 1,004 | ± 3% |
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | 11 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters | June 4–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 34% | 8 | 1,716 | ± 2.7% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Morning Consult | June 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | 4 | 4,002 | ± 2% |
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
YouGov/Economist | June 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | 1,636 | ± 3.2% |
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | 11 | ||||
IBD/TIPP | May 31 – June 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 828 | ± 3.3% |
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | May 30 – June 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 9,240 | ± 1.4% |
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 40% | 12 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | May 31 – June 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 38% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | May 28 – June 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | 9 | 1,332 | ± 2.8% |
Morning Consult | May 24–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | 3 | 4,002 | ± 2% |
Quinnipiac University | May 24–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | 4 | 1,561 | ± 2.5% |
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | 9 | ||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | May 23–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | 12,969 | ± 1.2% |
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 40% | 12 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters | May 21–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | 5 | 1,576 | ± 2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 39% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
YouGov/Economist | May 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | 1 | 2,000 | ± 3.1% |
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | 9 | ||||
Morning Consult | May 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | 3 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | May 16–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 14,513 | ± 1% |
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | ||||
American Research Group | May 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Tie | 2,001 | ± 2% |
ABC News/Washington Post | May 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | 829 | ± 3.5% |
Schoen Consulting | May 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | May 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 39% | 15 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | May 17–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | May 14–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | 5 | 1,677 | ± 2.7% |
Fox News | May 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 1,021 | ± 3% |
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | ||||
CBS News/New York Times | May 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | 1,300 | ± 3% |
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
McLaughlin | May 11–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Morning Consult | May 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 3,971 | ± 2% |
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | ||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | May 9–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 12,507 | ± 1.2% |
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters | May 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | 4 | 1,611 | ± 2.8% |
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing | May 10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 1,547 | ± 2.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | May 6–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 40% | 1 | 1,289 | ± 3.0% |
Public Policy Polling | May 6–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | 1,222 | ± 3.2% |
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 39% | 11 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters | April 30 – May 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | 9 | 1,277 | ± 3.1% |
Morning Consult | April 29 – May 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 1,976 | ± 2.0% |
CNN/ORC | April 28 – May 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 41% | 13 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 41% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Tied | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
GWU/Battleground | April 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | April 10–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 39% | 11 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 51% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 12 | ||||
Fox News | April 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | 7 | 1,021 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 49% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 39% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | John Kasich | 43% | 4 | ||||
CBS News | April 8–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | 1,098 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 47% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 36% | 17 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | John Kasich | 41% | 5 | ||||
IBD/TIPP | March 28 – April 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 35% | 12 | 902 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | John Kasich | 45% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 36% | 17 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | John Kasich | 42% | 3 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | March 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | 1,297 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 47% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | John Kasich | 51% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Donald Trump | 37% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | John Kasich | 41% | 11 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | 7 | 1,083 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | John Kasich | 44% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 17 | ||||
Bloomberg Politics | March 19–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 36% | 18 | 815 | ± 5.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | John Kasich | 47% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 16–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 6 | 1,451 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 47% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 38% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | John Kasich | 45% | 1 | ||||
CBS News/New York Times | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | 1,058 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | John Kasich | 47% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 38% | 15 | ||||
CNN/ORC | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | 925 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 48% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | John Kasich | 51% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 58% | Donald Trump | 38% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | John Kasich | 45% | 6 | ||||
Monmouth University | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | 10 | 848 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 45% | 6 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | March 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 46% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 37% | 18 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | March 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | 864 | ± 4% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 29 – March 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
CNN/ORC | February 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 44% | 8 | 920 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 49% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 43% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 17 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 8 | ||||
Fox News | February 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,031 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | John Kasich | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 38% | 15 | ||||
Suffolk University/USA Today | February 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | John Kasich | 49% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | John Kasich | 44% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | February 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | 1,342 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 47% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | John Kasich | 41% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | February 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,125 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 45% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Marco Rubio | 43% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 7 | 1,236 | |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ben Carson | 44% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | ||||
CNN/ORC | January 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 1,002 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 3 | ||||
Morning Consult | January 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 4 | 4060 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 2 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | January 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 41% | 10 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 39% | 15 | ||||
Morning Consult | January 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 3 | 2173 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 4 | ||||
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network | January 10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 51% | 2 | 2416 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 52% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 51% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 51% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Carly Fiorina | 50% | Tied | ||||
Fox News | January 4–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | 1006 | 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 9 |
Poll source | Date | Democratic. candidate | % | Republican. candidate | % | Leading by % | Sample. Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | December 22–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 36% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3.0% |
CNN/ORC | December 17–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 47% | 2 | 927 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 2 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters | December 16–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 27% | 12 | 1627 | ± 2.8–3.7% |
Emerson College Polling Society | December 17–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 754 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | December 16–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 1140 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 44% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Fox News | December 16–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | 11 | 1013 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 44% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 16–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1267 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Ben Carson | 41% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | ||||
Morning Consult | December 11–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 8 | 4038 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 35% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 9 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | December 10–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 44% | 6 | 851 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | December 6–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | 1000 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 47% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 3 | ||||
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network | December 7–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 1995 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 49% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 49% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Carly Fiorina | 48% | 4 | ||||
Morning Consult | December 3–7, 2015 | |||||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 2047 | ± 2.0% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 40% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 2 | ||||
USA Today/Suffolk University | December 2–6, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 1000 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 45% | 1 | ||||
Saint Leo University Polling Institute | November 29 – December 3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 38% | 13 | 1007 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Carly Fiorina | 32% | 19 | ||||
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist | November 15 – December 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 41% | 11 | 2360 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 47% | 1 | ||||
CNN/ORC | November 27 – December 1, 2015 | |||||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 1020 | ± 3.0% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 50% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | November 23–30, 2015 | |||||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 43% | 3 | 1453 | ± 2.6% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Ben Carson | 41% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 41% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | November 16–19, 2015 | |||||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 3 | 1004 | ± 3.5% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
Fox News | November 16–19, 2015 | |||||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | 5 | 1016 | ± 3.0% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 47% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 16–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 2 | 1360 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 46% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | October 29 – November 4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 41% | 15 | 540 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ben Carson | 48% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Ben Carson | 47% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 14 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | October 29 – November 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 50% | 10 | 1144 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 46% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 51% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Morning Consult | October 29 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 6 | 2350 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 10 | ||||
Bay News 9/News 13/SurveyUSA | October 28 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | 4 | 2712 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 50% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Ben Carson | 48% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 3 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | October 25–29, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | 847 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 47% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network | October 27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 2606 | ± 2% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 51% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Carly Fiorina | 48% | 4 | ||||
Morning Consult | October 22–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 1689 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 38% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 7 | ||||
Saint Leo University Polling Institute | October 17–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | 9 | 1005 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 11 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | October 18–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 38% | 2 | 1000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Carly Fiorina | 34% | 6 | ||||
Morning Consult | October 15–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 9 | 2017 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 34% | 11 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | October 15–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 45% | 2 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ben Carson | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Emerson College Polling Society | October 15–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 2 | 783 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 48% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
CNN/ORC | October 14–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 956 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 48% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 44% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ben Carson | 48% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 53% | Donald Trump | 43% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 52% | Ben Carson | 44% | 8 | ||||
Morning Consult | October 8–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 2002 | ± 2% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 37% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 5 | ||||
Fox News | October 10–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 3 | 1004 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ben Carson | 50% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Ben Carson | 42% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 1–4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 1 | 1338 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 48% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Ben Carson | 45% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Ben Carson | 46% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | John Kasich | 39% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 43% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | September 20–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3.10% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 56% | Donald Trump | 35% | 21 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Ben Carson | 41% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 41% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 36% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | September 17–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | 1574 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 49% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Ben Carson | 45% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 49% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | ||||
Fox News | September 20–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 1013 | ± 3% |
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist | August 26 – September 9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 6 | 1115 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 40% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 56% | Donald Trump | 38% | 18 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 54% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 13 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | September 7–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1003 | ± 4% |
CNN/ORC | September 4–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 2 | 1012 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 48% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 51% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 52% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 54% | Donald Trump | 44% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Ben Carson | 50% | 3 | ||||
SurveyUSA | September 2–3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 1000 | ± 3.3% |
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Al Gore | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 28–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 44% | Tied | 1254 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Carly Fiorina | 38% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Ben Carson | 42% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 3 | ||||
Fox News | August 11–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 7 | 1008 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | ||||
Morning Consult | August 7–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 3 | 2029 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing | August 5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 50% | Tied | 1535 | 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 51% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ben Carson | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rick Perry | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Carly Fiorina | 46% | 8 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | July 22–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 964 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 35% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jim Gilmore | 32% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Lindsey Graham | 35% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Bobby Jindal | 36% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | John Kasich | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | George Pataki | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rick Perry | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 38% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 41% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | July 23–28, 2015 | Joe Biden | 43% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | 1,644 | ± 2.4% |
Joe Biden | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Scott Walker | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 36% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Scott Walker | 42% | 5 | ||||
CNN/ORC | July 22–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 5 | 898 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 40% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Scott Walker | 44% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 59% | Donald Trump | 38% | 21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Scott Walker | 43% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 1,087 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Scott Walker | 40% | 1 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | July 16–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 6 | 815 | ± 4.0% |
CNN/ORC | June 26–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 13 | 1,017 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 39% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Donald Trump | 35% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Scott Walker | 40% | 17 | ||||
Zogby Analytics | June 23–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 9 | 1,341 | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 33% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 32% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 33% | 10 | ||||
Fox News | June 21–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Michael Bloomberg | 38% | 6 | 1,005 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 41% | 6 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | June 14–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Scott Walker | 37% | 14 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 11–14, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 42% | 4 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 27% | Scott Walker | 39% | 12 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 31% | Scott Walker | 39% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 32% | Scott Walker | 40% | 8 | ||||
Jim Webb | 28% | Scott Walker | 39% | 11 | ||||
CNN/ORC | May 29–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 8 | 1,025 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 47% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 46% | 3 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | May 28–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 3 | 836 | ± 4.0% |
Quinnipiac University | May 19–26, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 10 | 1,711 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 32% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 38% | 8 | ||||
Fox News | May 9–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | 1,006 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | John Kasich | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 42% | 6 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | April 26–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 40% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 8 | ||||
The Economist/YouGov | April 25–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 12 | 854 | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 34% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 14 | ||||
Fox News | April 19–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 1,012 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 40% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | April 16–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 7 | 1,353 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
CNN/ORC | April 16–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 17 | 1,018 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ben Carson | 36% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 39% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Mike Huckabee | 37% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 39% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Scott Walker | 37% | 22 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | April 9 12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 9 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Fox News | March 29–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 45% | Tied | 1,025 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 42% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 26–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 6 | 989 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 42% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Scott Walker | 46% | 6 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 39% | Scott Walker | 43% | 4 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | March 26–29, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 12 | ? | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Scott Walker | 40% | 14 | ||||
CNN/ORC | March 13–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 15 | 1,009 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ben Carson | 40% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 40% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 43% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Scott Walker | 40% | 15 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | March 1–4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 7 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 40% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Perry | 42% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 44% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | February 26 – March 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | 1,286 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 39% | 9 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | February 28 – March 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 9 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 36% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 20–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 10 | 691 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 40% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 6 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 41% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | ||||
Fox News | January 25–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 1,009 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 861 | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 42% | 3 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | January 12–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 13 | 843 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 40% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 41% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 15 | ||||
The Economist/YouGov | January 10–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 11 | 1,000 | ± 4.8% |
Greenberg Quinlan Roser Research | January 5–11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 12 | 950 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 |
Poll source | Date | Democratic. candidate | % | Republican. candidate | % | Leading by % | Sample. Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/ORC | December 18–21 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 13 | 1,011 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ben Carson | 35% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Chris Christie | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 38% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 15 | ||||
Fox News | December 7–9 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 7 | 1,043 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 40% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | John Kasich | 37% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 40% | 11 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | December 3–9 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 13 | 923 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 41% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 40% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | ||||
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer Co. | December 3–5 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 6 | 753 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 36% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 33% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 37% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | November 18–23 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 1,623 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 4 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | September 24–29 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 11 | 884 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 42% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 43% | 9 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | August 4–7 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 7 | 806 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 | ||||
Fox News | July 20–22 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 13 | 1,057 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | John Kasich | 35% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 41% | 11 | ||||
CNN/ORC | July 18–20 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 13 | 899 | ± 3% |
Quinnipiac University | June 24–30 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 7 | 1,446 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 7 | ||||
Rasmussen | June 14–17 20–21 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 38% | 7 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 33% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rick Perry | 36% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 11 | ||||
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer Co. | June 6–9 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 9 | 723 | |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 11 | ||||
Saint Leo University | May 28 – June 4 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 18 | 802 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 34% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 34% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Paul Ryan | 33% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 31% | 22 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | May 29 – June 1 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 43% | 10 | 1,002 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling | June 2 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | 735 | ± 3.6% |
ABC News/Washington Post | April 24–27 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 12 | 855 | ± 3.5% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | April 21–27 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 16 | 1,051 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 36% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 8 | ||||
Fox News | April 13–15 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 9 | 1,012 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 42% | 9 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | April 7–10 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 16 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 42% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 40% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 6–9 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 3 | 1,152 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 5 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 11 | ||||
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer Co. | March 7–10 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 39% | 13 | 678 | ±>3.1% |
Rasmussen | March 4–5 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 14 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Fox News | March 2–4 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 13 | 1,002 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 16 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | February 4–9 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 20 | 970 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 37% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 62% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 27 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 38% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 8 | ||||
CNN/ORC | January 31 – February 2 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 20 | 900 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 39% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Rand Paul | 39% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 15 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 23–26 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | 845 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 46% | 11 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 34% | Chris Christie | 43% | 9 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post | January 20–23 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 41% | 12 | 873 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University | January 15–19 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 1,933 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 39% | 10 | ||||
NBC News/Marist Poll | January 12–14 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 37% | 13 | 1,039 | ± 3% |
Poll source | Date | Democratic. candidate | % | Republican. candidate | % | Leading by % | Sample. Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/ORC | December 16–19 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 21 | 950 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 48% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 41% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Rick Perry | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 19 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 12–15 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 1,316 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 43% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 49% | 14 | ||||
Howard Dean | 29% | Chris Christie | 51% | 22 | ||||
John Kerry | 35% | Chris Christie | 46% | 11 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Chris Christie | 49% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | December 3–9 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 2,692 | ± 1.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | December 3–5 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 12 | 1,173 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 22 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 40% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rick Perry | 37% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | November 6–11 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | 2,545 | ± 1.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | ||||
NBC News | November 7–10 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 34% | 10 | 1,003 | ± 3.6% |
Rasmussen | November 7–8 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Public Policy Polling | October 29–31 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 649 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 33% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 37% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Chris Christie | 45% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Rand Paul | 38% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | September 23–29 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 36% | 13 | 1,497 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 36% | 17 | ||||
Rasmussen | September 16–17 | Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Monmouth University | July 25–30 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 10 | 850 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 11 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 19–21 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 3 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Chris Christie | 45% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Rand Paul | 43% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Marco Rubio | 42% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Paul Ryan | 46% | 3 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | July 15–18 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 491 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rick Perry | 36% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Paul Ryan | 37% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | June 28 – July 8 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 40% | 6 | 2,014 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 46% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Rand Paul | 42% | Tied | ||||
Quinnipiac University | May 22–28 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 1,419 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 41% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 6–9 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 44% | 3 | 1,099 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 41% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 49% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Rand Paul | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 27–30 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | 1,247 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 49% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 3 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist | March 25–27 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 16 | 519 | ± 4.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 41% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | ||||
JoeBiden | 50% | Rand Paul | 41% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 53% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 14 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | February 27 – March 4 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 37% | 8 | 1,944 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 43% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 3 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 28% | Chris Christie | 45% | 17 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 37% | Marco Rubio | 37% | Tie | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 37% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 31 – February 3 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Chris Christie | 44% | Tie | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 4 | ||||
Purple Strategies | December 8–10, 2012 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Paul Ryan | 36% | 17 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton. Democratic | Donald Trump. Republican | Gary Johnson. Libertarian | Leading by. (points ) | Sample. size | Margin. of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Google Consumer Surveys | November 1–7, 2016 | 38% | 36% | 5% | 2 | 26,574 | ± 0.65% |
Angus Reid Institute | November 1–4, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 6% | 4 | 1,151 | ± 2.9% |
RAND American Life Panel | October 20 – November 1, 2016 | 44% | 35% | 8% | 9 | 2,269 | ± 1.9% |
Google Consumer Surveys | October 20–24, 2016 | 39% | 34% | 6% | 5 | 21,240 | ±0.73% |
Public Policy Polling | October 20–21, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 5% | 6 | 990 | ±3.18% |
Google Consumer Surveys | October 15–19, 2016 | 39% | 34% | 6% | 5 | 22,826 | ±0.70% |
Google Consumer Surveys | October 10–14, 2016 | 38% | 33% | 7% | 5 | 19,900 | ±0.75% |
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 3% | 6 | 609 | ±3.6% |
Google Consumer Surveys | September 27 – October 3, 2016 | 39% | 34% | 7% | 5 | 22,006 | ±0.71% |
Google Consumer Surveys | September 14–20, 2016 | 36% | 35% | 8% | 1 | 20,864 | ±0.73% |
Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian candidate | % | Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News Sample size: 1,022. Margin of error: ±3% | July 31 – August 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 9 |
Penn Schoen Berland Sample size: 1,000. Margin of error: ±3% | July 29 – August 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 15% | 5 |
CBS News Sample size: 1,131. Margin of error: ±3% | July 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 5 |
Morning Consult Sample size: 1,931. Margin of error: ±2% | July 29–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 5 |
Morning Consult Sample size: 2,502. Margin of error: ±2% | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 4 |
CBS News Sample size: 1,118 adults. Margin of error ±4% | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 1 |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Sample size: 900. Margin of error: ±3.27% | July 13–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 |
Morning Consult Sample size: 2,002. Margin of error: ±2% | July 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 |
CBS News/New York Times Sample size: 1,358. Margin of error: ±3% | July 8–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Tied |
Morning Consult Sample size: 2,001. Margin of error: ±2% | July 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 2 |
Rasmussen Reports Sample size: 1,000. Margin of error: ±3% | July 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 2 |
Morning Consult Sample size: 2,001. Margin of error: ±2% | June 30 – July 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 1 |
Fox News Sample size: 1,017. Margin of error: ±3% | June 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 5 |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Sample size: 900. Margin of error: ±3.27% | June 23–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 11 |
The Economist/YouGov Sample size: 1,300. Margin of error: ±3.9% | June 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 5 |
Morning Consult Sample size: 4001. Margin of error: ±2% | June 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 |
Pew Research Sample size: 1,655. Margin of error: ±2.7% | June 15–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 9 |
Morning Consult Sample size: 3891. Margin of error: ±2% | June 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Tied |
CBS News Sample size: 1048. Margin of error: ± 3.0% | June 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 7 |
Bloomberg Politics Sample size: 750. Margin of error: ± 3.6% | June 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 12 |
Morning Consult Sample size: 1004. Margin of error: ± 3% | June 8–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 6 |
Fox News Sample size: 1004. Margin of error: ± 3% | June 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 3 |
Rasmussen Report Sample size: 1000. Margin of error: ± 3% | June 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 |
Morning Consult Sample size: 2001. Margin of error: ± 2% | June 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson (identified as Independent) | 10% | 2 |
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson (identified as Libertarian) | 10% | 1 | ||
Morning Consult Sample size: 2001. Margin of error: ± 2% | May 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 3 |
Fox News Sample size: 1,021. Margin of error: ± 3.0% | May 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 3 |
Monmouth University Sample size: 848. Margin of error ±3.4% | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 8 |
Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Third candidate | % | Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ABC News/Washington Post Sample size: 823. Margin of error: ± 3.5% | May 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 35% | Mitt Romney | 22% | 2 |
Public Policy Polling Sample size: 1,083. Margin of error ±3.0% | March 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Deez Nuts | 10% | 5 |
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | Deez Nuts | 8% | 6 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | Rick Perry | 12% | 9 | ||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | Rick Perry | 12% | 9 | ||
Quinnipiac University Sample size: 1,342. Margin of error ±2.7% | February 10–15, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Michael Bloomberg | 12% | Tied |
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ted Cruz | 33% | Michael Bloomberg | 14% | 6 | ||
Suffolk University/USA Today Sample size: 1,000. Margin of error ± 3% | February 11–15, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 30% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 16% | 7 |
Quinnipiac University Sample size: 1,125. Margin of error ±2.9% | February 2–4, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 35% | Donald Trump | 36% | Michael Bloomberg | 15% | 1 |
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Ted Cruz | 36% | Michael Bloomberg | 15% | 1 | ||
Public Policy Polling Sample size: 1,236. Margin of error | February 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | 4 |
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Donald Trump | 39% | Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 3 | ||
Luntz Global Sample size: 900. Margin of error ±3.3% | January 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 29% | 4 |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Ted Cruz | 35% | Michael Bloomberg | 28% | 2 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 35% | Marco Rubio | 38% | Michael Bloomberg | 28% | 3 | ||
Morning Consult Sample size: 1,439. Margin of error ±3% | January 21–24, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 35% | Donald Trump | 34% | Michael Bloomberg | 12% | 1 |
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Ted Cruz | 28% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | 8 | ||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Marco Rubio | 29% | Michael Bloomberg | 10% | 7 | ||
Morning Consult Sample size: 4,060. Margin of error ±2% | January 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Ted Cruz | 34% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | 4 |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Marco Rubio | 33% | Michael Bloomberg | 10% | 5 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 1 | ||
Saint Leo University Polling Institute | November 29 – December 3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45.4% | Ted Cruz | 19.9% | Donald Trump | 26.1% | 19.3 |
Hillary Clinton | 44.8% | Carly Fiorina | 14.9% | Donald Trump | 29.6% | 15.2 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 44.0% | Ben Carson | 20.1% | Donald Trump | 25.7% | 18.3 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 43.3% | Marco Rubio | 21.8% | Donald Trump | 25.9% | 17.4 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 43.3% | Jeb Bush | 19.6% | Donald Trump | 29.5% | 13.8 | ||
Saint Leo University Polling Institute. Margin of error ±6.0%. Sample size: 1005 | October 17–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42.7% | Jeb Bush | 22.8% | Donald Trump | 24.2% | 18.5 |
Hillary Clinton | 43.7% | Carly Fiorina | 22.6% | Donald Trump | 23.8% | 19.9 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 43.1% | Ben Carson | 27.9% | Donald Trump | 20.2% | 15.2 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 43.7% | Marco Rubio | 24.6% | Donald Trump | 22.9% | 19.1 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 44.9% | Ted Cruz | 18.6% | Donald Trump | 24.1% | 20.8 | ||
Public Policy Polling. Margin of error: ±2.8%. Sample size: 1254 | August 28–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 23% | Donald Trump | 27% | 15 |
Fox News. Sample size: 1008 | August 11–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 24% | Donald Trump | 25% | 17 |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 30% | Donald Trump | 22% | 12 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 29% | Donald Trump | 23% | 13 | ||
McClatchy-Marist. Margin of error: ±2.8%. Sample size: 964 | July 22–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 29% | Donald Trump | 20% | 15 |
Public Policy Polling. Margin of error: ±4.0%. Sample size: 1,087 | July 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 25% | Donald Trump | 23% | 18 |
ABC News/Washington Post. Margin of error: ±4.0%. Sample size: 815 | July 16–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 30% | Donald Trump | 20% | 17 |
Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton. Democratic | Donald Trump. Republican | Gary Johnson. Libertarian | Jill Stein. Green | Leading by. (points ) | Sample. size | Margin. of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/The Economist | November 4–7, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 3,677 | ± 1.7% |
Insights West | November 4–7, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 4 | 940 | ± 3.2% |
Bloomberg News/Selzer | November 4–6, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 3 | 799 | ± 3.5% |
Gravis Marketing | November 3–6, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 3% | 2% | 4 | 16,639 | ± 0.8% |
ABC News/Washington Post | November 3–6, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 4 | 2,220 | ± 2.5% |
Fox News | November 3–6, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 4 | 1,295 | ± 2.5% |
IBD/TIPP | November 3–6, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,026 | ± 3.1% |
Monmouth University | November 3–6, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 6 | 802 | ± 3.6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | November 2–6, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 6% | 3% | 3 | 2,195 | ± 2.4% |
CBS News/New York Times | November 2–6, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 1,426 | ± 3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | November 2–6, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 2 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | October 31– November 6, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 6% | 3% | 6 | 70,194 | ± 1.0% |
Politico/Morning Consult | November 4–5, 2016 | 45% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 3 | 1,482 | ± 3.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | November 3–5, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 1,282 | ± 2.73% |
ABC News/Washington Post | November 2–5, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 4 | 1,937 | ± 2.5% |
IBD/TIPP | November 2–5, 2016 | 43% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 1 | 903 | ± 3.3% |
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald | November 1–5, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 4% | 2% | 4 | 1,009 | ± 3.1% |
ABC News/Washington Post | November 1–4, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 5 | 1,685 | ± 2.5% |
IBD/TIPP | November 1–4, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 5% | 2% | Tied | 804 | ± 3.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 31 – November 4, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 2,244 | ± 2.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | November 1–3, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 4% | 1% | Tied | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
Fox News | November 1–3, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 5% | 2% | 2 | 1,107 | ± 3.0% |
McClatchy/Marist | November 1–3, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 1 | 940 | ± 3.2% |
IBD/TIPP | October 30 – November 3, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 4% | 2% | Tied | 898 | ± 3.3% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 31 – November 3, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 4 | 1,419 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 30 – November 3, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 7 | 2,021 | ± 2.6% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News | November 1–2, 2016 | 47% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 2 | 2,435 | ± 2.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 31 – November 2, 2016 | 42% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 3 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 30 – November 2, 2016 | 47% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 3 | 1,151 | ± 3.0% |
IBD/TIPP | October 29 – November 2, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 4% | 2% | Tied | 867 | ± 3.4% |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 29 – November 2, 2016 | 45% | 37% | 5% | 2% | 8 | 1,858 | ± 2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 5% | 2% | Tied | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
YouGov/Economist | October 30 – November 1, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 4% | 2% | 3 | 1,233 | ± 3.2% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 29 – November 1, 2016 | 47% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 2 | 1,167 | ± 3.0% |
CBS News/New York Times | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 45% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 3 | 862 | ± 3.4% |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 28 – November 1, 2016 | 45% | 37% | 5% | 2% | 8 | 1,772 | ± 3.0% |
IBD/TIPP | October 27 – November 1, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 4% | 2% | Tied | 862 | ± 3.4% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 28–31, 2016 | 46% | 46% | 3% | 2% | Tied | 1,167 | ± 3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 27–31, 2016 | 45% | 45% | 5% | 2% | Tied | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
IBD/TIPP | October 26–31, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 4% | 2% | 1 | 1,018 | ± 3.2% |
Politico/Morning Consult | October 29–30, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 3 | 1,772 | ±2.0% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 27–30, 2016 | 45% | 46% | 3% | 2% | 1 | 1,167 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 26–30, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 6 | 1,264 | ± 3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 26–30, 2016 | 45% | 42% | 5% | 2% | 3 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% |
IBD/TIPP | October 25–30, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 4% | 2% | 1 | 993 | ± 3.2% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | October 24–30, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 6% | 3% | 6 | 40,816 | ±1.0% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 26–29, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 4% | 2% | 1 | 1,165 | ± 3.0% |
IBD/TIPP | October 24–29, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,039 | ± 3.3% |
Red Oak Strategic/Google Consumer Surveys | October 27–28, 2016 | 37% | 37% | 6% | 2% | Tied | 943 | ± 3.7% |
Morning Consult | October 27–28, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 3 | 1,794 | ± 2.0% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 25–28, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 4% | 2% | 1 | 1,160 | ± 3.0% |
IBD/TIPP | October 23–28, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1,013 | ± 3.3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 25–27, 2016 | 45% | 45% | 3% | 2% | Tied | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 24–27, 2016 | 47% | 45% | 4% | 2% | 2 | 1,148 | ±3.0% |
IBD/TIPP | October 22–27, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 3 | 973 | ± 3.3% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart | October 25–26, 2016 | 46% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 1 | 1,824 | ±2.3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 24–26, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 23–26, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 4 | 1,150 | ±3.0% |
YouGov/Economist | October 22–26, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 5 | 1,376 | ±3.1% |
Saint Leo University | October 22–26, 2016 | 45% | 34% | 6% | 2% | 11 | 1,050 | ±% |
IBD/TIPP | October 21–26, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 8% | 2% | 2 | 945 | ± 3.3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 23–25, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Fox News | October 22–25, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 3 | 1,221 | ±2.5% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 22–25, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 6 | 1,135 | ±3.0% |
Pew Research Center | October 20–25, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 6% | 3% | 6 | 2,120 | ± 2.4% |
IBD/TIPP | October 20–25, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1 | 921 | ± 3.3% |
CNBC | October 21–24, 2016 | 43% | 34% | 7% | 2% | 9 | 804 | ± 3.5% |
ABC News | October 21–24, 2016 | 49% | 40% | 5% | 2% | 9 | 1,119 | ±3.0% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | October 21–24, 2016 | 50% | 38% | 5% | 2% | 12 | 900 | ± 3.27% |
Associated Press/GFK | October 20–24, 2016 | 51% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 14 | 1,546 | ± 2.75% |
USA Today/Suffolk University | October 20–24, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 4% | 2% | 9 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 20–24, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1,170 | ±3.3% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 20–24, 2016 | 43% | 42% | 5% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
IBD/TIPP | October 19–24, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1 | 873 | ± 3.6% |
ABC News | October 20–23, 2016 | 50% | 38% | 5% | 2% | 12 | 1,155 | ±3.0% |
CNN/ORC | October 20–23, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 3% | 2% | 5 | 779 | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 19–23, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
IBD/TIPP | October 18–23, 2016 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | Tied | 815 | ± 3.6% |
Centre College | October 18–23, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 6% | 1% | 5 | 569 | ±4.1% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | October 17–23, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 5 | 32,225 | ± 1.0% |
ABC News | October 20–22, 2016 | 50% | 38% | 5% | 2% | 12 | 1,391 | ±3.5% |
IBD/TIPP | October 17–22, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 2 | 783 | ± 3.6% |
IBD/TIPP | October 16–21, 2016 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 2 | 791 | ±3.6% |
Politico/Morning Consult | October 19–20, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6 | 1,395 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 18–20, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 14–20, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 1,640 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 17–19, 2016 | 40% | 43% | 6% | 3% | 3 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
IBD/TIPP | October 14–19, 2016 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 5% | 1 | 779 | ±3.6% |
Quinnipiac University | October 17–18, 2016 | 47% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 7 | 1,007 | ±3.1% |
YouGov/Economist | October 15–18, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 4 | 1,300 | ±3.9% |
IBD/TIPP | October 13–18, 2016 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 6% | 1 | 782 | ±3.6% |
Fox News | October 15–17, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 5% | 3% | 6 | 912 | ±3.0% |
Bloomberg Politics | October 14–17, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 9 | 1,006 | ±3.1% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 13–17, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 13–17, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 1,190 | ±3.2% |
Monmouth University | October 14–16, 2016 | 50% | 38% | 5% | 2% | 12 | 805 | ±3.5% |
CBS News | October 12–16, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 9 | 1,411 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 12–16, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | October 10–16, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 6 | 24,804 | ± 1.0% |
Politico/Morning Consult | October 13–15, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 6 | 1,737 | ±2.0% |
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe | October 11–14, 2016 | 46% | 36% | 5% | 2% | 10 | 845 | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 11–13, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | October 10–13, 2016 | 48% | 37% | 7% | 2% | 11 | 1,000 | ±3.1% |
ABC News/Washington Post | October 10–13, 2016 | 47% | 43% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 740 | ±4.0% |
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald | October 9–13, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 6% | 2% | 5 | 1,011 | ±3.1% |
George Washington University | October 8–13, 2016 | 47% | 39% | 8% | 2% | 8 | 1,000 | ±3.1% |
Fox News | October 10–12, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 7% | 3% | 7 | 917 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 10–12, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Insights West | October 10–11, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 6 | 953 | ±3.2% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 9–11, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Politico/Morning Consult | October 10, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 5 | 1,757 | ±3.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | October 8–10, 2016 | 45% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 9 | 806 | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 6–10, 2016 | 44% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 5 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | October 6–10, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 7 | 2,363 | ±2.3% |
Pew Research | September 27 – October 10, 2016 | 46% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 7 | 3,616 | ± 2.9% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | October 8–9, 2016 | 46% | 35% | 9% | 2% | 11 | 422 | ±4.6% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 5–9, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 7 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic | October 5–9, 2016 | 49% | 38% | 2% | 0% | 11 | 886 | ±3.9% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | October 3–9, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 5 | 23,329 | ±1.0% |
Politico/Morning Consult | October 8, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 4 | 1,390 | ±3.0% |
YouGov/Economist | October 7–8, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 6 | 1,300 | ±4.3% |
Morning Consult | October 5–6, 2016 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 2 | 1,775 | ±2.0% |
Quinnipiac University | October 5–6, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 6% | 2% | 5 | 1,064 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 4–6, 2016 | 43% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Fox News | October 3–6, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 896 | ±3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 30 – October 6, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 8% | 2% | 5 | 1,695 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 3–5, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 8% | 3% | 2 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing | October 3, 2016 | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | Tied | 1,690 | ±2.5% |
YouGov/Economist | October 1–3, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 5% | 3% | 3 | 911 | ±3.9% |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 6 | 1,239 | ±3.2% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Politico/Morning Consult | September 30 – October 2, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 3% | 6 | 1,778 | ±2.0% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 45% | 36% | 11% | 3% | 9 | 385 | ±5.0% |
CBS News/New York Times | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 45% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 4 | 1,217 | ±3.0% |
CNN/ORC | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 5 | N/A | ±N/A% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 28 – October 2, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 2% | 3 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | September 26 – October 2, 2016 | 46% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 6 | 26,925 | ±1.0% |
Fox News | September 27–29, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 3 | 911 | ±3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 23–29, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 3% | 4 | 2,501 | ±2.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 26–28, 2016 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 1 | 1,500 | ±2.5% |
Morning Consult | September 26–27, 2016 | 41% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 3 | 1,253 | ±3.0% |
Public Religion Research Institute | September 1–27, 2016 | 49% | 41% | 4% | 1% | 8 | 2,010 | ±2.8% |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 22–26, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1,041 | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University | September 22–25, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 1 | 1,115 | ±2.9% |
Monmouth University | September 22–25, 2016 | 46% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 4 | 729 | ±3.6% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | September 19–25, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 5 | 13,598 | ±1.1% |
Morning Consult | September 22–24, 2016 | 38% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1 | 1,712 | ±2.0% |
YouGov/Economist | September 22–24, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 3 | 948 | ±3.8% |
Bloomberg/Selzer | September 21–24, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 2 | 1,002 | ±3.1% |
ABC News/Washington Post | September 19–22, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 2 | 651 | ±4.5% |
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald | September 18–22, 2016 | 45% | 43% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1,017 | ±3.1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 16–22, 2016 | 39% | 37% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 1,559 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 20–21, 2016 | 39% | 44% | 8% | 2% | 5 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing | September 20, 2016 | 44% | 40% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 1,560 | ±2.5% |
McClatchy/Marist | September 15–20, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 6 | 758 | ±3.6% |
YouGov/Economist | September 18–19, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 936 | ±4.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | September 16–19, 2016 | 43% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 6 | 922 | ±3.2% |
iCitizen | September 15–19, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 5% | 3% | 5 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 15–19, 2016 | 37% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 1,111 | ±3.4% |
Associated Press/GFK | September 15–19, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 9% | 2% | 6 | 1,251 | ±2.5% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | September 12–18, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 10% | 4% | 5 | 13,230 | ±1.2% |
Morning Consult | September 15–16, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 2 | 1,639 | ±2.0% |
Saint Leo University | September 12–16, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 5 | 1,005 | ±3.0% |
Fox News | September 11–14, 2016 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1 | 867 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 12–13, 2016 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
Emerson College | September 11–13, 2016 | 41% | 43% | 9% | 2% | 2 | 800 | ±3.4% |
YouGov/Economist | September 10–13, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,087 | ±4.0% |
CBS News/New York Times | September 9–13, 2016 | 42% | 42% | 8% | 4% | Tied | 1,433 | ±3.0% |
Quinnipiac University | September 8–13, 2016 | 41% | 39% | 13% | 4% | 2 | 960 | ±3.2% |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 8–12, 2016 | 39% | 39% | 8% | 2% | Tied | 1,127 | ±3.3% |
Pew Research | August 16 – September 12, 2016 | 45% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 2 | 3,941 | ±2.6% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | September 5–11, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 11% | 4% | 2 | 16,220 | ±1.1% |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart | September 7–8, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 3 | 2,348 | ±2.0% |
Morning Consult | September 6–8, 2016 | 43% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 2 | 1,710 | ±2.0% |
ABC News/Washington Post | September 5–8, 2016 | 46% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 5 | 642 | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 6–7, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 9% | 2% | 4 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
YouGov/Economist | September 4–6, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 2 | 1,077 | ±4.7% |
Ipsos/Reuters | September 1–5, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 2 | 1,084 | ±3.5% |
CNN/ORC | September 1–4, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 2 | 786 | ±3.5% |
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald | August 31 – September 4, 2016 | 44% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 3 | 1,025 | ±3.1% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | August 29 – September 4, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 12% | 4% | 4 | 32,226 | ±1.0% |
Morning Consult | September 1–2, 2016 | 38% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 2 | 2,001 | ±2.0% |
George Washington University | August 28 –1 сентября 2016 г. | 42% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 2 | 1000 | ± 3,1% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 26 августа - 1 сентября 2016 г. | 39% | 39% | 7% | 2% | Связано | 1,804 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TPP | 26 августа - 1 сентября 2016 г. | 39% | 39% | 12% | 3% | Связанные | 861 | ± 3,4% |
Rasmussen Reports | 29–30 августа 2016 г. | 39% | 40% | 7% | 3% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Fox News | 28–30 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 2 | 1,011 | ± 3,0% |
ЮГ / Экономист | 27–29 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 37 % | 7% | 3% | 5 | 1,119 | ± 4,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 25–29 августа 2016 г. | 40% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 2 | 1404 | ± 3,0% |
Саффолкский университет / USA Today | 25–29 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 7 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Монмут Университет | 25–28 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 7 | 6 89 | ± 3,5% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 22–28 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 4 | 24,104 | ± 1,0% |
Morning Consult | 24–26 августа 2016 г. | 39% | 37% | 8% | 3% | 2 | 2007 | ± 2,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 22–25 августа 2016 г. | 39% | 36% | 7% | 3% | 3 | 1,154 | ± 3,0% |
Rasmussen Reports | 23–24 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 38% | 9% | 2% | 4 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | август 20–24, 2016 | 39% | 36% | 7% | 2% | 3 | 1049 | ± 2,9% |
Университет Куиннипиак | 18–24 августа 2016 г. | 45% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 7 | 1,498 | ± 2,5% |
Gravis Marketing | 22–23 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 41% | 4% | 1% | 1 | 1,493 | ± 2,5% |
ЮГ / Экономист | 19–23 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 38% | 6% | 4% | 4 | 1,080 | ± 4,1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 18–22 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 33% | 7 % | 2% | 8 | 1,115 | ± 3,0% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 15–21 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 38 % | 11% | 5% | 5 | 17,451 | ± 1,1% |
Morning Consult | 16–20 августа 2016 г. | 39% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 3 | 2001 | ± 2,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 13 августа –17, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 7% | 2% | 4 | 1049 | ± 2,8% |
Rasmussen Reports | 15–16 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 2 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
YouGov / Economist | 11–16 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 6 | 1,076 | ± 4,1% |
Pew Research | 9–16 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 4 | 1567 | ± 2,8% |
Normington, Petts Associates | 9–15 августа 2016 г. | 45% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 8 | 1000 | ± 3,1% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 8–14 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 37% | 11% | 4% | 6 | 15 179 | ± 1,2% |
Zogby Analytics | 12–13 августа, 2016 | 38% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 2 | 1,277 | ± 2,8% |
Morning Consult | 11–14 августа 2016 г. | 39% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 6 | 2001 | ± 2,0% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 6–10 августа 2016 г. | 40% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 5 | 974 | ± 2,9% |
Отчет Расмуссена | 9–10 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 40% | 8% | 2% | 3 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Breitbart / Gravis Marketing | 9 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 5 | 2,832 | ± 1,8% |
ЮГ / Экономист | 6–9 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 36% | 9% | 2% | 6 | 1300 | ± 4,2% |
Bloomberg Politics | 5–8 августа 2016 г. | 44% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 4 | 749 | ± 3,6% |
Princeton Survey | 4–7 августа 2016 г. | 45 % | 39% | 2% | 1% | 6 | 1000 | ± 3,9% |
Монмутский университет | 4–7 августа, 2016 | 46% | 34% | 7% | 2% | 12 | 803 | ± 3,5% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 1–7 августа 2016 г. | 44% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 6 | 11,480 | ± 1,2% |
Morning Consult | 4–5 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 33% | 9% | 5% | 8 | 2,001 | ± 2,0% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 1–4 августа 2016 г. | 45% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 8 | 1002 | ± 3,5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 31 июля - 4 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 40% | 6% | 3% | 2 | 1,154 | ± 3,0% |
IBD/TPP | 29 июля - 4 августа 2016 г. | 39% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 4 | 851 | ± 3,4% |
McClatchy/Marist | 1–3 августа 2016 г. | 45 % | 31% | 10% | 6% | 14 | 983 | ± 3,1% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 31 июля - 3 августа 2016 г. | 43% | 34% | 10% | 5% | 9 | 800 | ± 3,5% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 30 июля - 3 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 1,072 | ± 3,5% |
Отчет Расмуссена | 1–2 августа 2016 г. | 44% | 40% | 6% | 3% | 4 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
The Economist / YouGov | 31 июля - 1 августа 2016 г. | 41% | 36% | 8% | 4 % | 5 | 1300 | ± 4,0% |
CNN/ORC | 29–31 июля 2016 г. | 45% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 8 | 894 | ± 3,5% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 25–31 июля 2016 г. | 43% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 5 | 12,742 | ± 1,2% |
Опрос общественного порядка | 29–30 июля 2016 г. | 46% | 41% | 6% | 2% | 5 | 1,276 | ± 2,7% |
RABA Research | 29 июля, 2016 | 46% | 31% | 7% | 2% | 15 | 956 | ± 3,2% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 25–29 июля 2016 г. | 37% | 37% | 5% | 1% | Связано | 1,788 | ± 2,4% |
YouGov / Economist | 23–24 июля 2016 г. | 40% | 38% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,300 | ± 4,5% |
CNN/ORC | 22–24 июля 2016 г. | 39% | 44% | 9% | 3% | 5 | 882 | ± 3,5% |
Университет штата Делавэр | 21–24 июля 2016 г. | 46% | 42% | 1% | 1% | 4 | 818 | ± 4,0% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 18–24 июля 2016 г. | 39% | 41% | 10% | 5 % | 2 | 12,931 | ± 1,2% |
RABA Research | 22 июля 2016 г. | 39% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 5 | 909 | ± 3,3% |
Echelon Insights | 21–22 июля 2016 г. | 40% | 39% | 3% | 2% | 1 | 912 | ± Н / Д% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 16–20 июля 2016 г. | 39% | 35% | 7% | 3% | 4 | 1522 | ± 2,9% |
YouGov / Economist | 15–17 июля, 2016 | 40% | 37% | 5% | 4% | 3 | 1300 | ± 4,2% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 11–17 июля 2016 г. | 39% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 1 | 9 436 | ± 1,4% |
Монмутский университет | 14–16 июля 2016 г. | 45% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 2 | 688 | ± 3,7% |
Университет Франклина Пирса / Boston Herald | 13–16 июля 2016 г. | 44% | 41% | 7% | 2 % | 3 | 1007 | ± 3,1% |
CNN/ORC | 13–16 июля 2016 г. | 42% | 37% | 13% | 5% | 5 | 872 | ± 3,5% |
icitizen | 11–14 июля 2016 г. | 39% | 35% | 9% | 3% | 4 | 1000 | ± н / д% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 11–14 июля 2016 г. | 42% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 4 | 1 003 | ± 3,5% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 9–13 июля 2016 г. | 41% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 6 | 1000 | ± 3,1% |
The Economist / YouGov | 9–11 июля 2016 г. | 40% | 37% | 5% | 2% | 3 | 1300 | ± 4,2% |
AP-GfK | 7–11 июля 2016 г. | 40% | 36% | 6% | 2% | 4 | 837 | ± 3,3% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 4–10 июля 2016 г. | 40% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 2 | 7 869 | ± 1,4% |
Raba Research | 7–9 июля 2016 г. | 41% | 29% | 9% | 2% | 12 | 781 | ± 3,5% |
McClatchy/Marist | 5–9 июля 2016 г. | 40% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 5 | 1,249 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 2–6 июля 2016 г. | 42% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 9 | 1,3 45 | ± 2,8% |
The Economist / YouGov | 2–4 июля 2016 г. | 42% | 37% | 4% | 3% | 5 | 1300 | ± 3,9% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 27 июня - 3 июля 2016 г. | 41% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 3 | 10 072 | ± 1,3% |
Саффолкский университет / USA Today | 26–29 июня 2016 г. | 39% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 4 | 1000 | ± 3,0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 25 июня –29, 2016 | 42% | 31% | 5% | 4% | 11 | 1,247 | ± 2,8% |
IBD / TIPP | 24–29 июня 2016 г. | 37% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 1 | 837 | ± 3,5% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 27–28 июня 2016 г. | 45% | 41% | 5% | 2% | 4 | 947 | ± 3,2% |
Quinnipiac University | 21–27 июня 2016 г. | 39% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 2 | 1,610 | ± 2,4% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 20–26 июня 2016 г. | 42% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 6 | 5,818 | ± 1,8% |
ABC News / Washington Post | 20–23 июня 2016 г. | 47% | 3 7% | 7% | 3% | 10 | 836 | ± 4,0% |
NBC News / Wall Street Journal | 19–23 июня, 2016 | 39% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3,1% |
Ipsos / Reuters | 18–22 июня 2016 г. | 43% | 34% | 6% | 5% | 9 | 1339 | ± 2,8% |
CNN / ORC | 16–19 июня 2016 г. | 42% | 38% | 9% | 7% | 4 | 891 | ± 3,5% |
Университет Монмута | 15–19 июня 2016 г. | 42% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6 | 803 | ± 3,5% |
NBC News / SurveyMonkey | 13–19 июня 2016 г. | 42% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 4 | 16,135 | ± 1,1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | 11–15 июня 2016 г. | 39% | 29% | 6% | 4% | 10 | 1,323 | ± 2,8% |
NBC / Survey Monkey | 6–12 июня 2016 г. | 42% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 4 | 10604 | ± 1,3% |
Опрос США | 8 июня 2016 г. | 39% | 36% | 6% | 4% | 3 | 1408 | ± 2,7% |
Zogby | 30 мая - 5 июня 2016 г. | 40% | 34% | 6% | 2% | 6 | 837 | ± 3,5% |
NBC News | 30 мая - 5 июня 2016 г. | 39% | 40 % | 9% | 4% | 1 | 9,240 | ± 1,4% |
Quinnipiac University | 24–30 мая 2016 г. | 40% | 38% | 5% | 3% | 2 | 1,561 | ± 2,5% |
Источник опроса | Дата | Хиллари Клинтон. Демократ | Дональд Трамп. Республиканец | Гэри Джонсон. Либертарианец | Джилл Стейн. Грин | Эван МакМаллин. Независимый | Опережая. (баллов ) | Выборка. размер | Предел. ошибки |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Университет Святого Лео | 22–26 октября, 2016 | 42% | 31% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 11 | 1050 | ±% |
Опросы общественного мнения | 27–28 сентября 2016 г. | 44% | 40% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4 | 933 | ± 3,2% |
Echelon Insights | 26–27 сентября 2016 г. | 44% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 5 | 1833 | – |
Опросы общественного мнения | 26–28 августа 2016 г. | 42% | 37% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 5 | 881 | ± 3,3% |
BBC News обсудил, следует ли отказаться от опроса из-за его предполагаемой неудачи. Журнал Forbes соавтор астрофизик Итан Сигель провел научный анализ и поднял вопрос о том, статистическая совокупность отобранный для опроса был неточным и процитировал предостерегающую пословицу «мусор на входе, мусор на выходе ». Он пришел к выводу, что со стороны исследователей могла быть систематическая ошибка выборки. Сигел сравнил выборы 2016 года с провалом предсказателя Артура Хеннинга в инциденте «Дьюи побеждает Трумэна » во время президентских выборов 1948 года. Однако, несмотря на все это, общенациональные опросы были недалеко от фактических результатов всенародного голосования, и на самом деле очень немногие штаты имели результаты, которые отклонялись от допустимой погрешности в среднем опросе. В статье FiveThirtyEight Нейт Сильвер защитил результаты опросов в 2016 году как исторические средние и заявил, что «СМИ должны лучше информировать своих читателей о неопределенностях, связанных с опросами».
Конкретным случаем был опрос USC / Los Angeles Times Daybreak, который отличался от других опросов тем, что в нем чаще всего лидировал Дональд Трамп.. Результаты опроса вызвали скептицизм, особенно со стороны демократов, которые осуждали его и часто критиковали LA Times за его проведение. Перед выборами Нейт Сильвер считал положительным тот факт, что опрос позволил людям определить вероятность голосования за любого кандидата вместо того, чтобы говорить, что они на 100 процентов уверены, говоря, что если люди «собираются запугать социолога, [давайте] сделайте это со специалистом по опросам, который делает все дешево - некоторые из робополлов подходят, - а не с тем, кто пытается сдвинуть мяч вперед, как опрос LA Times ». После того, как были опубликованы предварительные результаты выборов, газета LA Times пришла к выводу: «Это не обязательно означает, что опрос, проводимый в Интернете, как опрос Daybreak, обязательно будет более точным, чем опросы, проводимые по телефону. Но это еще один указывает на то, что для проведения опросов нужно больше, разнообразных способов взглянуть на общественное мнение, а не меньше ».
Опрос на всеобщих выборах
Демократический первичный опрос
Республиканские праймериз
После выборов