2024 Indian general election

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2024 Indian general election

← 2019 19 April – 1 June 2024 2029 →

All 543 seats in the Lok Sabha
272 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Official Photograph of Prime Minister Narendra Modi Portrait (crop).png
Mallikarjun Kharge (crop).jpg
Leader Narendra Modi Mallikarjun Kharge
Party BJP INC
Alliance NDA I.N.D.I.A
Last election 37.36%, 303 seats 19.49%, 52 seats
Current seats 296 51
Seats needed Steady Increase 221

Seats by constituency. As this is a FPTP election, seat totals are not determined proportional to each party's total vote share, but instead by the plurality in each constituency.

Incumbent Prime Minister

Narendra Modi
BJP



General elections are being held in India from 19 April to 1 June 2024 in seven phases, to elect 543 members of the Lok Sabha. The votes will be counted and the results will be declared on 4 June 2024.

This is the largest-ever election in history, surpassing the 2019 Indian general election, and lasts 44 days, second only to the 1951–52 Indian general election. The incumbent prime minister Narendra Modi, who completed a second term, is running for a third consecutive term.

Approximately 970 million people out of a population of 1.4 billion people are eligible to vote.[1][2][3] The state legislative assembly elections in the states of Andhra Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Odisha, and Sikkim are to be held simultaneously with the general election, along with the by-elections for 26 seats in 12 legislative assemblies.

Background

Contemporary politics and previous elections

India has a multi-party system with two major parties, namely the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Indian National Congress dominating the politics at the national level. The Bharatiya Janata Party has governed the country with Narendra Modi at the helm since 2014. The tenure of the 17th Lok Sabha is scheduled to end on 16 June 2024.[4] The previous general election was held in April–May 2019, after which the, National Democratic Alliance, led by the Bharatiya Janata Party, formed the union government, with Modi continuing as Prime Minister.[5]

Electoral system

Article 83 of the Constitution of India requires elections to the Lok Sabha to be held once every five years.[6] All 543 elected MPs are elected from single-member constituencies using first-past-the-post voting.[7] The 104th amendment to the constitution abolished the two seats that were reserved for the Anglo-Indian community.[8]

Eligible voters must be Indian citizens, 18 years or older, ordinary resident of the polling area of the constituency and registered to vote (name included in the electoral rolls), possess a valid voter identification card issued by the Election Commission of India or equivalent.[9] Some people convicted of electoral or other offenses are barred from voting.[10] Indians holding foreign citizenship are also barred from voting. There is no postal or online absentee voting in India; members of the Indian diaspora are required to travel back to their home constituencies in order to cast a ballot.[11]

For the 2024 election, 968 million people are eligible to vote, an increase of about 150 million people from the 2019 election.[12] In Arunachal Pradesh, a polling station will be set up for the only registered voter in the village of Malogam, due to electoral laws that stipulate voting booths to be placed within two kilometers from all settlements.[13][14][15] Polling stations will also be set up inside a wildlife sanctuary in Kerala and in a shipping container in Gujarat,[16] as well as in 320 relief camps hosting some 59,000 people displaced during interethnic violence in Manipur.[17]

In March 2024, the Supreme Court of India rejected a petition by the Congress Party to end the usage of electronic voting machines and revert to paper ballots and manual counting, which was the system used in elections until the late 1990s, with the party citing risks of electoral fraud.[18] Nearly 5.5 million electronic voting machines will be utilized for more than one million polling stations, while 15 million election workers and security personnel will be tasked with managing the conduct of the election.[15]

Planning

Key processes during a Lok Sabha election include monitoring campaign expenditure, preventing illicit goods, and ensuring adherence to the Model Code of Conduct. In the final 48 hours, campaigns halt, and measures are implemented to maintain order and prevent disruptions. Polling day involves strict rules to prevent undue influence, ensuring a smooth and secure election process. EVMs are sealed and stored with tight security, while Booth Level Officers assist voters. The exercise requires meticulous planning to ensure free, fair, and peaceful elections.[19]

Election schedule

2024 Lok Sabha Election Schedule
2024 Lok Sabha Election Schedule
Chief Election Commissioner Rajiv Kumar announced the 2024 General Elections schedule for Lok Sabha and State Legislative Assemblies during a press conference
Official logo,
"चुनाव का पर्व DESH KA GARV" which means -''Festival of Election, Nation's Pride''

The election schedule for the 18th Lok Sabha was announced by the Election Commission of India on 16 March 2024, and with it the Model Code of Conduct came into effect.[20] The tenure of the 17th Lok Sabha is scheduled to end on 16 June 2024.[21]

Date summary

Poll event Phase
I II III IV V VI VII
Notification date 20 March 28 March 12 April 18 April 26 April 29 April 7 May
Last date for filing nomination 27 March 4 April 19 April 25 April 3 May 6 May 14 May
Scrutiny of nomination 28 March 5 April 20 April 26 April 4 May 7 May 15 May
Last date for withdrawal of nomination 30 March 8 April 22 April 29 April 6 May 9 May 17 May
Date of poll 19 April 26 April 7 May 13 May 20 May 25 May 1 June
Date of counting of votes/Result 4 June 2024
No. of constituencies 102 89 94 96 49 57 57

Seat summary

Phase-wise polling constituencies in each state
State/Union territory Total constituencies Total phases Election dates and number of constituencies
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5 Phase 6 Phase 7
19 April 26 April 7 May 13 May 20 May 25 May 1 June
Andhra Pradesh 25 1 25
Arunachal Pradesh 2 1 2
Assam 14 3 5 5 4
Bihar 40 7 4 5 5 5 5 8 8
Chhattisgarh 11 3 1 3 7
Goa 2 1 2
Gujarat 26 1 26
Haryana 10 1 10
Himachal Pradesh 4 1 4
Jharkhand 14 4 4 3 4 3
Karnataka 28 2 14 14
Kerala 20 1 20
Madhya Pradesh 29 4 6 6[a] 9[a] 8
Maharashtra 48 5 5 8 11 11 13
Manipur 2 2 1+12[b] 12[b]
Meghalaya 2 1 2
Mizoram 1 1 1
Nagaland 1 1 1
Odisha 21 4 4 5 6 6
Punjab 13 1 13
Rajasthan 25 2 12 13
Sikkim 1 1 1
Tamil Nadu 39 1 39
Telangana 17 1 17
Tripura 2 2 1 1
Uttar Pradesh 80 7 8 8 10 13 14 14 13
Uttarakhand 5 1 5
West Bengal 42 7 3 3 4 8 7 8 9
Andaman and Nicobar Islands 1 1 1
Chandigarh 1 1 1
Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu 2 1 2
Delhi 7 1 7
Jammu and Kashmir 5 5 1 1 1 1 1
Ladakh 1 1 1
Lakshadweep 1 1 1
Puducherry 1 1 1
Constituencies 543 101+12 87+12 95 96 49 57 57
Total constituencies by end of phase 101+12 189 285 380 429 486 543
% complete by end of phase 18.69 34.80 52.48 69.98 79.01 89.50 100
  1. ^ a b Polling in Betul constituency in Madhya Pradesh was rescheduled from 26 April 2024 (Phase II) to 7 May 2024 (Phase III) due to death of BSP candidate.[22]
  2. ^ a b Polling in Outer Manipur constituency in Manipur was scheduled in two phases.

Parties and alliances

The politics of India has become increasingly bipolar in the run-up to the 2024 Indian general elections with two major alliances emerging; the incumbent NDA (National Democratic Alliance) and the opposition INDIA (Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance). Six national parties are contesting the 2024 Indian general elections: BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party), INC (Indian National Congress), CPI(M) (Communist Party of India (Marxist)), BSP (Bahujan Samaj Party), NPP (National People's Party) and AAP (Aam Aadmi Party) with all except the BSP being a part of one of the two alliances.

National Democratic Alliance

The National Democratic Alliance, abbreviated as NDA (IAST: Rāṣhṭrīya Jānātāntrik Gaṭhabandhan) is a big-tent, mostly centre-right to right-wing political alliance led by the Bharatiya Janata Party.

Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance

The Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance, abbreviated as INDIA (IAST: Bhāratīya Rāṣṭrīya Vikāsaśīla Samāveśī Gaṭhabaṃdhana) is a big-tent, mostly centre-left to left-wing bloc of opposition parties.[23][24]

On the run up to the general election numerous opposition parties met to form a new opposition alliance to defeat the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party. After numerous talks 24 political parties came together to form the Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance (INDIA).

  Some INDIA member parties decided to contest against the alliance.

Source:[25][26][27][28]

Other notable parties and alliances

Bahujan Samaj Party leader Mayawati announced that her party will contest the election on its own in most states and ally with other non-BJP, non-Congress parties in Telangana and Haryana.[49]

On 11 May 2023, Biju Janata Dal leader and Chief Minister of Odisha Naveen Patnaik said that his party will go alone for the Lok Sabha polls.[50]

Candidates

The prime ministerial candidate for the 2024 general election of the NDA alliance is the incumbent Prime Minister Narendra Modi.[54] The prime ministerial candidate of the INDIA bloc will be decided after the 2024 polls.[55]

National Democratic Alliance

Bharatiya Janata Party

The BJP announced its first list of 195 candidates on 2 March 2024[56][57] and the second list of 72 candidates was published in 13 March,[58] while the third list of nine candidates was announced on 21 March.[59] The fourth list of 15 candidates was released on 22 March,[60] followed by the fifth list of 111 candidates on 24 March[61] and the sixth list of three candidates on 26 March.[62] The seventh list of two candidates was announced on 27 March[63] and the eighth list of eleven candidates was published on 30 March,[64] while the ninth list of just one candidate was released on 31 March.[65] The tenth list, comprising of nine candidates was released on 10 April[66] and the eleventh list, comprising of one candidate was released on 11 April,[67] followed by the twelveth list of seven candidates on 16 April.[68] The thirteenth list of one candidate was published on 18 April.[69]

Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance

Indian National Congress

The Indian National Congress released its first list of 39 candidates on 8 March, 2024[70] and the second list of 43 candidates was released on 13 March,[71] while the third list of 56 candidates was announced on 22 March.[72] The fourth list of 46 candidates was published on 23 March[73] and the fifth list of three candidates was released on 24 March,[74] while the sixth list of five candidates was announced on 25 March.[75] The seventh list of five candidates was published on 26 March,[76] while the eighth list of 14 candidates was announced on 27 March[77] and the ninth list of five candidates was released on 29 March.[78] The tenth list of two candidates[79] was published on 1 April and the eleventh list of 17 candidates was announced on 2 April,[80] while the twelfth list of three candidates was released on 4 April.[81] The thirteenth list of six candidates was announced on 6 April,[82] while the fourteenth list of six more candidates was declared on 9 April,[83] followed by the fifteenth list of two candidates on 10 April.[84] The sixteenth list of 16 candidates was announced on 13 April,[85] followed by the seventeenth list of ten candidates on 14 April,[86] while the eighteenth list of three candidates was published on 16 April.[87]

All India Trinamool Congress

The All India Trinamool Congress announced its list of 42 candidates for the West Bengal parliamentary seats on 10 March.[88]

Left Front

In Left Front, the CPI(M) announced its list first list of 44 candidates contesting from 13 different states on 28 March.[89]

Major election issues

Unemployment

The issue of unemployment has been a major problem for the Indian economy, especially affecting the youth.[90][91] Unemployment in India has been at a 45-year old high.[92] According to a 2022 World Bank report, India's youth unemployment rate stood at 23.2%,[93] whereas the national unemployment hovered around 7%.[90] In 2023, 42.3% of graduates were unemployed, showing the lack of job growth needed to accommodate the increasing workforce.[94]

As such, unemployment has taken a centre stage in the election campaigns, with the opposition Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance banking on rising unemployment and inflation to criticise the BJP government's handling of the Indian economy.[95] As a part of its separate youth manifesto, the Congress-led INDIA bloc promised to fill in the 3 million vacancies in government jobs and bring in the "Right to Apprenticeship", in which any diploma and degree holder up to the age of 25 can demand employment for one year and they will get a one-year salary of ₹100,000 for the term of the job.[96]

Ram Mandir consecration ceremony

The BJP prepared a pamphlet for the Ram Mandir Inauguration Programmes to connect with families across the nation. After the consecration of the Ram Mandir in Ayodhya, a new era of Hindu nationalistic sentiments have dominated the political sphere in India.[97][98] Modi kept a long-standing political pledge of the reconstruction of the Ram Mandir and was seen to have fulfilled the BJP's manifesto to the nation's Hindu population.[98] The Hindu nationalist ideology of Modi and the BJP has also garnered substantial support from Hindu community members.[99][100] At the same time, Bollywood productions have been released with themes supporting the Modi government's policies and Hindu nationalist ideologies.[101] In response to such concerns, BJP spokesperson Mmhonlumo Kikon acknowledged the existence of a "level of threat perception", but said that the party was trying to change that.[102]

A major controversy was stirred when the opposition Congress Party and its leaders declined an invitation to the Ram Mandir consecration ceremony, saying that the event was politicised into a 'BJP-RSS event'.[103] Assam chief minister Himanta Biswa Sarma said that the invitation was an opportunity for the Congress to 'reduce its sin', and that history would continue to judge it as 'anti-Hindu'.[104] The four Shankaracharyas also declined attending the event, stating that the ceremony was politicised as a campaign event at the half-built temple.[105][106]

Electoral Bonds

On 15 February 2024, the Supreme Court of India ruled that the Electoral Bond system of campaign financing that was introduced by the Modi government in 2017 which allowed individuals and companies to donate money to political parties anonymously and without limits was unconstitutional, saying that the process allowed donors to assert "influence over policymaking".[107] On 18 March, the court ordered the State Bank of India (SBI) to provide all records regarding the electoral bonds to the Election Commission of India by 21 March in order to match electoral donors with their recipients and rejected a plea by the Confederation of Indian Industry, the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, and the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India from divulging the identities of donors. Initial reports suggest that among the leading donors to political parties were some of India's largest firms such as Vedanta Limited, Bharti Airtel, RPSG Group and Essel Mining. It also found that the BJP was the recipient of nearly half of all recorded donations.[108]

In total, the top five political parties in terms of electoral bonds received are the BJP, which received Rs 6,060.5 crore, the All India Trinamool Congress (TMC), which received Rs 1,609.5 crore, the Congress Party, with Rs 1,421.8 crore, the Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS), which received Rs 1,214.7 crore, and the Biju Janata Dal (BJD), which received Rs 775.5 crore.[109][110][111] The biggest buyer of electoral bonds was found to be Santiago Martin, the Tamil Nadu-based head of the lottery firm Future Gaming and Hotel Services Private Limited, who bought bonds worth 13.68 billion rupees ($163 million) between 2020 and 2024 and made donations to the TMC, the BJP, and the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK), which rules Tamil Nadu. The biggest single donor to any political party was Megha Engineering and Infrastructure Limited (MEIL), a construction firm based in Hyderabad that bought electoral bonds worth over 12 billion rupees ($144 million) between 2019 and 2024 and made donations to the Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS), the BJP, and the Congress Party, who alternated in ruling Telangana during that time.[112]

Some politicians from the opposition have termed Electoral Bonds a "scam" and an "extortion racket".[113][114][115] In response to allegations regarding the electoral bonds, BJP spokesperson Syed Zafar Islam denied that the party had done any wrongdoing and said that its electoral bonds were gained "on merit".[112] However, Indian political observers have reached the conclusion that either Indian businessmen have been regularly bribing their way out of trouble, or that the BJP-controlled government has been using government agencies to extort them. From the data released by the SBI, it was found that companies gave donations around the time they received major government contracts. Close to half of the top 30 corporate donors were facing investigations by government agencies around the time they purchased electoral bonds.[116][117][118]

Congress Party fund predicament

On 16 February 2024, the Congress Party alleged that the Income Tax Department (IT) ordered the freezing of bank accounts by the Congress Party containing 2.1 billion rupees ($25.3 million) as part of an ongoing legal dispute.[119] The Congress Party's treasurer Ajay Maken later added that tax authorities imposed a 2.1-billion rupee ($25 million) lien on 13 February, "virtually sealed" its bank accounts and confiscated 1.1 billion rupees ($14 million). The party's leader Rahul Gandhi complained that the restrictions had rendered the party unable to campaign properly, adding that "Our entire financial identity has been erased." Gandhi also accused Modi and Home Minister Amit Shah of conducting a "criminal action" against the party, which the BJP denied. His mother and former Congress leader Sonia Gandhi also alleged that the tax issues are "part of the systemic efforts to cripple" the party. An appeal is currently pending in the Supreme Court.[120]

According to the IT Department's official sources, it has recovered 135 crore from the Congress for breaking the legislation exempting political parties from paying taxes, rather than freezing the party's bank accounts as the opposition party had claimed.[121] The party received notices from the IT department again on 29 March asking it to pay 1,823.08 crore (US$228 million). The Congress accused the BJP of engaging in "tax terrorism" and alleged that the BJP is in serious violation of income-tax laws and that the IT department should raise a demand of 4,617.58 crore (US$578 million) crore from the BJP for such violations.[122]

Investigations into opposition leaders

The election period also coincided with investigations by authorities into state officials belonging to opposition parties, such as Delhi Chief Minister and Aam Aadmi Party leader Arvind Kejriwal, who is under investigation for alleged corruption in the allocation of liquor licences, and Jharkhand Chief Minister Hemant Soren, who was arrested in February 2024 for allegedly facilitating an illegal land sale. The Enforcement Directorate is also investigating four chief ministers not allied with the BJP on various charges, while investigations have been closed on former opposition politicians who have since joined the BJP. Hartosh Singh Bal, a journalist for the current affairs magazine The Caravan told Agence France-Presse that the move by government agencies indicated their behavior as "handmaidens of the ruling party to cow down the political opposition".[119]

The BJP-led government has been known to use Enforcement Directorate raids to target opposition politicians critical of it, with 95% of cases registered being against opposition leaders.[123][124][125] Since 2014, 25 opposition leaders facing corruption charges have joined the BJP, with 23 of them having their inquiries closed or frozen after joining the ruling party.[126]

Following Kejriwal's arrest on 21 March over the liquor license scam charges, Delhi's finance minister Atishi Singh accused the BJP of orchestrating a "political conspiracy" against Kejriwal.[127] His arrest also led to clashes between party leaders, supporters and the police on 22 March.[128] Rahul Gandhi, reacting to Kejriwal's arrest, said that a "scared dictator" wants to create a "dead democracy", without naming anyone.[129]

Party campaigns

Bharatiya Janata Party

The national executive meeting of the BJP held on 16 and 17 January 2023 saw the party reaffirm its faith in Prime Minister Narendra Modi and extend the tenure of BJP national president J. P. Nadda.[130]

Charting out the BJP's strategy for the upcoming polls, Modi said in a speech to party workers that they should reach out to every section of society, including the marginalised and minority communities, "without electoral considerations".[131]

Following the 2023 Legislative Assembly elections, Modi debuted the slogan "Modi Ki Guarantee" for the 2024 polls.[132]

Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance

The bloc's first joint rally was held in Patna, Bihar on 3 March 2024. The rally saw, among others, Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge, party leader Rahul Gandhi, Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) chief Lalu Prasad Yadav, former Bihar deputy chief minister Tejashwi Yadav, Samajwadi Party supremo Akhilesh Yadav, and senior Left leaders Sitaram Yechury and D. Raja. Kharge attacked Kumar for frequently changing alliances and criticised the BJP for not fulfilling its promise of jobs and neglecting the country's poor and the majority.[133]

The alliance jointly held a rally at Shivaji Park in Mumbai on 17 March, a day after the end of Rahul Gandhi's Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra. The rally was attended by Gandhi, SS(UBT) president Uddhav Thackeray, NCP(SP) leader Sharad Pawar, RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav, and DMK leader and Tamil Nadu chief minister M. K. Stalin, among many others.[134] At the rally, Gandhi said that he was compelled to launch his yatra due to rising inflation and unemployment in the nation.[135]

A few days after arrest of Delhi chief minister Arvind Kejriwal in connection with the alleged Delhi liquor scam on 22 March,[136] the opposition alliance held a protest rally against the same in Ramlila Maidan, Delhi on 31 March, where opposition leaders alleged the corruption case on him and his subsequent arrest to be a "fabrication with political motives" and a "witch hunt".[137][138][139] At the rally, named "Loktantra Bachao" (Save Democracy), amid current events, the opposition tried to frame the election as being "democracy vs dictatorship".[140]

Indian National Congress

The Congress campaign was launched from Nagpur at a huge rally in which over 1 million people were expected to have attended in Nagpur, Maharashtra on 28 December 2023.[141] This rally also marked the 138th Congress Foundation Day and was being held to energise party cadres for the 2024 general election.[142] Party workers from all over the state were called to join the rally.[142][143]

On 14 January, the party launched its Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra,[144] a sequel to the Bharat Jodo Yatra held the previous year.[145] The yatra started in Thoubal, Manipur and ended in Mumbai on 16 March 2024.[144] It covered 6,713 kilometres (4,171 miles) across 14 states.[146]

Rahul Gandhi has threatened that the whole of India will be on fire if the BJP wins the 2024 parliamentary elections and changes the Constitution, during an address at Delhi's Ramlila Maidan.[147][148][149][150]

Communist Party of India (Marxist)

The Communist Party of India (Marxist) began their election campaign in Kerala after announcing 15 candidates in the state.[151]

Rashtriya Janata Dal

The Rashtriya Janata Dal began its campaign with its Jan Vishwas Yatra ("People's Trust Yatra") on 20 February 2024. RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav launched the yatra from Muzaffarpur in Bihar. The yatra lasted until 1 March 2024 and covered 33 districts.[152][153] In Siwan on 23 February, Yadav termed the BJP "a dustbin" which takes in other parties that have become "garbage".[154][155]

Shiv Sena

After an intraparty dispute that led to the splitting of the Shiv Sena party based in Maharashtra, the Supreme Court of India barred the Shiv Sena (UBT) faction which joined the I.N.D.I.A. alliance from using the party's historic bow-and-arrow symbol as its electoral symbol in balloting and awarded it instead to the Balasahebanchi Shiv Sena wing which supported the BJP. This led the UBT faction to adopt a torch as its electoral symbol.[156]

Party manifestos

Bharatiya Janata Party

The BJP proposed a 'GYAN' formula consisting of four segments - Garib (poor), Yuva (youth), Annadata (farmers) and Nari (women) in its manifesto.[157] The Bharatiya Janata Party started a campaign to gather public recommendations and suggestions for the advancement of the State and the country, which will be incorporated into the party's manifesto titled 'Modi ki guarantee' for the 2024 general elections.[158][159][160][161][162][163][164]

  • Nari Shakti Vandan Adhiniyam: In order to assure women's representation in the legislatures of the states and the national leadership, the BJP pledged to systematically implement the Nari Shakti Vandan Adhiniyam.
  • Lakhpati Didi: 3 crore rural women are being empowered to become "Lakhpati Didis".
  • Free ration: Under the PM Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana, the BJP announced that it would give 80 crore citizens free rations for the next five years.
  • Increasing MSP: on crops on a periodic basis was pledged in the manifesto. 6,000 rupees in annual financial support under the PM Kisan Samman Nidhi Yojana.
  • Free electricity: The PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana's free power for low-income homes was another pledge in the manifesto.
  • One Nation, One Election: In its manifesto, or Sankalp Patra, the BJP includes "One Nation, One Election," for the general elections. This implies that simultaneous elections for the Lok Sabha and all the state assemblies may take place in 2029.[165]
  • Uniform Civil Code: The manifesto includes the implementation of the Uniform Civil Code (UCC).[166]
  • Free Ayushman for all senior citizens: Under the Ayushman Bharat initiative, all senior citizens would be eligible for free, high-quality healthcare upto Rs 5 Lakhs.
  • US$5 trillion economy: The BJP pledges to increase India's GDP to US$5 trillion by 2025 and $10 trillion by 2032. The Ministry of Finance has predicted that India's economy will rank third overall in the world.[167][168] Earlier in 2018 and then again in 2019, Modi had said that the country would reach a GDP of US$5 trillion in 2022 and 2024 respectively, which turned out to be false.[169][170]
  • Third-largest economic power: India will rank as the third-largest economic power, the BJP promised. India rose from the 11th to the 5th largest economic power in less than last ten years.

Indian National Congress

The Congress released their groups specific manifesto promises for the general election in the month of March.[171] The manifesto focuses on five major segments of the population and promises them:

  • Youth Manifesto: formal employment for a year to under 25 graduate students, filling of 30 lakh government job vacancies, transparency in government job recruitment, ₹5,000 crore (US$605,000) fund for startups, standardisation of the government recruitment exam process, and social security for gig workers.[172][173][174]
  • Women Manifesto: ₹1 lakh in financial assistance to women from poor families, 50% of new government job recruitments to women, double central government's contribution to the salary of anganwadi, ASHA, and midday meal workers, legal assistance in every panchayat, and at least one hostel for working women in district headquarters.[175][176]
  • Farmers Manifesto: legal guarantee on MSP for farmers, waiving off of farmers' loans, an import-export policy favourable to them, removal of GST from agricultural commodities, and payments directly into farmers' bank accounts within 30 days in case of crop loss.[177]
  • Labourers Manifesto: Universal healthcare coverage for workers, increasing national minimum wage to ₹400 (US$4.8) per day from the current ₹172 (US$2.1) per day, an urban employment guarantee law similar to MGNREGA in the rural areas, life and accident insurance for informal sector workers.[178][179]
  • Caste census: The Congress party declared that, if it wins the election, it will conduct a comprehensive census called to survey the population, socio-economic conditions, and representation in governance institutions. It also promised to bring in legislation to eliminate the 50% cap on reservations for SC, ST, and backward classes and to protect tribal forest rights.[180]
  • Wealth re-distribution: Rahul Gandhi made a pledge to "redistribute wealth." According to him, poverty and socioeconomic inequality would vanish. Gandhi declared that his party would carry out an institutional and financial census to determine the country's wealthiest citizens if the Congress (together with the allied parties) achieved power. He added that the Congress Party would then use data from the caste census to allocate wealth to the underprivileged castes and "minorities" proportional to their population.[181][182][183]

The complete manifesto titled Nyay Patra (Hindi: न्याय पत्र, lit.'Justice Paper') was released on 5th April 2024.[184][185] Some noticeable points in the manifesto are (apart from above promises released earlier):

  • After wide consultations, the manifesto promises to bring a law to recognize civil unions between couples belonging to the LGBTQIA+ community.
  • The manifesto promises to implement the Rajasthan Model of cashless insurance up to 25 lakhs for universal healthcare.
  • The manifesto promised to waive off student education loans as a one-time measure outstanding as on 15 March 2024.
  • The manifesto promised that one day in a week will be devoted to discuss the agenda suggested by the opposition benches in each House of Parliament.
  • The manifest promised not to interfere with personal choices of food and dress, to love and marry, and to travel and reside in any part of India. All laws and rules that interfere unreasonably with personal freedoms will be repealed.
  • The manifesto promised to de-criminalise the offence of defamation and provide, by law, a speedy remedy by way of civil damages.
  • The manifesto rejected the 'One Nation One Election' idea.
  • The manifesto promised to establish National Judicial Commission (NJC). The NJC will be responsible for the selection and appointment of judges of the High Courts and the Supreme Court.
  • The manifesto promised to amend the Constitution to create two divisions in the Supreme Court: a Constitutional Court and a Court of Appeal. The Constitutional Court consisting of the seven seniormost judges will hear and decide cases involving the interpretation of the Constitution and other cases of legal significance or national importance. The Court of Appeal will be the final court of appeal that will, sitting in Benches of three judges each, hear appeals from the High Court and National Tribunals.
  • The manifesto promised to eliminate the “Angel tax” and all other exploitative tax schemes that inhibit investment in new micro, small companies and innovative start-ups.

Surveys and polls

Opinion polls

Vote share projections
Vote share projections
Polling agency Date published Sample size Margin of error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[186] 57,566 ±3–5% 46.6 39.8 13.6 6.8
The Hindu-CSDS-Lokniti April 2024[187] 10,019[188] - 46 34 20 12
News 18 March 2024[189] 118,616 ±4% 48 32 20 16
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[190] 41,762[191] ±5% 46 39 15 7
Times Now-ETG March 2024[192] 323,357[193] ±3% 52 42 6 10
Zee News-Matrize February 2024[194] 167,843 ±2% 43.6 27.7 24.9 15.9
India Today-CVoter February 2024[195] 149,092[196] ±3–5% 45 38 17 8
Times Now-ETG February 2024[197] 156,843[198] ±2% 41.8 28.6 29.6 13.2
ABP News-CVoter December 2023[199] 200,000 ±3–5% 42 38 20 4
Times Now-ETG December 2023[200][201] 147,231[202] ±3% 44 39 17 5
India TV-CNX October 2023[203][204] 54,250 ±3% 43.4 39.1 17.5 4.3
Times Now-ETG October 2023[205] 135,100[206] ±3% 42.6 40.2 17.2 2.4
August 2023[207][208] 110,662[209] ±3% 42.6 40.2 17.2 2.4
India Today-CVoter August 2023[210] 160,438 ±3–5% 43 41 16 2
Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc
Times Now-ETG July 2023[211] 135,000[212] - 38.08 28.82 33.10 9.26
India Today-CVoter January 2023[213] 140,917 ±3–5% 43 30 27 13
India TV-Matrize July 2022[214] 34,000 - 41 28 31 13
India Today-CVoter January 2022[215] 60,141[216] - 40.7 26.7 32.6 14
India Today-Karvy August 2021[217] 14,559 - 40 28 32 12
India Today-Karvy January 2021[218] 12,232[219] - 43 27 30 16
India Today-Karvy August 2020[220] 12,021[221] - 42 27 31 15
India Today-Karvy January 2020[222] 12,141 - 41 29 30 12
ABP News-CVoter January 2020[223] 30,240 - 44 25 31 19
2019 election results 45.3% 27.5% 27.2% NDA
Seat projections
Polling agency Date published Sample size Margin of error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[186] 57,566 ±3–5% 373 155 15 NDA
Times Now-ETG April 2024[224] 271,292[225] ±3% 384 118 41 NDA
India TV-CNX April 2024[226] 179,190 - 399 113 31 NDA
News18 March 2024[227] 118,616[228] ±4% 411 105 27 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[229] 41,762 ±5% 366 156 21 NDA
India TV-CNX March 2024[230] 162,900[231] ±3% 378 98 67 NDA
Times Now-ETG March 2024[232] 323,357 ±3% 358–398 110–130 40–50 NDA
Zee News-Matrize February 2024[194] 167,843 ±2% 377 93 73 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024[233] 149,092[234] ±3–5% 335 166 42 NDA
Times Now-ETG February 2024[235] 156,843 ±2% 366 104 73 NDA
ABP-CVoter December 2023[199] 200,000 ±3–5% 295–335 165–205 35–65 NDA
Times Now-ETG December 2023[200][201] 147,231 ±3% 319–339 148–168 52–61 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023[203][204] 54,250 ±3% 315 172 56 NDA
Times Now-ETG October 2023[205] 135,100 ±3% 297–317 165–185 57–65 NDA
August 2023[236][208] 110,662 ±3% 296–326 160–190 56–64 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023[210] 160,438 ±3–5% 306 193 54 NDA
Formation of the big-tent INDIA opposition bloc
Times Now-ETG July 2023[237] 135,000[238] - 285-325 111-149 69-107 NDA
India TV-CNX July 2023[239] 44,548[240] - 318 175 50 NDA
Times Now-ETG June 2023[241] 135,000 - 300 130 113 NDA
Times Now-ETG April 2023[242] 90,000 - 292-338 106-144 105-145 NDA
India Today-CVoter January 2023[243] 140,917 ±3–5% 298 153 92 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2022[244] 122,016 - 286 146 111 NDA
India TV-Matrize July 2022[245] 34,000 - 362 97 84 NDA
India Today-CVoter January 2022[246] 60,141[247] - 296 127 120 NDA
India Today-Karvy August 2021[248] 14,559 - 298 105 140 NDA
India Today-Karvy January 2021[249] 12,232[250] - 321 93 129 NDA
India Today-Karvy August 2020[251] 12,021[252] - 316 93 134 NDA
India Today-Karvy January 2020[253] 12,141 - 303 108 132 NDA
ABP News-CVoter January 2020[254] 30,240 - 330 130 83 NDA
2019 election results 353 91 99 NDA

Election

Observers

On 14 April 2024, the BJP invited foreign diplomats posted in the country as well as 25 overseas political parties including the Conservative and Labour parties of the United Kingdom, the Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU), the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) and the Awami League of Bangladesh to observe the party's electoral campaign.[255][256]

This initiative is part of the "Know BJP" campaign, aimed at external outreach and familiarisation with the election process. As part of this program, the BJP president met with envoys from 13 different countries.[257][258]

Voting

The Phase 1 voting began on 19th April, 2024, with a voting voting percentage of 62%. The highest voter turnout during polling under Phase 1 was recorded in Tripura at 80.17%, with Bihar witnessing the lowest turnout at 48.50%.[259]

Results

Results by alliance or party

Alliance/Party Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Contested Won +/−
NDA BJP 446
TDP 17
JD(U) 16
SS 12
PMK 10
NCP 6
LJP(RV) 5
BDJS 4
JD(S) 3
TMC(M) 3
AD(S) 2
AGP 2
AMMK 2
JSP 2
NPP 2
RLD 2
AJSU 1
HAM 1
NPF 1
NDPP 1
RLM 1
RSP 1
SBSP 1
UPPL 1
IND 1
Total 543
INDIA INC 327
SP 62
CPI(M) 53
AITC 48
CPI 27
RJD 24
AAP 22
DMK 21
SS(UBT) 21
NCP(SP) 11
JMM 6
AIFB 5
CPI(ML)L 4
IUML 3
JKNC 3
JKPDP 3
RSP 3
VCK 2
AJP 1
BAP 1
KC 1
KC(M) 1
KMDK 1
MDMK 1
RLP 1
Total 543
AIADMK+ AIADMK 36
DMDK 5
Total 41
BSP
YSRCP 25
BJD 21
BRS 17
SAD 13
SAD(A) 13
INLD 10
JJP 10
AIMIM
GGP
AIUDF 3
RGP 2
SDF 1
ZPM 1
Other parties[a]
Independents
NOTA
Total 100% - - - -
Vote statistics
Valid votes
Invalid votes
Votes cast/turnout
Abstentions
Registered voters
  1. ^ Parties with fewer than 100,000 votes

See also

References

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